Figure Technology Solutions

FIGRNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$24.19
+$0.85 (+3.64%)Today 1M −18.22%
After hours$24.29+0.40%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$23.34
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$22.96–$24.50
Regular-session low and high so far today.
5.8M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$19.54–$78.00
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own FIGR if Figure is a profitable, fast-growing bet that blockchain-based loan and capital-markets infrastructure can take share from slower legacy lending and funding rails.

FIGR price history

Latest price$24.19Today+$0.85 (+3.64%)
FIGR -14.52%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Figure’s blockchain-based capital-markets rails continue to win customer and partner adoption because they reduce friction versus legacy loan origination and funding workflows.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $209.5 million in FY2023 to $340.9 million in FY2024 and $506.9 million in FY2025. If adoption persists, revenue growth can be structural; if customers treat the technology as nonessential, Figure reverts toward a more commoditized loan-broker economics.

    Watch: Major banks, mortgage platforms, or private-credit buyers standardize on conventional loan-origination and securitization rails instead of blockchain-based records.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $209.5 million in FY2023 to $340.9 million in FY2024 and $506.9 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Figure’s technology platform keeps adding volume without a proportional increase in operating cost, allowing scale benefits to show up in GAAP operating income rather than being competed away.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP operating income improved from a $49.4 million loss in FY2023 to $9.2 million in FY2024 and $117.5 million in FY2025. This determines whether Figure is a scalable infrastructure company or a labor- and compliance-heavy broker with capped margins.

    Watch: Manual underwriting, servicing, compliance, or customer-support needs rise with volume, undermining the automation benefit of the platform.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP operating income improved from a $49.4 million loss in FY2023 to $9.2 million in FY2024 and $117.5 million in.

    Open source ↗
  • Figure’s model can convert platform economics into operating cash rather than requiring persistent working-capital or loan-funding consumption to support growth.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow improved from negative $33.4 million in FY2023 and negative $127.0 million in FY2024 to positive $62.6 million in FY2025. Growth is much more valuable if it is funded by customers and partners rather than by Figure’s balance sheet.

    Watch: Capital-markets buyers pull back and Figure must hold loans longer on its own balance sheet to maintain origination volume.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow improved from negative $33.4 million in FY2023 and negative $127.0 million in FY2024 to positive.

    Open source ↗
  • Figure’s liquidity position gives it room to keep investing through capital-markets volatility without distressed financing or an abrupt retreat from growth initiatives.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents were $1.20 billion at December 31, 2025, up from $289.7 million at December 31, 2024. A strong cash buffer can turn industry stress into share-gain opportunity; a liquidity squeeze would force dilution or contraction at the worst time.

    Watch: A funding-market shutdown causes Figure to deploy corporate cash to support originations or satisfy counterparties.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents were $1.20 billion at December 31, 2025, up from $289.7 million at December 31, 2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Figure must translate profitable growth into per-share value, not just enterprise growth, by avoiding dilution that offsets GAAP earnings gains.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP diluted EPS improved from negative $0.93 in FY2023 to $0.44 in FY2025. Owners benefit only if the platform’s economics accrue to each share; heavy stock issuance or compensation can make a growing company a mediocre stock.

    Watch: Post-IPO share issuance, stock-based compensation, or acquisition equity consideration materially increases diluted share count.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP diluted EPS improved from negative $0.93 in FY2023 to $0.44 in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Figure’s blockchain-based capital-markets rails continue to win customer and partner adoption because they reduce friction versus legacy loan origination and funding workflows. If adoption persists, revenue growth can be structural; if customers treat the technology as nonessential, Figure reverts toward a more commoditized loan-broker economics.

Figure’s technology platform keeps adding volume without a proportional increase in operating cost, allowing scale benefits to show up in GAAP operating income rather than being competed away. This determines whether Figure is a scalable infrastructure company or a labor- and compliance-heavy broker with capped margins.

Figure’s model can convert platform economics into operating cash rather than requiring persistent working-capital or loan-funding consumption to support growth. Growth is much more valuable if it is funded by customers and partners rather than by Figure’s balance sheet.

Figure’s liquidity position gives it room to keep investing through capital-markets volatility without distressed financing or an abrupt retreat from growth initiatives. A strong cash buffer can turn industry stress into share-gain opportunity; a liquidity squeeze would force dilution or contraction at the worst time.

Figure must translate profitable growth into per-share value, not just enterprise growth, by avoiding dilution that offsets GAAP earnings gains. Owners benefit only if the platform’s economics accrue to each share; heavy stock issuance or compensation can make a growing company a mediocre stock.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Figure is a profitable, fast-growing bet that blockchain-based loan and capital-markets infrastructure can take share from slower legacy lending and funding rails.

Evidence assessed Nov 10, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Figure Technology Solutions

Where the evidence on Figure Technology Solutions stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 10, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Figure’s blockchain-based capital-markets rails continue to win customer and partner adoption because they reduce friction versus legacy loan origination and funding workflows.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Figure’s technology platform keeps adding volume without a proportional increase in operating cost, allowing scale benefits to show up in GAAP operating income rather than being competed away.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Figure’s model can convert platform economics into operating cash rather than requiring persistent working-capital or loan-funding consumption to support growth.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Figure’s liquidity position gives it room to keep investing through capital-markets volatility without distressed financing or an abrupt retreat from growth initiatives.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Figure must translate profitable growth into per-share value, not just enterprise growth, by avoiding dilution that offsets GAAP earnings gains.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Major banks, mortgage platforms, or private-credit buyers standardize on conventional loan-origination and securitization rails instead of blockchain-based records.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Manual underwriting, servicing, compliance, or customer-support needs rise with volume, undermining the automation benefit of the platform.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Capital-markets buyers pull back and Figure must hold loans longer on its own balance sheet to maintain origination volume.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Figure Technology Solutions

No break has crossed Figure Technology Solutions’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

No assessed change was returned in this research window. That can reflect a quiet period or a coverage limit.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Major banks, mortgage platforms, or private-credit buyers standardize on conventional loan-origination and securitization rails instead of blockchain-based records.
  • Manual underwriting, servicing, compliance, or customer-support needs rise with volume, undermining the automation benefit of the platform.
  • Capital-markets buyers pull back and Figure must hold loans longer on its own balance sheet to maintain origination volume.
  • A funding-market shutdown causes Figure to deploy corporate cash to support originations or satisfy counterparties.
  • Post-IPO share issuance, stock-based compensation, or acquisition equity consideration materially increases diluted share count.

FIGR news

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Financial statements

FIGR income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

FIGR: quick answers

What is FIGR's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 22.9M FIGR shares were sold short, up 7.7% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 4.7 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. FIGR short interest history
Which well-known investors own FIGR?
2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported FIGR shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Miller Value Partners (Bill Miller), 0.7%; Soros Fund Management (George Soros), 0.0%. Fund portfolios

FIGR in well-known investors’ portfolios

2 of 37 funds reported FIGR shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Bill MillerMiller Value Partners0.65%$2.8M−1.5%Q2 2026
George SorosSoros Fund Management0.04%$3.1M−90.0%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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