Greene Bancorp
GCBCNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $35.82 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $35.66–$36.40 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 32.2K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $21.38–$37.25 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own GCBC if its small Catskill-centered community bank franchise keeps converting local deposits into conservatively underwritten earning assets while retaining enough capital to absorb rate and credit shocks.
GCBC price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
GCBC’s community-bank relationships remain strong enough to turn local deposits and borrower demand into earning-asset growth without needing transformational M&A or aggressive risk-taking.StrengtheningMateriality: High
GAAP total assets increased from $2.200 billion at FY2021 year-end to $3.041 billion at FY2025 year-end. If this holds, intrinsic value can compound through balance-sheet growth; if it breaks, GCBC becomes a low-growth local bank exposed mainly to margin and credit cycles.
Watch: Large regional banks, credit unions, or online banks win GCBC’s local deposits with higher-yield savings and CD offers before the bank can replace that funding economically.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP total assets increased from $2.200 billion at FY2021 year-end to $3.041 billion at FY2025 year-end.
Open source ↗The deposit and liquidity franchise remains stable enough that GCBC is not forced into expensive wholesale funding or defensive balance-sheet shrinkage during rate competition.HoldingMateriality: High
GAAP cash was $183.078 million at FY2025 year-end, above the FY2021 year-end level of $149.775 million. Stable funding protects net interest income and franchise value; funding stress would pressure margins and could force the bank to sacrifice growth or capital flexibility.
Watch: Rate-sensitive deposit customers move funds to money-market funds, online banks, or larger banks offering materially higher yields.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP cash was $183.078 million at FY2025 year-end, above the FY2021 year-end level of $149.775 million.
Open source ↗GCBC’s underwriting and asset-liability discipline continue to protect earnings power through the credit and rate cycle rather than allowing balance-sheet growth to become low-quality growth.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual net_income recovered to $31.138 million in FY2025 from $24.769 million in FY2024. For a bank, growth only creates value if credit losses and funding costs do not consume the spread; a break here would turn asset growth into book-value risk.
Watch: Commercial real estate, small-business, or residential borrowers in GCBC’s local markets show rising delinquencies, criticized loans, or charge-offs before net income falls.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual net_income recovered to $31.138 million in FY2025 from $24.769 million in FY2024.
Open source ↗Management continues to retain enough earnings and maintain balance-sheet discipline so equity compounds and provides a buffer against rate marks, credit losses, and regulatory pressure.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
GAAP stockholders’ equity increased from $149.584 million at FY2021 year-end to $238.837 million at FY2025 year-end. Equity growth is the bank owner’s margin of safety and capacity for future earning-asset growth; erosion would limit dividends, growth, and strategic flexibility.
Watch: Credit losses or securities marks consume capital before reported equity growth resumes.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP stockholders’ equity increased from $149.584 million at FY2021 year-end to $238.837 million at FY2025 year-end.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
GCBC’s community-bank relationships remain strong enough to turn local deposits and borrower demand into earning-asset growth without needing transformational M&A or aggressive risk-taking. If this holds, intrinsic value can compound through balance-sheet growth; if it breaks, GCBC becomes a low-growth local bank exposed mainly to margin and credit cycles.
The deposit and liquidity franchise remains stable enough that GCBC is not forced into expensive wholesale funding or defensive balance-sheet shrinkage during rate competition. Stable funding protects net interest income and franchise value; funding stress would pressure margins and could force the bank to sacrifice growth or capital flexibility.
GCBC’s underwriting and asset-liability discipline continue to protect earnings power through the credit and rate cycle rather than allowing balance-sheet growth to become low-quality growth. For a bank, growth only creates value if credit losses and funding costs do not consume the spread; a break here would turn asset growth into book-value risk.
Management continues to retain enough earnings and maintain balance-sheet discipline so equity compounds and provides a buffer against rate marks, credit losses, and regulatory pressure. Equity growth is the bank owner’s margin of safety and capacity for future earning-asset growth; erosion would limit dividends, growth, and strategic flexibility.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
its small Catskill-centered community bank franchise keeps converting local deposits into conservatively underwritten earning assets while retaining enough capital to absorb rate and credit shocks.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Greene County Bancorp
Where the evidence on Greene County Bancorp stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
GCBC’s community-bank relationships remain strong enough to turn local deposits and borrower demand into earning-asset growth without needing transformational M&A or aggressive risk-taking.
The deposit and liquidity franchise remains stable enough that GCBC is not forced into expensive wholesale funding or defensive balance-sheet shrinkage during rate competition.
GCBC’s underwriting and asset-liability discipline continue to protect earnings power through the credit and rate cycle rather than allowing balance-sheet growth to become low-quality growth.
Management continues to retain enough earnings and maintain balance-sheet discipline so equity compounds and provides a buffer against rate marks, credit losses, and regulatory pressure.
Bear case: what would count against it
Large regional banks, credit unions, or online banks win GCBC’s local deposits with higher-yield savings and CD offers before the bank can replace that funding economically.
Rate-sensitive deposit customers move funds to money-market funds, online banks, or larger banks offering materially higher yields.
Commercial real estate, small-business, or residential borrowers in GCBC’s local markets show rising delinquencies, criticized loans, or charge-offs before net income falls.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Greene County Bancorp
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MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedOther material event.
Greene County Bancorp filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-15: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Greene County Bancorp filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-23: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedOther material event.
Greene County Bancorp filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-22: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Large regional banks, credit unions, or online banks win GCBC’s local deposits with higher-yield savings and CD offers before the bank can replace that funding economically.
- Rate-sensitive deposit customers move funds to money-market funds, online banks, or larger banks offering materially higher yields.
- Commercial real estate, small-business, or residential borrowers in GCBC’s local markets show rising delinquencies, criticized loans, or charge-offs before net income falls.
- Credit losses or securities marks consume capital before reported equity growth resumes.
GCBC news
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Financial statements
GCBC income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
GCBC: quick answers
- Have members of Congress traded GCBC?
- 1 trade in GCBC has been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed GCBC trade
