Flux Power Holdings

FLUXNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$0.34
+$0.00 (+0.42%)Today 1M −28.66%
After hours$0.35+3.61%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$0.34
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$0.33–$0.35
Regular-session low and high so far today.
64.7K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 11 projected
Projected for 2027-02-11 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$0.30–$2.48
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own FLUX if its lithium-ion industrial battery packs regain customer pull fast enough to cover fixed costs before liquidity runs out.

FLUX price history

Latest price$0.34Today+$0.00 (+0.42%)
FLUX -26.60%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Industrial equipment customers must resume converting the operating benefits of lithium-ion packs into Flux orders rather than deferring upgrades or buying from OEM-bundled alternatives.WeakeningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue of $42.132 million in FY2026 shows Flux still has a commercial customer base despite the downturn. If customer pull returns, Flux has a path back to scale; if it does not, the company remains a subscale manufacturer with limited room to absorb fixed costs.

    Watch: Forklift and material-handling OEMs integrate their own lithium battery systems and reduce the need for independent pack suppliers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue of $42.132 million in FY2026 shows Flux still has a commercial customer base despite the downturn.

    Open source ↗
  • Flux’s engineering, battery-management, certification, and support capabilities must keep its packs from becoming commodity hardware priced mainly off lithium-cell costs.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit was $12.717 million in FY2026, implying Flux still captured positive product economics despite lower revenue. Margin durability determines whether any revenue rebound creates value or merely buys low-quality, working-capital-intensive growth.

    Watch: Battery cells, modules, and pack designs become more standardized, allowing customers to source functionally similar systems from cheaper suppliers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit was $12.717 million in FY2026, implying Flux still captured positive product economics despite lower revenue.

    Open source ↗
  • The company’s manufacturing and support organization must have enough operating leverage that a revenue recovery flows through to lower losses rather than being consumed by engineering, sales, and service costs.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating loss improved from $6.615 million in FY2024 to $5.028 million in FY2025 when revenue and gross profit were higher. Without operating leverage, Flux can grow but still fail to create per-share value because every sales recovery would require more expense and capital.

    Watch: Each customer or equipment platform requires bespoke engineering, certification, and service support, preventing scale economics.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating loss improved from $6.615 million in FY2024 to $5.028 million in FY2025 when revenue and gross profit.

    Open source ↗
  • Flux must maintain creditor, supplier, and investor support long enough to bridge cash burn until the battery-pack business reaches self-funding scale.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Stockholders' equity improved to positive $2.558 million at June 30, 2026 from negative $5.404 million at June 30, 2025. Liquidity, not just product demand, may determine ownership outcome; even a viable product can be overwhelmed by dilutive financing or supplier constraints.

    Watch: Lenders reduce or withdraw availability under credit arrangements before revenue recovers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Stockholders' equity improved to positive $2.558 million at June 30, 2026 from negative $5.404 million at June 30, 2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Management must keep shrinking obligations and working-capital intensity without starving production, service quality, or customer delivery reliability.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Total liabilities fell from $40.156 million at June 30, 2025 to $21.640 million at June 30, 2026. A cleaner balance sheet can extend the runway, but cutting too deeply could damage the very capabilities customers pay Flux for.

    Watch: Inventory reductions leave Flux unable to meet delivery windows when orders return.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Total liabilities fell from $40.156 million at June 30, 2025 to $21.640 million at June 30, 2026.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Industrial equipment customers must resume converting the operating benefits of lithium-ion packs into Flux orders rather than deferring upgrades or buying from OEM-bundled alternatives. If customer pull returns, Flux has a path back to scale; if it does not, the company remains a subscale manufacturer with limited room to absorb fixed costs.

Flux’s engineering, battery-management, certification, and support capabilities must keep its packs from becoming commodity hardware priced mainly off lithium-cell costs. Margin durability determines whether any revenue rebound creates value or merely buys low-quality, working-capital-intensive growth.

The company’s manufacturing and support organization must have enough operating leverage that a revenue recovery flows through to lower losses rather than being consumed by engineering, sales, and service costs. Without operating leverage, Flux can grow but still fail to create per-share value because every sales recovery would require more expense and capital.

Flux must maintain creditor, supplier, and investor support long enough to bridge cash burn until the battery-pack business reaches self-funding scale. Liquidity, not just product demand, may determine ownership outcome; even a viable product can be overwhelmed by dilutive financing or supplier constraints.

Management must keep shrinking obligations and working-capital intensity without starving production, service quality, or customer delivery reliability. A cleaner balance sheet can extend the runway, but cutting too deeply could damage the very capabilities customers pay Flux for.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its lithium-ion industrial battery packs regain customer pull fast enough to cover fixed costs before liquidity runs out.

Evidence assessed Oct 13, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for FLUX Power Holdings

Where the evidence on FLUX Power Holdings disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 13, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 holding and 3 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Flux’s engineering, battery-management, certification, and support capabilities must keep its packs from becoming commodity hardware priced mainly off lithium-cell costs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management must keep shrinking obligations and working-capital intensity without starving production, service quality, or customer delivery reliability.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Industrial equipment customers must resume converting the operating benefits of lithium-ion packs into Flux orders rather than deferring upgrades or buying from OEM-bundled alternatives.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The company’s manufacturing and support organization must have enough operating leverage that a revenue recovery flows through to lower losses rather than being consumed by engineering, sales, and service costs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Flux must maintain creditor, supplier, and investor support long enough to bridge cash burn until the battery-pack business reaches self-funding scale.

    sec.gov ↗

Company research

Research on FLUX Power Holdings

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in FLUX Power Holdings’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on FLUX Power Holdings, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for FLUX Power Holdings.

  • CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    FLUX Power Holdings filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-18: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    FLUX Power Holdings filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-11: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    FLUX Power Holdings filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-20: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Forklift and material-handling OEMs integrate their own lithium battery systems and reduce the need for independent pack suppliers.
  • Battery cells, modules, and pack designs become more standardized, allowing customers to source functionally similar systems from cheaper suppliers.
  • Each customer or equipment platform requires bespoke engineering, certification, and service support, preventing scale economics.
  • Lenders reduce or withdraw availability under credit arrangements before revenue recovers.
  • Inventory reductions leave Flux unable to meet delivery windows when orders return.

FLUX news

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Financial statements

FLUX income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

FLUX: quick answers

When does FLUX Power Holdings (FLUX) report earnings next?
FLUX Power Holdings's next results are projected for February 11, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 3, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is FLUX's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 737,224 FLUX shares were sold short, 3.36% of its shares outstanding, down 26.5% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 6.4 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. FLUX short interest history
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