HMH Holding

HMHNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$11.72
+$1.15 (+10.88%)Today 1M −44.57%
After hours$11.90+1.54%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$10.57
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$10.91–$11.85
Regular-session low and high so far today.
406.1K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 3 projected
Projected for 2027-02-03 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$10.31–$24.50
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own HMH if HMH is an oilfield equipment manufacturer whose investment case rests on a tangible asset base and a cash/ equity-backed balance sheet that should let it survive oil-cycle troughs and capture upside when customers restart.

HMH price history

Latest price$11.72Today+$1.15 (+10.88%)
HMH -38.48%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • HMH's cash balance provides a near-term liquidity buffer that lets management avoid a rushed external equity raise or fire-sale of assets during a short oilfield downturn.HoldingMateriality: High

    CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue = 96,585,000 USD (period_end 2025-12-31). If true, the company can survive temporary demand troughs and selectively invest to capture recovery; if false, shareholders face dilution or forced asset sales that destroy value.

    Watch: A large unexpected working-capital swing or contract claim that requires tens of millions of incremental cash to cure.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue = 96,585,000 USD (period_end 2025-12-31).

    Open source ↗
  • The company's sizable asset base (machinery, inventory, fixed assets) provides the operational capacity and credibility to win large, lumpy oilfield equipment contracts when upstream capex recovers.HoldingMateriality: High

    Assets = 1,357,704,000 USD (period_end 2025-12-31) — a material tangible base for an equipment business. If HMH can convert a market recovery into higher utilization and pricing power, revenue and margins will rise without equivalent incremental capital spending; if its assets are obsolete or impaired, wins won't translate to profit.

    Watch: Significant asset impairments or write-offs (evidence of obsolescence or overcapacity) that reduce productive capacity.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Assets = 1,357,704,000 USD (period_end 2025-12-31) — a material tangible base for an equipment business.

    Open source ↗
  • HMH's liabilities level relative to its asset base and equity suggests leverage is currently manageable, preserving flexibility to fund operations, bid on contracts, or pursue opportunistic M&A without immediate refinancing stress.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Liabilities = 657,252,000 USD (period_end 2025-12-31), a figure that can be assessed against assets and cash to judge solvency. Manageable liabilities mean the company can withstand cyclical revenue drops and avoid covenant breaches; rising or concentrated liabilities would force defensive actions that destroy optionality.

    Watch: Near-term maturities or covenant tests that coincide with a demand trough and require refinancing at materially higher rates.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Liabilities = 657,252,000 USD (period_end 2025-12-31), a figure that can be assessed against assets and cash to judge solvency.

    Open source ↗
  • Reported stockholders' equity levels indicate the company has not taken large equity dilutive actions recently and may be preserving shareholder ownership while managing the cycle.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    StockholdersEquity = 210,261,000 USD (period_end 2026-06-30) and 216,775,000 USD (period_end 2026-09-30) — sequential increase in mid-2026 reported filings. If equity remains stable or rises, investors are less likely to face dilution; if equity falls because of losses or issuances, per-share value will be impaired even if revenue recovers.

    Watch: A material equity offering or conversion event disclosed (Form S-3 or shelf takedown) that increases shares outstanding.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    StockholdersEquity = 210,261,000 USD (period_end 2026-06-30) and 216,775,000 USD (period_end 2026-09-30) — sequential increase in mid-2026 reported filings.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

HMH's cash balance provides a near-term liquidity buffer that lets management avoid a rushed external equity raise or fire-sale of assets during a short oilfield downturn. If true, the company can survive temporary demand troughs and selectively invest to capture recovery; if false, shareholders face dilution or forced asset sales that destroy value.

The company's sizable asset base (machinery, inventory, fixed assets) provides the operational capacity and credibility to win large, lumpy oilfield equipment contracts when upstream capex recovers. If HMH can convert a market recovery into higher utilization and pricing power, revenue and margins will rise without equivalent incremental capital spending; if its assets are obsolete or impaired, wins won't translate to profit.

HMH's liabilities level relative to its asset base and equity suggests leverage is currently manageable, preserving flexibility to fund operations, bid on contracts, or pursue opportunistic M&A without immediate refinancing stress. Manageable liabilities mean the company can withstand cyclical revenue drops and avoid covenant breaches; rising or concentrated liabilities would force defensive actions that destroy optionality.

Reported stockholders' equity levels indicate the company has not taken large equity dilutive actions recently and may be preserving shareholder ownership while managing the cycle. If equity remains stable or rises, investors are less likely to face dilution; if equity falls because of losses or issuances, per-share value will be impaired even if revenue recovers.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

HMH is an oilfield equipment manufacturer whose investment case rests on a tangible asset base and a cash/ equity-backed balance sheet that should let it survive oil-cycle troughs and capture upside when customers restart.

Evidence assessed Nov 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for HMH Holding

Where the evidence on HMH Holding stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • HMH's cash balance provides a near-term liquidity buffer that lets management avoid a rushed external equity raise or fire-sale of assets during a short oilfield downturn.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The company's sizable asset base (machinery, inventory, fixed assets) provides the operational capacity and credibility to win large, lumpy oilfield equipment contracts when upstream capex recovers.

    sec.gov ↗

  • HMH's liabilities level relative to its asset base and equity suggests leverage is currently manageable, preserving flexibility to fund operations, bid on contracts, or pursue opportunistic M&A without immediate refinancing stress.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Reported stockholders' equity levels indicate the company has not taken large equity dilutive actions recently and may be preserving shareholder ownership while managing the cycle.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • A large unexpected working-capital swing or contract claim that requires tens of millions of incremental cash to cure.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Significant asset impairments or write-offs (evidence of obsolescence or overcapacity) that reduce productive capacity.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Near-term maturities or covenant tests that coincide with a demand trough and require refinancing at materially higher rates.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · HMH Holding

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

Loading the break-condition record for HMH Holding.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    HMH Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-04: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    HMH Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    HMH Holding filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • A large unexpected working-capital swing or contract claim that requires tens of millions of incremental cash to cure.
  • Significant asset impairments or write-offs (evidence of obsolescence or overcapacity) that reduce productive capacity.
  • Near-term maturities or covenant tests that coincide with a demand trough and require refinancing at materially higher rates.
  • A material equity offering or conversion event disclosed (Form S-3 or shelf takedown) that increases shares outstanding.

HMH news

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Financial statements

HMH income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

HMH: quick answers

When does HMH Holding (HMH) report earnings next?
HMH Holding's next results are projected for February 3, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 4, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is HMH's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 1.1M HMH shares were sold short, 8.65% of its shares outstanding, up 2.8% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 9.9 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. HMH short interest history
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