FIGS

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THESIS ALERT

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$23.01
−$0.39 (−1.69%)Today 1M +29.68%

Updated Nov 12, 3:15 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$23.40
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$22.92–$23.56
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.0M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 12, 3:15 PM ET.
Feb 25 projected
Projected for 2027-02-25 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$8.95–$23.77
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own FIGS if its direct-to-consumer clinician brand proves it is a repeat-purchase workwear platform, not just a premium scrub fashion cycle.

FIGS price history

Latest price$23.00Today−$0.39 (-1.69%)
FIGS +29.61%S&P 500 -2.76%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • FIGS’ clinician-specific brand and direct customer relationship keep demand flowing through its own channel rather than being captured by commodity scrub sellers or institutional uniform purchasing; needs calibration: repeat-purchase and active-customer data are not provided.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $555.6 million in FY2024 to $631.1 million in FY2025, a reacceleration after only modest growth from FY2023 to FY2024. If this holds, revenue growth can compound from repeat replacement demand and category expansion; if it breaks, FIGS becomes a discretionary apparel brand with weaker durability.

    Watch: Cherokee, Barco, Jaanuu, Fabletics Scrubs, or other scrub brands win clinician mindshare with similar fit, colors, and fabric at lower prices.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $555.6 million in FY2024 to $631.1 million in FY2025, a reacceleration after only modest growth.

    Open source ↗
  • FIGS’ brand, product quality, and direct-to-consumer model preserve enough pricing power to avoid competing primarily on discount, even as rivals copy the premium-scrub playbook; needs calibration: no company-specific gross-margin target is supplied.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit increased from $375.6 million in FY2024 to $419.8 million in FY2025. Premium gross margin is the economic proof that customers value FIGS beyond basic utility; margin erosion would signal a weakening moat before the revenue thesis fully fails.

    Watch: Lower-priced competitors match FIGS’ functional fabrics, fit, and style closely enough that FIGS must discount core scrubs.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit increased from $375.6 million in FY2024 to $419.8 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • FIGS can scale its DTC platform, marketing, fulfillment, and corporate cost base so incremental brand demand converts into operating income rather than being consumed by customer acquisition and overhead.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income recovered to $38.1 million in FY2025 from $2.3 million in FY2024. This determines whether FIGS is merely a growing brand or a business that can turn brand equity into durable owner earnings.

    Watch: Digital customer-acquisition costs on Meta, Google, TikTok, or similar channels rise enough that FIGS must spend more to find each incremental clinician customer.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income recovered to $38.1 million in FY2025 from $2.3 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • FIGS’ merchandising and supply-chain execution keep inventory and fulfillment needs from absorbing the economics of growth, allowing the brand to remain self-funding.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in FY2023, FY2024, and FY2025 after being negative in FY2022. Strong accounting profits are less valuable if product drops, inventory risk, or fulfillment complexity consume cash; cash conversion is the test of operational quality.

    Watch: Overbuying inventory for color drops, new categories, or international expansion creates markdowns and cash tied up in slow-moving goods.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive in FY2023, FY2024, and FY2025 after being negative in FY2022.

    Open source ↗
  • FIGS’ balance sheet gives management room to invest through competitive pressure without relying on debt-funded growth, provided cash is not consumed by poorly returning expansion.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash was $82.0 million at FY2025 year-end. A clean balance sheet raises the odds FIGS can defend the brand and fund product expansion; misuse of that flexibility would shift risk from operating execution to capital allocation.

    Watch: Management uses cash for acquisitions, stores, or expansion projects that do not strengthen the core healthcare-professional brand.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash was $82.0 million at FY2025 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

FIGS’ clinician-specific brand and direct customer relationship keep demand flowing through its own channel rather than being captured by commodity scrub sellers or institutional uniform purchasing; needs calibration: repeat-purchase and active-customer data are not provided. If this holds, revenue growth can compound from repeat replacement demand and category expansion; if it breaks, FIGS becomes a discretionary apparel brand with weaker durability.

