Hercules Capital
HTGCNYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $16.12 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $15.99–$16.12 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 1.4M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 11 projected Projected for 2027-02-11 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $13.70–$19.13 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own HTGC if its venture-debt franchise keeps turning VC-backed technology and life-sciences financing demand into high-yield senior secured loans without credit losses or funding costs eating the spread.
HTGC price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Venture-backed technology and life-sciences companies continue to value Hercules’ non-bank senior secured debt as less dilutive runway capital, allowing the company to originate loans without abandoning its specialty niche.StrengtheningMateriality: High
The company description identifies Hercules as a specialty finance company providing senior secured loans to high-growth, innovative venture capital-backed and institutional-backed companies in technology and life sciences. If this demand persists, Hercules can keep deploying capital into its highest-return opportunity set; if it fades, growth and pricing power become commoditized.
Watch: Venture banks such as First Citizens/Silicon Valley Bank or large banks such as JPMorgan aggressively re-enter venture lending and underprice Hercules’ loans.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
The company description identifies Hercules as a specialty finance company providing senior secured loans to high-growth, innovative venture capital-backed and.
Open source ↗Hercules’ senior-secured underwriting and sector specialization prevent borrower failures from turning asset growth into permanent book-value impairment.HoldingMateriality: High
GAAP stockholders’ equity increased from $1.31 billion at FY2021 year-end to $2.22 billion at FY2025 year-end. For a BDC, book-value preservation is the difference between compounding income and simply reaching for yield before credit losses arrive.
Watch: A wave of failures among life-sciences borrowers after clinical setbacks or funding gaps overwhelms senior-secured recovery assumptions.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP stockholders’ equity increased from $1.31 billion at FY2021 year-end to $2.22 billion at FY2025 year-end.
Open source ↗Hercules retains access to debt and equity capital at costs that let it fund new loans while staying within BDC leverage discipline, rather than becoming balance-sheet constrained.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
GAAP liabilities increased from $1.29 billion at FY2021 year-end to $2.37 billion at FY2025 year-end, showing continued use of external funding. Origination demand only creates value if Hercules can finance it at a spread that leaves income for shareholders after funding costs and credit costs.
Watch: Credit markets tighten and Hercules’ lenders reduce borrowing availability or demand materially higher spreads.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP liabilities increased from $1.29 billion at FY2021 year-end to $2.37 billion at FY2025 year-end, showing continued use of external.
Open source ↗Management deploys capital into loans at returns high enough to offset credit costs, funding costs, and any dilution, so growth is per-share accretive rather than just balance-sheet expansion.HoldingMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual diluted EPS rose from $1.61 in FY2024 to $1.85 in FY2025. Owners are paid on per-share earnings and distributable income, not on the absolute size of the loan portfolio.
Watch: Private-credit and BDC competitors compress loan spreads faster than Hercules can lower its cost of capital.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual diluted EPS rose from $1.61 in FY2024 to $1.85 in FY2025.
Open source ↗Negative operating cash flow remains an investment-deployment signal, not a funding-stress signal, only if repayments, credit facilities, and capital-market access continue to recycle cash into earning assets.HoldingMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual operating cash flow was negative $118.1 million in FY2024 and negative $425.8 million in FY2025 while assets and revenue both increased. A lender can show negative operating cash flow while growing loans, but that becomes dangerous if external funding or portfolio repayments dry up.
Watch: Portfolio repayments slow at the same time unfunded commitments require cash.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating cash flow was negative $118.1 million in FY2024 and negative $425.8 million in FY2025 while assets and.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Venture-backed technology and life-sciences companies continue to value Hercules’ non-bank senior secured debt as less dilutive runway capital, allowing the company to originate loans without abandoning its specialty niche. If this demand persists, Hercules can keep deploying capital into its highest-return opportunity set; if it fades, growth and pricing power become commoditized.
Hercules’ senior-secured underwriting and sector specialization prevent borrower failures from turning asset growth into permanent book-value impairment. For a BDC, book-value preservation is the difference between compounding income and simply reaching for yield before credit losses arrive.
Hercules retains access to debt and equity capital at costs that let it fund new loans while staying within BDC leverage discipline, rather than becoming balance-sheet constrained. Origination demand only creates value if Hercules can finance it at a spread that leaves income for shareholders after funding costs and credit costs.
Management deploys capital into loans at returns high enough to offset credit costs, funding costs, and any dilution, so growth is per-share accretive rather than just balance-sheet expansion. Owners are paid on per-share earnings and distributable income, not on the absolute size of the loan portfolio.
Negative operating cash flow remains an investment-deployment signal, not a funding-stress signal, only if repayments, credit facilities, and capital-market access continue to recycle cash into earning assets. A lender can show negative operating cash flow while growing loans, but that becomes dangerous if external funding or portfolio repayments dry up.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
its venture-debt franchise keeps turning VC-backed technology and life-sciences financing demand into high-yield senior secured loans without credit losses or funding costs eating the spread.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Hercules Capital
Where the evidence on Hercules Capital stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 5, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 3 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Venture-backed technology and life-sciences companies continue to value Hercules’ non-bank senior secured debt as less dilutive runway capital, allowing the company to originate loans without abandoning its specialty niche.
Hercules’ senior-secured underwriting and sector specialization prevent borrower failures from turning asset growth into permanent book-value impairment.
Hercules retains access to debt and equity capital at costs that let it fund new loans while staying within BDC leverage discipline, rather than becoming balance-sheet constrained.
Management deploys capital into loans at returns high enough to offset credit costs, funding costs, and any dilution, so growth is per-share accretive rather than just balance-sheet expansion.
Negative operating cash flow remains an investment-deployment signal, not a funding-stress signal, only if repayments, credit facilities, and capital-market access continue to recycle cash into earning assets.
Bear case: what would count against it
Venture banks such as First Citizens/Silicon Valley Bank or large banks such as JPMorgan aggressively re-enter venture lending and underprice Hercules’ loans.
A wave of failures among life-sciences borrowers after clinical setbacks or funding gaps overwhelms senior-secured recovery assumptions.
Credit markets tighten and Hercules’ lenders reduce borrowing availability or demand materially higher spreads.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Hercules Capital
OptimistFi is watching Hercules Capital. No break-condition checks are on record yet — they accumulate as new filings are checked.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Hercules Capital filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-29: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
Hercules Capital filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-08: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Hercules Capital filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-17: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Venture banks such as First Citizens/Silicon Valley Bank or large banks such as JPMorgan aggressively re-enter venture lending and underprice Hercules’ loans.
- A wave of failures among life-sciences borrowers after clinical setbacks or funding gaps overwhelms senior-secured recovery assumptions.
- Credit markets tighten and Hercules’ lenders reduce borrowing availability or demand materially higher spreads.
- Private-credit and BDC competitors compress loan spreads faster than Hercules can lower its cost of capital.
- Portfolio repayments slow at the same time unfunded commitments require cash.
HTGC news
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Financial statements
HTGC income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
HTGC: quick answers
- When does Hercules Capital (HTGC) report earnings next?
- Hercules Capital's next results are projected for February 11, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 29, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is HTGC's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 10.3M HTGC shares were sold short, down 4.8% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 9.3 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. HTGC short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded HTGC?
- 29 trades in HTGC have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed HTGC trade
