First Bancshares

FBSIOTC Markets OTCQXUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$35.72
−$0.00 (−0.00%)Today 1M +4.14%

Updated Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$35.72
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$33.50–$35.71
Regular-session low and high so far today.
600
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$28.05–$35.96
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own FBSI if its local deposit franchise and conservative balance sheet remain stable enough to fund sound community lending despite larger-bank and online competition.

FBSI price history

Latest price$35.72Today−$0.00 (-0.00%)
FBSI -1.47%S&P 500 -1.11%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • FBSI’s value creation depends on a local savings-bank deposit franchise remaining sticky enough to fund loans without having to chase high-cost deposits or wholesale funding.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP liabilities were $191.3 million at fiscal year 2011 period end, consistent with a deposit-funded banking balance sheet. If relationship funding holds, the bank can defend spread economics; if deposits become rate-sensitive, net interest income and franchise value compress.

    Watch: Large regional banks, credit unions, or online banks offer materially higher deposit rates in FBSI’s Missouri markets and pull household balances away.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP liabilities were $191.3 million at fiscal year 2011 period end, consistent with a deposit-funded banking balance sheet.

    Open source ↗
  • The small-bank thesis requires conservative underwriting and capital preservation, because a narrow local footprint leaves less diversification if a regional credit problem emerges.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP stockholders’ equity was $18.1 million at fiscal year 2011 period end against $209.3 million of GAAP assets. Adequate capital lets owners survive credit cycles; weak underwriting can turn a small loan-book problem into permanent equity impairment.

    Watch: A local real-estate or small-business downturn in FBSI’s Missouri lending area causes criticized loans and charge-offs to rise.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP stockholders’ equity was $18.1 million at fiscal year 2011 period end against $209.3 million of GAAP assets.

    Open source ↗
  • FBSI must maintain enough on-balance-sheet liquidity to meet depositor withdrawals without selling loans or securities at unfavorable prices.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP cash and cash equivalents increased from $20.2 million at fiscal year 2010 period end to $24.8 million at fiscal year 2011 period end. Liquidity discipline protects the franchise in stress; a liquidity squeeze can force dilutive capital, asset sales, or regulatory intervention before earnings recover.

    Watch: A rapid local deposit outflow forces FBSI to use emergency borrowings or sell securities/loans.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP cash and cash equivalents increased from $20.2 million at fiscal year 2010 period end to $24.8 million at fiscal.

    Open source ↗
  • Because FBSI is a very small OTC savings institution, the business must offset scale disadvantages through local relationships rather than technology spending, product breadth, or marketing reach.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP assets were $209.3 million at fiscal year 2011 period end, indicating a very small banking institution. If relationship advantages are not enough, larger competitors can compress pricing, take deposits, and reduce long-term returns on equity.

    Watch: Regional banks or credit unions gain share in FBSI’s local markets by bundling treasury, mortgage, wealth, and digital services.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP assets were $209.3 million at fiscal year 2011 period end, indicating a very small banking institution.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

FBSI’s value creation depends on a local savings-bank deposit franchise remaining sticky enough to fund loans without having to chase high-cost deposits or wholesale funding. If relationship funding holds, the bank can defend spread economics; if deposits become rate-sensitive, net interest income and franchise value compress.

The small-bank thesis requires conservative underwriting and capital preservation, because a narrow local footprint leaves less diversification if a regional credit problem emerges. Adequate capital lets owners survive credit cycles; weak underwriting can turn a small loan-book problem into permanent equity impairment.

FBSI must maintain enough on-balance-sheet liquidity to meet depositor withdrawals without selling loans or securities at unfavorable prices. Liquidity discipline protects the franchise in stress; a liquidity squeeze can force dilutive capital, asset sales, or regulatory intervention before earnings recover.

Because FBSI is a very small OTC savings institution, the business must offset scale disadvantages through local relationships rather than technology spending, product breadth, or marketing reach. If relationship advantages are not enough, larger competitors can compress pricing, take deposits, and reduce long-term returns on equity.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its local deposit franchise and conservative balance sheet remain stable enough to fund sound community lending despite larger-bank and online competition.

Evidence assessed Oct 24, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for First Bancshares

Where the evidence on First Bancshares stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 24, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening and 3 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • FBSI’s value creation depends on a local savings-bank deposit franchise remaining sticky enough to fund loans without having to chase high-cost deposits or wholesale funding.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The small-bank thesis requires conservative underwriting and capital preservation, because a narrow local footprint leaves less diversification if a regional credit problem emerges.

    sec.gov ↗

  • FBSI must maintain enough on-balance-sheet liquidity to meet depositor withdrawals without selling loans or securities at unfavorable prices.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Because FBSI is a very small OTC savings institution, the business must offset scale disadvantages through local relationships rather than technology spending, product breadth, or marketing reach.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Large regional banks, credit unions, or online banks offer materially higher deposit rates in FBSI’s Missouri markets and pull household balances away.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A local real-estate or small-business downturn in FBSI’s Missouri lending area causes criticized loans and charge-offs to rise.

    sec.gov ↗

  • A rapid local deposit outflow forces FBSI to use emergency borrowings or sell securities/loans.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · First Bancshares

Loading the break-condition record for First Bancshares.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

No assessed change was returned in this research window. That can reflect a quiet period or a coverage limit.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large regional banks, credit unions, or online banks offer materially higher deposit rates in FBSI’s Missouri markets and pull household balances away.
  • A local real-estate or small-business downturn in FBSI’s Missouri lending area causes criticized loans and charge-offs to rise.
  • A rapid local deposit outflow forces FBSI to use emergency borrowings or sell securities/loans.
  • Regional banks or credit unions gain share in FBSI’s local markets by bundling treasury, mortgage, wealth, and digital services.

FBSI news

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Financial statements

FBSI income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

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