GDS Holdings
GDSNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $21.41 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $22.23–$23.48 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 2.7M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $20.57–$48.61 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own GDS if GDS is a capital-intensive bet that China and Asia cloud/AI customers keep outsourcing mission-critical data-center capacity to a specialist fast enough to fill new campuses, lift utilization, and cover a leveraged asset base.
GDS price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Cloud, internet and AI customers continue to outsource mission-critical data-center capacity to GDS rather than self-build enough supply to displace specialist colocation providers.StrengtheningMateriality: High
GAAP annual revenue rose from CNY 7.8 billion in FY2021 to CNY 11.4 billion in FY2025. If outsourcing demand holds, GDS can keep filling capacity; if customers internalize capacity, revenue growth and asset returns weaken before margins recover.
Watch: Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud, ByteDance or Huawei Cloud materially increase self-built campuses and reduce third-party colocation commitments.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue rose from CNY 7.8 billion in FY2021 to CNY 11.4 billion in FY2025.
Open source ↗Higher utilization and operating scale allow GDS to spread fixed facility costs and preserve gross economics despite power and price pressure.StrengtheningMateriality: High
GAAP annual gross profit increased from CNY 1.8 billion in FY2021 to CNY 2.6 billion in FY2025. This determines whether growth is valuable infrastructure compounding or merely more low-return capacity.
Watch: Electricity costs rise or power-supply constraints force higher-cost energy procurement that cannot be passed through to customers.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual gross profit increased from CNY 1.8 billion in FY2021 to CNY 2.6 billion in FY2025.
Open source ↗Expansion only creates per-share value if GDS builds against committed demand rather than speculative capacity that leaves depreciation, power reservations and financing costs ahead of utilization.HoldingMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual revenue still grew in FY2025, showing demand exists for at least part of the asset base. This is the difference between growth that compounds equity value and growth that destroys value through idle assets and losses.
Watch: Management announces large new campuses without disclosed anchor tenants or pre-commitments.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue still grew in FY2025, showing demand exists for at least part of the asset base.
Open source ↗Long-term, mission-critical colocation relationships keep cash collections resilient even when GAAP earnings are volatile.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in each fiscal year shown from FY2022 through FY2025. Positive operating cash flow gives GDS time to fund growth and manage debt; deterioration would expose the balance sheet quickly.
Watch: A large cloud or internet customer renegotiates payment terms, delays move-ins, or exits a facility.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in each fiscal year shown from FY2022 through FY2025.
Open source ↗GDS must keep enough liquidity and lender support to finance power-dense growth without a distressed refinancing or equity dilution.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Cash and cash equivalents increased from CNY 7.9 billion at FY2024 year-end to CNY 14.3 billion at FY2025 year-end. Because data centers require heavy upfront capital, financing terms can decide whether operating growth accrues to shareholders or creditors.
Watch: Credit markets tighten for China ADRs or Asian data-center issuers, forcing refinancing at punitive rates.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash and cash equivalents increased from CNY 7.9 billion at FY2024 year-end to CNY 14.3 billion at FY2025 year-end.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Cloud, internet and AI customers continue to outsource mission-critical data-center capacity to GDS rather than self-build enough supply to displace specialist colocation providers. If outsourcing demand holds, GDS can keep filling capacity; if customers internalize capacity, revenue growth and asset returns weaken before margins recover.
Higher utilization and operating scale allow GDS to spread fixed facility costs and preserve gross economics despite power and price pressure. This determines whether growth is valuable infrastructure compounding or merely more low-return capacity.
Expansion only creates per-share value if GDS builds against committed demand rather than speculative capacity that leaves depreciation, power reservations and financing costs ahead of utilization. This is the difference between growth that compounds equity value and growth that destroys value through idle assets and losses.
Long-term, mission-critical colocation relationships keep cash collections resilient even when GAAP earnings are volatile. Positive operating cash flow gives GDS time to fund growth and manage debt; deterioration would expose the balance sheet quickly.
GDS must keep enough liquidity and lender support to finance power-dense growth without a distressed refinancing or equity dilution. Because data centers require heavy upfront capital, financing terms can decide whether operating growth accrues to shareholders or creditors.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
GDS is a capital-intensive bet that China and Asia cloud/AI customers keep outsourcing mission-critical data-center capacity to a specialist fast enough to fill new campuses, lift utilization, and cover a leveraged asset base.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for GDS Holdings
Where the evidence on GDS Holdings stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 24, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 2 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Cloud, internet and AI customers continue to outsource mission-critical data-center capacity to GDS rather than self-build enough supply to displace specialist colocation providers.
Higher utilization and operating scale allow GDS to spread fixed facility costs and preserve gross economics despite power and price pressure.
Expansion only creates per-share value if GDS builds against committed demand rather than speculative capacity that leaves depreciation, power reservations and financing costs ahead of utilization.
Long-term, mission-critical colocation relationships keep cash collections resilient even when GAAP earnings are volatile.
GDS must keep enough liquidity and lender support to finance power-dense growth without a distressed refinancing or equity dilution.
Bear case: what would count against it
Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud, ByteDance or Huawei Cloud materially increase self-built campuses and reduce third-party colocation commitments.
Electricity costs rise or power-supply constraints force higher-cost energy procurement that cannot be passed through to customers.
Management announces large new campuses without disclosed anchor tenants or pre-commitments.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · GDS Holdings
No break has crossed GDS Holdings’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedForeign issuer material report (6-K).
GDS Holdings filed an SEC report on 2026-09-04: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedForeign issuer material report (6-K).
GDS Holdings filed an SEC report on 2026-08-13: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedForeign issuer material report (6-K).
GDS Holdings filed an SEC report on 2026-07-30: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud, ByteDance or Huawei Cloud materially increase self-built campuses and reduce third-party colocation commitments.
- Electricity costs rise or power-supply constraints force higher-cost energy procurement that cannot be passed through to customers.
- Management announces large new campuses without disclosed anchor tenants or pre-commitments.
- A large cloud or internet customer renegotiates payment terms, delays move-ins, or exits a facility.
- Credit markets tighten for China ADRs or Asian data-center issuers, forcing refinancing at punitive rates.
GDS news
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Financial statements
GDS income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
GDS: quick answers
- What is GDS's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 14.5M GDS shares were sold short, up 5.8% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 6.2 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. GDS short interest history
- Which well-known investors own GDS?
- 1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported GDS shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Baupost Group (Seth Klarman), 2.1%. Fund portfolios
GDS in well-known investors’ portfolios
1 of 37 funds reported GDS shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth KlarmanBaupost Group | 2.1% | $113M | +23.8% | Q2 2026 |
