The Hain Celestial Group

HAINNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

Email me when the HAIN thesis changes

Evidence-based analysis, not personalized investment advice. Every alert email carries an unsubscribe link.

Follow on X
$0.13
−$0.00 (−1.48%)Today 1M −76.36%
After hours$0.14+5.26%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$0.14
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$0.13–$0.15
Regular-session low and high so far today.
3.0M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 8 projected
Projected for 2027-02-08 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$0.12–$1.48
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own HAIN if its better-for-you food and beverage brands regain enough consumer pull, margin, and cash conversion before balance-sheet pressure forces value leakage.

HAIN price history

Latest price$0.13Today−$0.00 (-1.48%)
HAIN -78.25%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

Loading recent earnings…

Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Retailer and consumer pull for Hain’s better-for-you portfolio stabilizes enough to prevent continued broad-based shelf-space and volume erosion.WeakeningMateriality: High

    The company profile describes Hain as focused on a portfolio of better-for-you food and beverages. If brand pull stabilizes, Hain can rebuild profit on its existing scale; if it does not, cost cuts merely shrink the business into a weaker fixed-cost base.

    Watch: Major retailers reduce shelf space for Hain categories in favor of private-label better-for-you products.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    The company profile describes Hain as focused on a portfolio of better-for-you food and beverages.

    Open source ↗
  • Portfolio focus, pricing, and productivity actions regain enough traction to stop the erosion in branded-food gross economics.WeakeningMateriality: High

    FY2025 GAAP annual gross profit was still positive at $334.1 million. Revenue stabilization only creates owner value if Hain can protect gross profit dollars rather than buying volume through discounts and promotions.

    Watch: Retailers demand higher trade spending to keep Hain products on shelf.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 GAAP annual gross profit was still positive at $334.1 million.

    Open source ↗
  • The FY2025 operating loss reflects fixable portfolio and cost-base issues rather than permanent impairment of Hain’s brand economics.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Hain generated positive GAAP annual operating income of $104.7 million in FY2022, so the business has recently been capable of operating profitability. If losses are temporary, normalized earnings can re-emerge; if they are structural, the equity may be a value trap despite low expectations.

    Watch: Management records additional brand or goodwill impairments because future cash-flow expectations for key brands are cut again.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Hain generated positive GAAP annual operating income of $104.7 million in FY2022, so the business has recently been capable of.

    Open source ↗
  • Working-capital discipline and core brand cash generation keep the turnaround internally funded rather than becoming a cash drain.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in each year shown from FY2022 through FY2025. Positive cash flow gives management time to fix the portfolio; cash burn would shift value from common shareholders to creditors or new capital providers.

    Watch: Retailer destocking or slower customer payments turns receivables and inventory into a cash use.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in each year shown from FY2022 through FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • The balance sheet retains enough common-equity cushion to give the operating turnaround time without a dilutive recapitalization.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    FY2025 GAAP stockholders’ equity remained positive at $475.0 million. Even a business recovery can fail for shareholders if lenders or new equity capital capture the economics first.

    Watch: Further impairments reduce equity and trigger tighter lender scrutiny.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    FY2025 GAAP stockholders’ equity remained positive at $475.0 million.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Retailer and consumer pull for Hain’s better-for-you portfolio stabilizes enough to prevent continued broad-based shelf-space and volume erosion. If brand pull stabilizes, Hain can rebuild profit on its existing scale; if it does not, cost cuts merely shrink the business into a weaker fixed-cost base.

Portfolio focus, pricing, and productivity actions regain enough traction to stop the erosion in branded-food gross economics. Revenue stabilization only creates owner value if Hain can protect gross profit dollars rather than buying volume through discounts and promotions.

The FY2025 operating loss reflects fixable portfolio and cost-base issues rather than permanent impairment of Hain’s brand economics. If losses are temporary, normalized earnings can re-emerge; if they are structural, the equity may be a value trap despite low expectations.

Working-capital discipline and core brand cash generation keep the turnaround internally funded rather than becoming a cash drain. Positive cash flow gives management time to fix the portfolio; cash burn would shift value from common shareholders to creditors or new capital providers.

The balance sheet retains enough common-equity cushion to give the operating turnaround time without a dilutive recapitalization. Even a business recovery can fail for shareholders if lenders or new equity capital capture the economics first.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its better-for-you food and beverage brands regain enough consumer pull, margin, and cash conversion before balance-sheet pressure forces value leakage.

Evidence assessed Oct 12, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for HAIN Celestial Group

Where the evidence on HAIN Celestial Group disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 12, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 holding and 4 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Working-capital discipline and core brand cash generation keep the turnaround internally funded rather than becoming a cash drain.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Retailer and consumer pull for Hain’s better-for-you portfolio stabilizes enough to prevent continued broad-based shelf-space and volume erosion.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Portfolio focus, pricing, and productivity actions regain enough traction to stop the erosion in branded-food gross economics.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The FY2025 operating loss reflects fixable portfolio and cost-base issues rather than permanent impairment of Hain’s brand economics.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The balance sheet retains enough common-equity cushion to give the operating turnaround time without a dilutive recapitalization.

    sec.gov ↗

Company research

Research on HAIN Celestial Group

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in HAIN Celestial Group’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on HAIN Celestial Group, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for HAIN Celestial Group.

peers+15%-20%-2%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -2% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+15% to -20%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

  • Revenue declinecondition set before this filing

Several kinds of break have stacked on HAIN Celestial Group at once. A cluster is a stronger read than any one signal alone.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Delisting notice or listing-rule failure.

    HAIN Celestial Group filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-28: Delisting notice or listing-rule failure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    HAIN Celestial Group filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-14: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    HAIN Celestial Group filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-11: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Major retailers reduce shelf space for Hain categories in favor of private-label better-for-you products.
  • Retailers demand higher trade spending to keep Hain products on shelf.
  • Management records additional brand or goodwill impairments because future cash-flow expectations for key brands are cut again.
  • Retailer destocking or slower customer payments turns receivables and inventory into a cash use.
  • Further impairments reduce equity and trigger tighter lender scrutiny.

HAIN news

Loading headlines…

Financial statements

HAIN income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

HAIN: quick answers

When does HAIN Celestial Group (HAIN) report earnings next?
HAIN Celestial Group's next results are projected for February 8, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 9, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is HAIN's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 6.2M HAIN shares were sold short, 6.80% of its shares outstanding, up 18.1% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 2.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. HAIN short interest history
Have members of Congress traded HAIN?
10 trades in HAIN have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed HAIN trade
ScoutJUST THIS STORY

LET’S MAKE THIS USEFUL · 1 OF 5

How would you like me to explain this?

Tell me what you want from this read. Start with a quick note, then adjust the details. Your other stories stay as they are.

We’ll remember your view of this story. The published article stays unchanged.

THIS STORY’S READING VIEWStandard · The whole picture

Clear explanations with context. Both sides of the evidence.