Hagerty
HGTYNYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $16.94 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $15.60–$16.68 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 9.6M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $9.36–$19.41 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own HGTY if it sustains double‑digit growth and underwriting profitability the business justifies a premium multiple, otherwise the valuation is fragile.
HGTY price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
A passionate collector‑car community gives Hagerty repeatable cross‑sell into insurance, membership and marketplace revenue that drives durable organic growth and high LTV/CAC economics.HoldingMateriality: High
Revenue increased from $619.079m (2021) to $1,456.389m (2025), showing sustained top‑line scale. If true, revenue and margins come from repeatable, low‑cost cross‑sell and growth is durable; if false, growth will require expensive customer acquisition or M&A and returns will fall.
Watch: Large incumbent insurers or insurtechs offering lower premium pricing or broad affinity programs that win classic‑car customers.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Revenue increased from $619.079m (2021) to $1,456.389m (2025), showing sustained top‑line scale.
Open source ↗Insurance underwriting plus recurring digital services provide operating leverage: as revenue scales, operating cash flow should grow faster than revenue, improving free cash generation and funding expansion.StrengtheningMateriality: High
Operating cash flow rose from $133.706m (2023) to $177.024m (2024) to $218.986m (2025), increasing faster than revenue growth in the last two years. Strong operating leverage converts growth into cash and value; if underwriting economics deteriorate, cash flow and reinvestment capacity fall and the premium multiple is unsupported.
Watch: Worsening claims frequency/severity (insurance loss ratio or catastrophic events) increasing paid losses and reducing underwriting margin.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Operating cash flow rose from $133.706m (2023) to $177.024m (2024) to $218.986m (2025), increasing faster than revenue growth in the.
Open source ↗Hagerty has strengthened its balance sheet (cash and equity) enabling inorganic optionality and resilience; disciplined capital allocation can compound per‑share value.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Stockholders' equity grew from $92.704m (2023) to $150.322m (2024) to $221.316m (2025), indicating balance‑sheet improvement. A stronger balance sheet supports M&A, product investment, and withstands underwriting shocks; if capital is poorly allocated (expensive M&A or dilution) returns suffer.
Watch: Aggressive acquisition strategy that overpays for targets and destroys returns.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Stockholders' equity grew from $92.704m (2023) to $150.322m (2024) to $221.316m (2025), indicating balance‑sheet improvement.
Open source ↗Sustained underwriting discipline (loss ratios, reinsurance) is a core causal driver of net income and cash generation; durable underwriting performance converts premium scale into shareholder value.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Net income recovered from a loss of $61.354m (2021) to positive $28.179m (2023), $78.303m (2024) and $149.225m (2025), implying improvement in core profitability over time. If underwriting stays disciplined, earnings and cash flow expand; if underwriting deteriorates, growth may be worthless because losses consume premiums.
Watch: Large catastrophe years or materially worse-than-expected loss development on reserves.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Net income recovered from a loss of $61.354m (2021) to positive $28.179m (2023), $78.303m (2024) and $149.225m (2025), implying improvement.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
A passionate collector‑car community gives Hagerty repeatable cross‑sell into insurance, membership and marketplace revenue that drives durable organic growth and high LTV/CAC economics. If true, revenue and margins come from repeatable, low‑cost cross‑sell and growth is durable; if false, growth will require expensive customer acquisition or M&A and returns will fall.
Insurance underwriting plus recurring digital services provide operating leverage: as revenue scales, operating cash flow should grow faster than revenue, improving free cash generation and funding expansion. Strong operating leverage converts growth into cash and value; if underwriting economics deteriorate, cash flow and reinvestment capacity fall and the premium multiple is unsupported.
Hagerty has strengthened its balance sheet (cash and equity) enabling inorganic optionality and resilience; disciplined capital allocation can compound per‑share value. A stronger balance sheet supports M&A, product investment, and withstands underwriting shocks; if capital is poorly allocated (expensive M&A or dilution) returns suffer.
Sustained underwriting discipline (loss ratios, reinsurance) is a core causal driver of net income and cash generation; durable underwriting performance converts premium scale into shareholder value. If underwriting stays disciplined, earnings and cash flow expand; if underwriting deteriorates, growth may be worthless because losses consume premiums.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
it sustains double‑digit growth and underwriting profitability the business justifies a premium multiple, otherwise the valuation is fragile.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Hagerty
Where the evidence on Hagerty stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 9, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
A passionate collector‑car community gives Hagerty repeatable cross‑sell into insurance, membership and marketplace revenue that drives durable organic growth and high LTV/CAC economics.
Insurance underwriting plus recurring digital services provide operating leverage: as revenue scales, operating cash flow should grow faster than revenue, improving free cash generation and funding expansion.
Hagerty has strengthened its balance sheet (cash and equity) enabling inorganic optionality and resilience; disciplined capital allocation can compound per‑share value.
Sustained underwriting discipline (loss ratios, reinsurance) is a core causal driver of net income and cash generation; durable underwriting performance converts premium scale into shareholder value.
Bear case: what would count against it
Large incumbent insurers or insurtechs offering lower premium pricing or broad affinity programs that win classic‑car customers.
Worsening claims frequency/severity (insurance loss ratio or catastrophic events) increasing paid losses and reducing underwriting margin.
Aggressive acquisition strategy that overpays for targets and destroys returns.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Hagerty
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MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Hagerty filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-03: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
Hagerty filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-11: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedRegulation FD disclosure.
Hagerty filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-09: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Large incumbent insurers or insurtechs offering lower premium pricing or broad affinity programs that win classic‑car customers.
- Worsening claims frequency/severity (insurance loss ratio or catastrophic events) increasing paid losses and reducing underwriting margin.
- Aggressive acquisition strategy that overpays for targets and destroys returns.
- Large catastrophe years or materially worse-than-expected loss development on reserves.
HGTY news
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Financial statements
HGTY income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
HGTY: quick answers
- Which well-known investors own HGTY?
- 1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported HGTY shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Markel Group (Tom Gayner), 0.3%. Fund portfolios
HGTY in well-known investors’ portfolios
1 of 37 funds reported HGTY shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom GaynerMarkel Group | 0.33% | $41.8M | No change | Q3 2026 |
