ProShares UltraShort Euro

EUONYSEArcaUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$33.06
+$0.37 (+1.13%)Today 1M +1.05%
After hours$33.09+0.09%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$32.69
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$33.06–$33.13
Regular-session low and high so far today.
11.3K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$26.93–$33.13
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own EUO if ProShares Trust II creates value by packaging leveraged and inverse exchange-traded funds whose economics scale with assets under management; profitability and reported earnings are dominated by market mark-to-market on fund holdings, while large cash/equity.

EUO price history

Latest price$33.06Today+$0.37 (+1.13%)
EUO +1.41%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • The Trust's economic value and fee revenue will remain primarily a function of total assets under management (AUM) across its Funds, so changes in 'assets' will lead profits and cash generation.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    assets increased from 3,151,924,172 (period_end 2024-12-31) to 6,062,940,882 (period_end 2025-12-31) — showing AUM sensitivity and potential to scale fees. If AUM holds or grows, fee income and operating cash flow can be positive and predictable; if AUM falls, fixed costs and fleeting MTM gains won't sustain the business economics.

    Watch: Competitor ETF issuers roll out lower-fee or more tax-efficient leveraged/inverse products that capture flows away from the Trust.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    assets increased from 3,151,924,172 (period_end 2024-12-31) to 6,062,940,882 (period_end 2025-12-31) — showing AUM sensitivity and potential to scale fees.

    Open source ↗
  • Reported net income will remain highly volatile because it largely reflects mark-to-market gains and losses on Fund holdings rather than stable operating profit.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    net_income swung from -2,481,411,020 (2023) to -39,371,749 (2024) to 1,711,915,524 (2025), demonstrating large, year-to-year MTM volatility. Net income volatility makes GAAP earnings a poor read on recurring economics; investors must look at AUM, fees, and cash flow instead.

    Watch: Management shifts product mix toward higher recurring-fee, less market-sensitive strategies (e.g., nonleveraged, managed-fee funds) that increase predictable revenue.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    net_income swung from -2,481,411,020 (2023) to -39,371,749 (2024) to 1,711,915,524 (2025), demonstrating large, year-to-year MTM volatility.

    Open source ↗
  • Large cash balances on the Trust balance sheet provide a material buffer to meet redemptions and smooth stressed periods, preserving the ability to operate and capture rebounds in flows.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    cash rose from 2,577,444,038 (period_end 2024-12-31) to 3,250,748,973 (period_end 2025-12-31), indicating significant liquidity on the balance sheet. If cash reserves remain ample, the Trust can satisfy redemptions without fire-sales of assets; if cash erodes rapidly, redemptions could force realized losses and accelerate AUM decline.

    Watch: Concentrated, rapid redemptions by large holders that exceed available cash and require distressed liquidation of underlying positions.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    cash rose from 2,577,444,038 (period_end 2024-12-31) to 3,250,748,973 (period_end 2025-12-31), indicating significant liquidity on the balance sheet.

    Open source ↗
  • Operating cash flow (operating_cash_flow) is a leading indicator of redemption stress: large negative OCF signals the Trust met redemptions or paid out more cash, and recurring negative OCF would presage sustained AUM decline.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    operating_cash_flow was -1,539,766,228 (2023), +208,799,265 (2024), and -246,299,551 (2025), demonstrating large swings tied to cash flows/redemptions. Monitoring OCF lets holders detect liquidity/flow problems earlier than waiting for AUM or NAV declines to show up in net income.

    Watch: A shift to steadier inflows (e.g., from different product mix or distribution partnerships) that makes OCF persistently positive.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_cash_flow was -1,539,766,228 (2023), +208,799,265 (2024), and -246,299,551 (2025), demonstrating large swings tied to cash flows/redemptions.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

The Trust's economic value and fee revenue will remain primarily a function of total assets under management (AUM) across its Funds, so changes in 'assets' will lead profits and cash generation. If AUM holds or grows, fee income and operating cash flow can be positive and predictable; if AUM falls, fixed costs and fleeting MTM gains won't sustain the business economics.

Reported net income will remain highly volatile because it largely reflects mark-to-market gains and losses on Fund holdings rather than stable operating profit. Net income volatility makes GAAP earnings a poor read on recurring economics; investors must look at AUM, fees, and cash flow instead.

Large cash balances on the Trust balance sheet provide a material buffer to meet redemptions and smooth stressed periods, preserving the ability to operate and capture rebounds in flows. If cash reserves remain ample, the Trust can satisfy redemptions without fire-sales of assets; if cash erodes rapidly, redemptions could force realized losses and accelerate AUM decline.

Operating cash flow (operating_cash_flow) is a leading indicator of redemption stress: large negative OCF signals the Trust met redemptions or paid out more cash, and recurring negative OCF would presage sustained AUM decline. Monitoring OCF lets holders detect liquidity/flow problems earlier than waiting for AUM or NAV declines to show up in net income.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

ProShares Trust II creates value by packaging leveraged and inverse exchange-traded funds whose economics scale with assets under management; profitability and reported earnings are dominated by market mark-to-market on fund holdings, while large cash/equity.

Evidence assessed Nov 7, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for ProShares Trust II

Where the evidence on ProShares Trust II stands: Strengthening on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 4 strengthening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • The Trust's economic value and fee revenue will remain primarily a function of total assets under management (AUM) across its Funds, so changes in 'assets' will lead profits and cash generation.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Reported net income will remain highly volatile because it largely reflects mark-to-market gains and losses on Fund holdings rather than stable operating profit.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Large cash balances on the Trust balance sheet provide a material buffer to meet redemptions and smooth stressed periods, preserving the ability to operate and capture rebounds in flows.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Operating cash flow (operating_cash_flow) is a leading indicator of redemption stress: large negative OCF signals the Trust met redemptions or paid out more cash, and recurring negative OCF would presage sustained AUM decline.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Competitor ETF issuers roll out lower-fee or more tax-efficient leveraged/inverse products that capture flows away from the Trust.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management shifts product mix toward higher recurring-fee, less market-sensitive strategies (e.g., nonleveraged, managed-fee funds) that increase predictable revenue.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Concentrated, rapid redemptions by large holders that exceed available cash and require distressed liquidation of underlying positions.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · ProShares Trust II

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

OptimistFi is watching ProShares Trust II. No break-condition checks are on record yet — they accumulate as new filings are checked.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Other material event.

    ProShares Trust II filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-03: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Other material event.

    ProShares Trust II filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-12: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Competitor ETF issuers roll out lower-fee or more tax-efficient leveraged/inverse products that capture flows away from the Trust.
  • Management shifts product mix toward higher recurring-fee, less market-sensitive strategies (e.g., nonleveraged, managed-fee funds) that increase predictable revenue.
  • Concentrated, rapid redemptions by large holders that exceed available cash and require distressed liquidation of underlying positions.
  • A shift to steadier inflows (e.g., from different product mix or distribution partnerships) that makes OCF persistently positive.

EUO news

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Financial statements

EUO income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

EUO: quick answers

What is EUO's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 26,066 EUO shares were sold short, down 92.0% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 1.0 day to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. EUO short interest history
Have members of Congress traded EUO?
1 trade in EUO has been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed EUO trade
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