H&R Block

HRBNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$50.98
−$0.01 (−0.02%)Today 1M +15.75%
After hours$50.980.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$50.99
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$48.94–$51.13
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.7M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 2 projected
Projected for 2027-02-02 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$28.16–$58.67
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own HRB if paid tax help remains resilient against DIY, AI, and government-free filing while management keeps converting that cash into per-share value.

HRB price history

Latest price$50.98Today−$0.01 (-0.02%)
HRB +14.25%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Tax complexity and the need for filing confidence keep enough taxpayers paying H&R Block for help rather than switching en masse to free or lower-cost DIY options.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Annual GAAP revenue rose from $3.463 billion in FY2022 to $3.945 billion in FY2026. If this holds, H&R Block can remain a durable cash generator; if it breaks, the core franchise becomes a shrinking legacy service.

    Watch: IRS Direct File expands nationally and covers more taxpayer situations, reducing the need for paid preparers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP revenue rose from $3.463 billion in FY2022 to $3.945 billion in FY2026.

    Open source ↗
  • H&R Block’s brand, standardized tax workflow, and operating scale continue to turn tax-season demand into gross profit even as labor, marketing, and software competition pressure pricing.HoldingMateriality: High

    Derived annual gross profit increased from $1.582 billion in FY2022 to $1.749 billion in FY2026. Revenue growth only creates owner value if the company can keep enough economics after tax-preparer, service-delivery, and customer-acquisition costs.

    Watch: A preparer labor shortage forces higher seasonal wages or signing bonuses across H&R Block offices.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Derived annual gross profit increased from $1.582 billion in FY2022 to $1.749 billion in FY2026.

    Open source ↗
  • The seasonal tax-preparation model keeps converting earnings into operating cash flow, giving H&R Block flexibility to fund technology, marketing, financial products, and shareholder returns without depending on aggressive balance-sheet expansion.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Annual GAAP operating cash flow was $838.7 million in FY2026 versus annual GAAP net income of $733.6 million. Cash conversion is what makes a mature, modest-growth tax franchise valuable; if cash weakens, buybacks and dividends become less durable.

    Watch: Refund delays, tax-law changes, or financial-product disruptions shift client activity and cash receipts outside the normal tax-season window.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP operating cash flow was $838.7 million in FY2026 versus annual GAAP net income of $733.6 million.

    Open source ↗
  • Because the core market is mature, the equity case depends on management using cash generation to grow per-share value rather than chasing low-return expansion.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Annual GAAP diluted EPS increased from $3.22 in FY2022 to $5.66 in FY2026. For owners, disciplined capital allocation can turn modest business growth into stronger EPS growth; poor allocation would erase the benefit of the cash franchise.

    Watch: Management uses cash for acquisitions or new initiatives outside tax preparation, financial products, and small-business solutions that do not earn adequate returns.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP diluted EPS increased from $3.22 in FY2022 to $5.66 in FY2026.

    Open source ↗
  • H&R Block’s cash buffer remains sufficient to manage the highly seasonal tax business and its liability-heavy balance sheet without forcing defensive capital actions.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents were $958.7 million at FY2026 year-end. Liquidity stress would turn a cash-return story into a balance-sheet repair story, changing both risk and valuation.

    Watch: A disruption in tax-season financing or refund-related products increases working-capital needs at the worst point in the seasonal cycle.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents were $958.7 million at FY2026 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Tax complexity and the need for filing confidence keep enough taxpayers paying H&R Block for help rather than switching en masse to free or lower-cost DIY options. If this holds, H&R Block can remain a durable cash generator; if it breaks, the core franchise becomes a shrinking legacy service.

H&R Block’s brand, standardized tax workflow, and operating scale continue to turn tax-season demand into gross profit even as labor, marketing, and software competition pressure pricing. Revenue growth only creates owner value if the company can keep enough economics after tax-preparer, service-delivery, and customer-acquisition costs.

The seasonal tax-preparation model keeps converting earnings into operating cash flow, giving H&R Block flexibility to fund technology, marketing, financial products, and shareholder returns without depending on aggressive balance-sheet expansion. Cash conversion is what makes a mature, modest-growth tax franchise valuable; if cash weakens, buybacks and dividends become less durable.

Because the core market is mature, the equity case depends on management using cash generation to grow per-share value rather than chasing low-return expansion. For owners, disciplined capital allocation can turn modest business growth into stronger EPS growth; poor allocation would erase the benefit of the cash franchise.

H&R Block’s cash buffer remains sufficient to manage the highly seasonal tax business and its liability-heavy balance sheet without forcing defensive capital actions. Liquidity stress would turn a cash-return story into a balance-sheet repair story, changing both risk and valuation.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

paid tax help remains resilient against DIY, AI, and government-free filing while management keeps converting that cash into per-share value.

Evidence assessed Oct 19, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for H&R Block

Where the evidence on H&R Block stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 19, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Tax complexity and the need for filing confidence keep enough taxpayers paying H&R Block for help rather than switching en masse to free or lower-cost DIY options.

    sec.gov ↗

  • H&R Block’s brand, standardized tax workflow, and operating scale continue to turn tax-season demand into gross profit even as labor, marketing, and software competition pressure pricing.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The seasonal tax-preparation model keeps converting earnings into operating cash flow, giving H&R Block flexibility to fund technology, marketing, financial products, and shareholder returns without depending on aggressive balance-sheet expansion.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Because the core market is mature, the equity case depends on management using cash generation to grow per-share value rather than chasing low-return expansion.

    sec.gov ↗

  • H&R Block’s cash buffer remains sufficient to manage the highly seasonal tax business and its liability-heavy balance sheet without forcing defensive capital actions.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • IRS Direct File expands nationally and covers more taxpayer situations, reducing the need for paid preparers.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A preparer labor shortage forces higher seasonal wages or signing bonuses across H&R Block offices.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Refund delays, tax-law changes, or financial-product disruptions shift client activity and cash receipts outside the normal tax-season window.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · H&R Block

Loading the break-condition record for H&R Block.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    H&R Block filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-14: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    H&R Block filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-11: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    H&R Block filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • IRS Direct File expands nationally and covers more taxpayer situations, reducing the need for paid preparers.
  • A preparer labor shortage forces higher seasonal wages or signing bonuses across H&R Block offices.
  • Refund delays, tax-law changes, or financial-product disruptions shift client activity and cash receipts outside the normal tax-season window.
  • Management uses cash for acquisitions or new initiatives outside tax preparation, financial products, and small-business solutions that do not earn adequate returns.
  • A disruption in tax-season financing or refund-related products increases working-capital needs at the worst point in the seasonal cycle.

HRB news

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Financial statements

HRB income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

HRB: quick answers

When does H&R Block (HRB) report earnings next?
H&R Block's next results are projected for February 2, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 9, 2026. Earnings calendar
Have members of Congress traded HRB?
10 trades in HRB have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed HRB trade
Which well-known investors own HRB?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported HRB shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

HRB in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported HRB shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.00%$334K−81.2%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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