FIGS’ brand, product quality, and direct-to-consumer model preserve enough pricing power to avoid competing primarily on discount, even as rivals copy the premium-scrub playbook; needs calibration: no company-specific gross-margin target is supplied. Premium gross margin is the economic proof that customers value FIGS beyond basic utility; margin erosion would signal a weakening moat before the revenue thesis fully fails.

FIGS can scale its DTC platform, marketing, fulfillment, and corporate cost base so incremental brand demand converts into operating income rather than being consumed by customer acquisition and overhead. This determines whether FIGS is merely a growing brand or a business that can turn brand equity into durable owner earnings.

FIGS’ merchandising and supply-chain execution keep inventory and fulfillment needs from absorbing the economics of growth, allowing the brand to remain self-funding. Strong accounting profits are less valuable if product drops, inventory risk, or fulfillment complexity consume cash; cash conversion is the test of operational quality.

FIGS’ balance sheet gives management room to invest through competitive pressure without relying on debt-funded growth, provided cash is not consumed by poorly returning expansion. A clean balance sheet raises the odds FIGS can defend the brand and fund product expansion; misuse of that flexibility would shift risk from operating execution to capital allocation.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its direct-to-consumer clinician brand proves it is a repeat-purchase workwear platform, not just a premium scrub fashion cycle.

Evidence assessed Oct 19, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for FIGS

Where the evidence on FIGS stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 19, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • FIGS’ clinician-specific brand and direct customer relationship keep demand flowing through its own channel rather than being captured by commodity scrub sellers or institutional uniform purchasing; needs calibration: repeat-purchase and active-customer data are not provided.

    sec.gov ↗

  • FIGS’ brand, product quality, and direct-to-consumer model preserve enough pricing power to avoid competing primarily on discount, even as rivals copy the premium-scrub playbook; needs calibration: no company-specific gross-margin target is supplied.

    sec.gov ↗

  • FIGS can scale its DTC platform, marketing, fulfillment, and corporate cost base so incremental brand demand converts into operating income rather than being consumed by customer acquisition and overhead.

    sec.gov ↗

  • FIGS’ merchandising and supply-chain execution keep inventory and fulfillment needs from absorbing the economics of growth, allowing the brand to remain self-funding.

    sec.gov ↗

  • FIGS’ balance sheet gives management room to invest through competitive pressure without relying on debt-funded growth, provided cash is not consumed by poorly returning expansion.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Cherokee, Barco, Jaanuu, Fabletics Scrubs, or other scrub brands win clinician mindshare with similar fit, colors, and fabric at lower prices.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Lower-priced competitors match FIGS’ functional fabrics, fit, and style closely enough that FIGS must discount core scrubs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Digital customer-acquisition costs on Meta, Google, TikTok, or similar channels rise enough that FIGS must spend more to find each incremental clinician customer.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in FIGS’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on FIGS, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for FIGS.

peers+14%-15%-1%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -1% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+14% to -15%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • Price target fell below the stockcondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 1,809 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    FIGS filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    FIGS filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-07: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Cherokee, Barco, Jaanuu, Fabletics Scrubs, or other scrub brands win clinician mindshare with similar fit, colors, and fabric at lower prices.
  • Lower-priced competitors match FIGS’ functional fabrics, fit, and style closely enough that FIGS must discount core scrubs.
  • Digital customer-acquisition costs on Meta, Google, TikTok, or similar channels rise enough that FIGS must spend more to find each incremental clinician customer.
  • Overbuying inventory for color drops, new categories, or international expansion creates markdowns and cash tied up in slow-moving goods.
  • Management uses cash for acquisitions, stores, or expansion projects that do not strengthen the core healthcare-professional brand.

FIGS news

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Financial statements

FIGS income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

FIGS: quick answers

When does FIGS (FIGS) report earnings next?
FIGS's next results are projected for February 25, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is FIGS's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 19.3M FIGS shares were sold short, 12.3% of its shares outstanding, down 3.7% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 5.7 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. FIGS short interest history
Which well-known investors own FIGS?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported FIGS shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

FIGS in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported FIGS shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Ray DalioBridgewater Associates0.00%$459K−91.4%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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