Fluor
FLRNYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $50.44 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $50.32–$51.70 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 1.9M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 16 projected Projected for 2027-02-16 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $39.33–$58.35 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own FLR if its large-project engineering and construction franchise turns stable customer demand into disciplined, cash-generative work rather than repeating 2025 project-margin failures.
FLR price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Large industrial and infrastructure customers still need Fluor’s project-delivery capability, so the franchise can keep converting complex capital-project demand into work even after a weak profit year.HoldingMateriality: High
GAAP annual revenue was $15.503 billion in FY2025, broadly in line with $15.474 billion in FY2023 despite the profit setback. If demand for Fluor’s role remains intact, margin repair can create value; if customers shift awards elsewhere, there is no recovery base to fix.
Watch: Major energy, mining, infrastructure, or government clients defer capital projects because of commodity prices, rates, permitting delays, or budget pressure.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue was $15.503 billion in FY2025, broadly in line with $15.474 billion in FY2023 despite the profit setback.
Open source ↗Fluor’s margin recovery depends on contract selection, estimating discipline, and risk-sharing terms that prevent labor, materials, schedule, or execution problems from being absorbed by Fluor rather than the customer.WeakeningMateriality: High
GAAP annual gross profit improved from $355 million in FY2022 to $477 million in FY2023 and $574 million in FY2024, showing the model can produce positive project spread. This is the core value lever: the same revenue can either compound equity or destroy it depending on who bears project risk.
Watch: Fluor accepts fixed-price or lump-sum contracts without adequate escalation clauses for labor, materials, or schedule delays.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual gross profit improved from $355 million in FY2022 to $477 million in FY2023 and $574 million in FY2024.
Open source ↗Fluor must translate its engineering and project-management scale into positive operating leverage after corporate costs; otherwise the business is a low-margin risk aggregator rather than a durable compounder.WeakeningMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual operating income was positive in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024, including $463 million in FY2024. Operating profit is where project execution, overhead control, and scale economics show whether customer demand actually belongs to shareholders.
Watch: Recurring project charges continue even on newer awards, suggesting the problem is not confined to legacy contracts.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating income was positive in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024, including $463 million in FY2024.
Open source ↗The asset-light EPC model should generate cash when milestone billings, client advances, and collections are aligned, but Fluor’s value depends on project execution avoiding working-capital drains and disputed recoveries.HoldingMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024, rising to $828 million in FY2024. Cash conversion determines whether reported recovery can fund bonding capacity, resilience, and shareholder value without new capital.
Watch: Customers delay milestone payments, increase retainage, or dispute change orders and claims.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in FY2022, FY2023, and FY2024, rising to $828 million in FY2024.
Open source ↗Fluor’s cash position gives it time to absorb project volatility, support bonding and customer confidence, and repair execution without distressed financing.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Cash and cash equivalents were $2.135 billion at FY2025 year-end. Liquidity can keep a cyclical or execution downturn from becoming a permanent equity impairment.
Watch: Additional large project losses, legal claims, or customer disputes consume cash faster than new advances replenish it.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash and cash equivalents were $2.135 billion at FY2025 year-end.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Large industrial and infrastructure customers still need Fluor’s project-delivery capability, so the franchise can keep converting complex capital-project demand into work even after a weak profit year. If demand for Fluor’s role remains intact, margin repair can create value; if customers shift awards elsewhere, there is no recovery base to fix.
Fluor’s margin recovery depends on contract selection, estimating discipline, and risk-sharing terms that prevent labor, materials, schedule, or execution problems from being absorbed by Fluor rather than the customer. This is the core value lever: the same revenue can either compound equity or destroy it depending on who bears project risk.
Fluor must translate its engineering and project-management scale into positive operating leverage after corporate costs; otherwise the business is a low-margin risk aggregator rather than a durable compounder. Operating profit is where project execution, overhead control, and scale economics show whether customer demand actually belongs to shareholders.
The asset-light EPC model should generate cash when milestone billings, client advances, and collections are aligned, but Fluor’s value depends on project execution avoiding working-capital drains and disputed recoveries. Cash conversion determines whether reported recovery can fund bonding capacity, resilience, and shareholder value without new capital.
Fluor’s cash position gives it time to absorb project volatility, support bonding and customer confidence, and repair execution without distressed financing. Liquidity can keep a cyclical or execution downturn from becoming a permanent equity impairment.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
its large-project engineering and construction franchise turns stable customer demand into disciplined, cash-generative work rather than repeating 2025 project-margin failures.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Fluor
Where the evidence on Fluor disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 2 holding and 2 weakening.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Large industrial and infrastructure customers still need Fluor’s project-delivery capability, so the franchise can keep converting complex capital-project demand into work even after a weak profit year.
The asset-light EPC model should generate cash when milestone billings, client advances, and collections are aligned, but Fluor’s value depends on project execution avoiding working-capital drains and disputed recoveries.
Fluor’s cash position gives it time to absorb project volatility, support bonding and customer confidence, and repair execution without distressed financing.
Bear case: what the evidence questions
Fluor’s margin recovery depends on contract selection, estimating discipline, and risk-sharing terms that prevent labor, materials, schedule, or execution problems from being absorbed by Fluor rather than the customer.
Fluor must translate its engineering and project-management scale into positive operating leverage after corporate costs; otherwise the business is a low-margin risk aggregator rather than a durable compounder.
Thesis-Break Engine
What has broken in Fluor’s thesis
Each break OptimistFi flagged on Fluor, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Fluor.
- Sharp drawdowncondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 15,428 times before. Those stocks beat comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Fluor filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Fluor filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-07: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Fluor filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-04: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Major energy, mining, infrastructure, or government clients defer capital projects because of commodity prices, rates, permitting delays, or budget pressure.
- Fluor accepts fixed-price or lump-sum contracts without adequate escalation clauses for labor, materials, or schedule delays.
- Recurring project charges continue even on newer awards, suggesting the problem is not confined to legacy contracts.
- Customers delay milestone payments, increase retainage, or dispute change orders and claims.
- Additional large project losses, legal claims, or customer disputes consume cash faster than new advances replenish it.
FLR news
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Financial statements
FLR income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
FLR: quick answers
- When does Fluor (FLR) report earnings next?
- Fluor's next results are projected for February 16, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 6, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is FLR's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 12.4M FLR shares were sold short, 9.71% of its shares outstanding, up 14.2% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 5.3 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. FLR short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded FLR?
- 19 trades in FLR have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed FLR trade
- Which well-known investors own FLR?
- 4 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported FLR shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Starboard Value (Jeff Smith), 1.8%; Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller), 1.0%; Maverick Capital, 0.9%. Fund portfolios
FLR in well-known investors’ portfolios
4 of 37 funds reported FLR shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff SmithStarboard Value | 1.8% | $83.1M | — | Q2 2026 |
| Stanley DruckenmillerDuquesne Family Office | 0.99% | $51.5M | New | Q2 2026 |
| Maverick Capital | 0.86% | $97.3M | +31.2% | Q2 2026 |
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.03% | $8.3M | −17.1% | Q2 2026 |
