Factorial Energy
FACNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $4.26 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $4.45–$4.71 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 361.3K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $3.87–$25.33 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own FAC if Factorial (as presented) is a blank‑check vehicle whose equity value will be driven entirely by management's ability to complete a high‑quality business combination before its cash runs out; absent a value‑accretive deal the stock.
FAC price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
The company's near‑term viability and ability to secure a value‑accretive business combination depend on its cash runway; if cash continues to decline it will be forced into a rushed, dilutive, or low‑quality deal.WeakeningMateriality: High
Cash and cash equivalents fell from 48,252,000 USD (instant 2024-12-31) to 28,891,000 USD (instant 2025-12-31). If cash is exhausted before a good deal or financing is secured, shareholders face either forced liquidation, highly dilutive financings, or acceptance of a poor transaction; preserving optionality requires sufficient cash or timely capital inflows.
Watch: Sponsor or PIPE commitments announced that inject capital before cash exhaustion.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash and cash equivalents fell from 48,252,000 USD (instant 2024-12-31) to 28,891,000 USD (instant 2025-12-31).
Open source ↗Persistent negative operating cash flow signals the entity is burning cash faster than it can replenish from operations; absent deal financing or a transformational acquisition, this burn will force dilution or liquidation.WeakeningMateriality: High
Operating cash flow was negative 37,210,000 USD for FY2024 and negative 30,162,000 USD for FY2025 (annual). Ongoing operating cash burn shrinks the SPAC's optionality and increases the probability of a value‑destroying outcome unless offset by external financing or a combination that brings positive cashflow.
Watch: A completed business combination with an operating company that contributes positive operating cash flow pro‑forma.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Operating cash flow was negative 37,210,000 USD for FY2024 and negative 30,162,000 USD for FY2025 (annual).
Open source ↗The deeply negative stockholders' equity reflects accumulated losses or liabilities that magnify downside for equity holders and that recovery requires either a recapitalization or an acquisition that creates material positive pro‑forma equity value.WeakeningMateriality: Medium
Stockholders' equity worsened from -156,496,000 USD (instant 2024-12-31) to -221,394,000 USD (instant 2025-12-31). Negative equity reduces resilience to shocks and makes the equity claim more contingent on a successful, value‑creating combination or large capital injections; absent that, residual value for common holders may be minimal.
Watch: A transaction that converts liabilities or preferred instruments into equity, materially improving book equity.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Stockholders' equity worsened from -156,496,000 USD (instant 2024-12-31) to -221,394,000 USD (instant 2025-12-31).
Open source ↗Because the operating entity currently shows large GAAP losses and negative EPS, true value creation depends on the sponsor completing a business combination with a target whose pro‑forma profitability/growth profile meaningfully exceeds current expectations; failure to do so leaves the.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Diluted EPS worsened from -10.85 USD/shares (FY2024) to -14.69 USD/shares (FY2025), reflecting ongoing losses. Investors should judge future returns on the quality and financing of the announced target, not on the current entity's operations; an overpriced or poor‑fit acquisition will likely destroy equity value despite temporary headline value from a deal announcement.
Watch: Announcement and closing of a business combination with audited pro‑forma positive EBITDA and credible growth forecasts.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Diluted EPS worsened from -10.85 USD/shares (FY2024) to -14.69 USD/shares (FY2025), reflecting ongoing losses.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
The company's near‑term viability and ability to secure a value‑accretive business combination depend on its cash runway; if cash continues to decline it will be forced into a rushed, dilutive, or low‑quality deal. If cash is exhausted before a good deal or financing is secured, shareholders face either forced liquidation, highly dilutive financings, or acceptance of a poor transaction; preserving optionality requires sufficient cash or timely capital inflows.
Persistent negative operating cash flow signals the entity is burning cash faster than it can replenish from operations; absent deal financing or a transformational acquisition, this burn will force dilution or liquidation. Ongoing operating cash burn shrinks the SPAC's optionality and increases the probability of a value‑destroying outcome unless offset by external financing or a combination that brings positive cashflow.
The deeply negative stockholders' equity reflects accumulated losses or liabilities that magnify downside for equity holders and that recovery requires either a recapitalization or an acquisition that creates material positive pro‑forma equity value. Negative equity reduces resilience to shocks and makes the equity claim more contingent on a successful, value‑creating combination or large capital injections; absent that, residual value for common holders may be minimal.
Because the operating entity currently shows large GAAP losses and negative EPS, true value creation depends on the sponsor completing a business combination with a target whose pro‑forma profitability/growth profile meaningfully exceeds current expectations; failure to do so leaves the. Investors should judge future returns on the quality and financing of the announced target, not on the current entity's operations; an overpriced or poor‑fit acquisition will likely destroy equity value despite temporary headline value from a deal announcement.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
Factorial (as presented) is a blank‑check vehicle whose equity value will be driven entirely by management's ability to complete a high‑quality business combination before its cash runs out; absent a value‑accretive deal the stock.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Factorial Energy
Where the evidence on Factorial Energy disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 26, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 holding and 3 weakening.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Because the operating entity currently shows large GAAP losses and negative EPS, true value creation depends on the sponsor completing a business combination with a target whose pro‑forma profitability/growth profile meaningfully exceeds current expectations; failure to do so leaves the.
Bear case: what the evidence questions
The company's near‑term viability and ability to secure a value‑accretive business combination depend on its cash runway; if cash continues to decline it will be forced into a rushed, dilutive, or low‑quality deal.
Persistent negative operating cash flow signals the entity is burning cash faster than it can replenish from operations; absent deal financing or a transformational acquisition, this burn will force dilution or liquidation.
The deeply negative stockholders' equity reflects accumulated losses or liabilities that magnify downside for equity holders and that recovery requires either a recapitalization or an acquisition that creates material positive pro‑forma equity value.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Factorial Energy
OptimistFi is watching Factorial Energy. No break-condition checks are on record yet — they accumulate as new filings are checked.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedOther material event.
Factorial Energy filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-09: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Factorial Energy filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-11: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedCompleted an acquisition or disposition of assets.
Factorial Energy filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-10: Completed an acquisition or disposition of assets. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Sponsor or PIPE commitments announced that inject capital before cash exhaustion.
- A completed business combination with an operating company that contributes positive operating cash flow pro‑forma.
- A transaction that converts liabilities or preferred instruments into equity, materially improving book equity.
- Announcement and closing of a business combination with audited pro‑forma positive EBITDA and credible growth forecasts.
FAC news
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Financial statements
FAC income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
FAC: quick answers
- What is FAC's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 2.0M FAC shares were sold short, 2.15% of its shares outstanding, up 20.5% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 6.8 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. FAC short interest history
