Icon Energy

ICONNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$0.89
+$0.05 (+5.43%)Today 1M −2.99%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$0.84
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$0.84–$0.94
Regular-session low and high so far today.
19.4K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$0.73–$6.65
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own ICON if the newly enlarged asset base can earn durable cash returns through the shipping cycle without forcing dilutive financing.

ICON price history

Latest price$0.89Today+$0.05 (+5.43%)
ICON +3.91%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Demand for Icon’s deep-sea freight capacity remains strong enough that the enlarged asset base continues to be employed and converted into lease income rather than sitting idle or repricing sharply lower.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue, reported as operating lease income, rose to $11.256 million in FY2025 from $5.309 million in FY2024. If utilization and lease rates hold, asset growth can become revenue; if they fail, the fleet becomes fixed-cost exposure.

    Watch: A shipping capacity glut from new vessel deliveries causes charterers to renegotiate rates or leave Icon vessels unemployed.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue, reported as operating lease income, rose to $11.256 million in FY2025 from $5.309 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Fleet or asset expansion creates shareholder value only if Icon can earn adequate operating returns on the added assets after vessel operating costs, overhead, and lease economics.WeakeningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual operating income remained positive at $0.180 million in FY2025. Revenue growth without operating leverage means the company is scaling assets but not intrinsic value.

    Watch: Vessel operating expenses, maintenance, crewing, insurance, or dry-docking costs absorb the economics of higher lease income.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income remained positive at $0.180 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Icon’s lease model must remain cash-collective through the cycle, with counterparties paying and working-capital timing not consuming the reported lease income.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive at $0.799 million in FY2025 despite a GAAP net loss. Positive operating cash flow gives the company time to survive shipping cycles; cash leakage would quickly pressure financing and equity holders.

    Watch: A major charterer or lessee delays payment, defaults, or demands concessions.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive at $0.799 million in FY2025 despite a GAAP net loss.

    Open source ↗
  • Icon’s business depends on continued access to shipping finance and liquidity because the asset base is capital-intensive and liabilities have grown alongside expansion.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP liabilities increased to $37.066 million at FY2025 from $17.049 million at FY2024 and $3.713 million at FY2023. If lenders stay supportive, Icon can bridge cyclicality; if financing tightens, equity holders face asset sales, dilution, or restructuring risk.

    Watch: Marine lenders reduce credit availability or demand higher collateral after a decline in vessel values.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP liabilities increased to $37.066 million at FY2025 from $17.049 million at FY2024 and $3.713 million at FY2023.

    Open source ↗
  • Asset growth must accrue to common shareholders rather than being offset by losses, below-value equity issuance, restructuring, or other financing actions.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP diluted EPS improved from negative $304.13 in FY2024 to negative $18.04 in FY2025, though the figure remains loss-making. For owners, the relevant question is not whether the fleet grows, but whether each share owns more earning power over time.

    Watch: Icon funds vessel growth with equity issued at depressed prices or below fleet net asset value.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP diluted EPS improved from negative $304.13 in FY2024 to negative $18.04 in FY2025, though the figure remains loss-making.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Demand for Icon’s deep-sea freight capacity remains strong enough that the enlarged asset base continues to be employed and converted into lease income rather than sitting idle or repricing sharply lower. If utilization and lease rates hold, asset growth can become revenue; if they fail, the fleet becomes fixed-cost exposure.

Fleet or asset expansion creates shareholder value only if Icon can earn adequate operating returns on the added assets after vessel operating costs, overhead, and lease economics. Revenue growth without operating leverage means the company is scaling assets but not intrinsic value.

Icon’s lease model must remain cash-collective through the cycle, with counterparties paying and working-capital timing not consuming the reported lease income. Positive operating cash flow gives the company time to survive shipping cycles; cash leakage would quickly pressure financing and equity holders.

Icon’s business depends on continued access to shipping finance and liquidity because the asset base is capital-intensive and liabilities have grown alongside expansion. If lenders stay supportive, Icon can bridge cyclicality; if financing tightens, equity holders face asset sales, dilution, or restructuring risk.

Asset growth must accrue to common shareholders rather than being offset by losses, below-value equity issuance, restructuring, or other financing actions. For owners, the relevant question is not whether the fleet grows, but whether each share owns more earning power over time.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

the newly enlarged asset base can earn durable cash returns through the shipping cycle without forcing dilutive financing.

Evidence assessed Nov 7, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for ICON Energy

Where the evidence on ICON Energy disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 2 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Demand for Icon’s deep-sea freight capacity remains strong enough that the enlarged asset base continues to be employed and converted into lease income rather than sitting idle or repricing sharply lower.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Icon’s lease model must remain cash-collective through the cycle, with counterparties paying and working-capital timing not consuming the reported lease income.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Icon’s business depends on continued access to shipping finance and liquidity because the asset base is capital-intensive and liabilities have grown alongside expansion.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Fleet or asset expansion creates shareholder value only if Icon can earn adequate operating returns on the added assets after vessel operating costs, overhead, and lease economics.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Asset growth must accrue to common shareholders rather than being offset by losses, below-value equity issuance, restructuring, or other financing actions.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · ICON Energy

Loading the break-condition record for ICON Energy.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

No assessed change was returned in this research window. That can reflect a quiet period or a coverage limit.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • A shipping capacity glut from new vessel deliveries causes charterers to renegotiate rates or leave Icon vessels unemployed.
  • Vessel operating expenses, maintenance, crewing, insurance, or dry-docking costs absorb the economics of higher lease income.
  • A major charterer or lessee delays payment, defaults, or demands concessions.
  • Marine lenders reduce credit availability or demand higher collateral after a decline in vessel values.
  • Icon funds vessel growth with equity issued at depressed prices or below fleet net asset value.

ICON news

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Financial statements

ICON income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

ICON: quick answers

Have members of Congress traded ICON?
2 trades in ICON have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed ICON trade
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