F.N.B.

FNBNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$18.18
−$0.06 (−0.33%)Today 1M +6.92%
After hours$18.180.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$18.24
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$18.08–$18.28
Regular-session low and high so far today.
2.6M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Jan 20 projected
Projected for 2027-01-20 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$15.21–$19.59
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own FNB if FNB is a regional community bank that compunds shareholder value by funding local loan growth from sticky deposit relationships, supplementing yields with fee businesses (wealth & insurance), and extracting scale through centralized operations —.

FNB price history

Latest price$18.18Today−$0.06 (-0.33%)
FNB +5.33%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • FNB's branch footprint and community relationship banking will continue to supply sticky deposit funding that supports organic loan growth and net interest income expansion.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Assets increased from $39,513,000,000 (2021) to $50,229,000,000 (2025) (fundamentals: assets). If true, loan-funded NII growth drives earnings and ROE without risky wholesale funding; if false, the bank must pay up for funding or shrink assets.

    Watch: Large uninsured deposit outflows or a regional funding crisis that forces wholesale funding at higher cost (e.g., flight to large national banks or money-market shifts).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Assets increased from $39,513,000,000 (2021) to $50,229,000,000 (2025) (fundamentals: assets).

    Open source ↗
  • Centralized operations, treasury and enterprise risk functions will keep operating costs and credit provisioning more consistent than a fragmented regional peer set, supporting stable cash generation and margins.HoldingMateriality: High

    Positive operating cash flow in recent years (Operating cash flow: $530,000,000 in 2021. Stable operating efficiency preserves profitability as revenue swings occur; failure raises the efficiency ratio, compressing margins and ROE.

    Watch: Rising compliance or remediation costs tied to consent orders (or other regulatory actions) that inflate operating expense.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Positive operating cash flow in recent years (Operating cash flow: $530,000,000 in 2021.

    Open source ↗
  • Wealth Management and Insurance segments will materially diversify revenue, reducing earnings cyclicality and boosting fee income as a percent of total revenue.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Total revenue expanded from $1,237,000,000 (2021) to $1,765,000,000 (2025) (fundamentals: revenue). A larger fee base raises revenue resilience versus pure NII sensitivity to rates and loan cycles, supporting a higher multiple and steadier ROE.

    Watch: Volatility in mortgage banking and investment markets that reduces wealth-related fees (e.g., market drawdowns, lower transaction volumes).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Total revenue expanded from $1,237,000,000 (2021) to $1,765,000,000 (2025) (fundamentals: revenue).

    Open source ↗
  • Regulatory consent orders and supervisory restrictions (already disclosed) can materially constrain capital deployment (dividends, buybacks, M&A) and therefore cap shareholder returns until fully remediated.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Equity grew from $5,150,000,000 (2021) to $6,759,000,000 (2025) (fundamentals: equity). If regulatory constraints persist, even good operating performance may not translate into higher per-share returns; remediation improves optionality and valuation.

    Watch: Escalation of enforcement (additional consent orders, large fines, or operational restrictions) that delay capital return.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Equity grew from $5,150,000,000 (2021) to $6,759,000,000 (2025) (fundamentals: equity).

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

FNB's branch footprint and community relationship banking will continue to supply sticky deposit funding that supports organic loan growth and net interest income expansion. If true, loan-funded NII growth drives earnings and ROE without risky wholesale funding; if false, the bank must pay up for funding or shrink assets.

Centralized operations, treasury and enterprise risk functions will keep operating costs and credit provisioning more consistent than a fragmented regional peer set, supporting stable cash generation and margins. Stable operating efficiency preserves profitability as revenue swings occur; failure raises the efficiency ratio, compressing margins and ROE.

Wealth Management and Insurance segments will materially diversify revenue, reducing earnings cyclicality and boosting fee income as a percent of total revenue. A larger fee base raises revenue resilience versus pure NII sensitivity to rates and loan cycles, supporting a higher multiple and steadier ROE.

Regulatory consent orders and supervisory restrictions (already disclosed) can materially constrain capital deployment (dividends, buybacks, M&A) and therefore cap shareholder returns until fully remediated. If regulatory constraints persist, even good operating performance may not translate into higher per-share returns; remediation improves optionality and valuation.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

FNB is a regional community bank that compunds shareholder value by funding local loan growth from sticky deposit relationships, supplementing yields with fee businesses (wealth & insurance), and extracting scale through centralized operations —.

Evidence assessed Nov 7, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for FNB

Where the evidence on FNB stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • FNB's branch footprint and community relationship banking will continue to supply sticky deposit funding that supports organic loan growth and net interest income expansion.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Centralized operations, treasury and enterprise risk functions will keep operating costs and credit provisioning more consistent than a fragmented regional peer set, supporting stable cash generation and margins.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Wealth Management and Insurance segments will materially diversify revenue, reducing earnings cyclicality and boosting fee income as a percent of total revenue.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Regulatory consent orders and supervisory restrictions (already disclosed) can materially constrain capital deployment (dividends, buybacks, M&A) and therefore cap shareholder returns until fully remediated.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large uninsured deposit outflows or a regional funding crisis that forces wholesale funding at higher cost (e.g., flight to large national banks or money-market shifts).

    sec.gov ↗

  • Rising compliance or remediation costs tied to consent orders (or other regulatory actions) that inflate operating expense.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Volatility in mortgage banking and investment markets that reduces wealth-related fees (e.g., market drawdowns, lower transaction volumes).

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · FNB

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed FNB’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    FNB filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-20: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    FNB filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-17: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    FNB filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-19: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large uninsured deposit outflows or a regional funding crisis that forces wholesale funding at higher cost (e.g., flight to large national banks or money-market shifts).
  • Rising compliance or remediation costs tied to consent orders (or other regulatory actions) that inflate operating expense.
  • Volatility in mortgage banking and investment markets that reduces wealth-related fees (e.g., market drawdowns, lower transaction volumes).
  • Escalation of enforcement (additional consent orders, large fines, or operational restrictions) that delay capital return.

FNB news

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Financial statements

FNB income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

FNB: quick answers

When does FNB (FNB) report earnings next?
FNB's next results are projected for January 20, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 20, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is FNB's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 20.3M FNB shares were sold short, 5.80% of its shares outstanding, down 9.6% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.1 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. FNB short interest history
Which well-known investors own FNB?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported FNB shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.1%. Fund portfolios

FNB in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported FNB shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.14%$34.4M−0.6%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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