Dorman Products

DORMNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$134.55
−$1.25 (−0.92%)Today 1M +11.75%
After hours$134.550.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$135.80
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$133.43–$135.29
Regular-session low and high so far today.
127.2K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Jan 18 projected
Projected for 2027-01-18 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$98.45–$155.37
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own DORM if its non-OE replacement and upgrade parts remain hard enough to source that retailers and distributors keep paying for availability, it can grow earnings faster than the vehicle aftermarket, but the case depends on margins.

DORM price history

Latest price$134.55Today−$1.25 (-0.92%)
DORM +11.05%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Dorman’s broad non-OE replacement and upgrade catalog should keep converting repair-market need into sales because customers value availability across many vehicle types more than relying solely on OE or fragmented alternatives.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue rose from $1.734 billion in FY2022 to $2.130 billion in FY2025. If this holds, Dorman can keep compounding from aftermarket repair demand; if it breaks, revenue growth becomes much more dependent on price or acquisitions.

    Watch: Major auto-parts retailers or warehouse distributors shift shelf space to their own direct-sourced private-label parts.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue rose from $1.734 billion in FY2022 to $2.130 billion in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Dorman’s ability to supply harder-to-source replacement and upgrade parts should preserve pricing and mix power, provided competitors do not turn its categories into price-transparent commodities.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual gross profit increased from $564.5 million in FY2022 to $897.7 million in FY2025. This is the difference between valuable growth and low-return distribution growth; gross margin is the first financial proof of the moat.

    Watch: Amazon, RockAuto, or other online sellers make Dorman categories more price-transparent and compress resale margins.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual gross profit increased from $564.5 million in FY2022 to $897.7 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Dorman’s sales, sourcing, engineering, and distribution platform should have operating leverage, but only if expanding the catalog does not require proportionate increases in overhead, quality costs, or channel-support spending.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating income increased from $171.0 million in FY2022 to $299.5 million in FY2025. Operating leverage determines whether Dorman compounds earnings per share or merely grows revenue with little incremental owner value.

    Watch: Quality issues, recalls, or warranty claims require higher engineering and customer-support expense.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income increased from $171.0 million in FY2022 to $299.5 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Dorman must maintain enough inventory breadth to protect channel availability without letting working capital consume the economics of the catalog model.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was strong in FY2023 and FY2024 at $208.8 million and $231.0 million, respectively. If cash conversion weakens structurally, reported earnings overstate the value created and the company has less capacity for buybacks, debt reduction, or acquisitions.

    Watch: Retailers and distributors require broader in-stock commitments or longer payment terms to keep Dorman on the shelf.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was strong in FY2023 and FY2024 at $208.8 million and $231.0 million, respectively.

    Open source ↗
  • Dorman’s balance-sheet flexibility should support continued product expansion and selective acquisitions, but only if management does not re-lever faster than the business converts earnings into cash.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP liabilities declined from $1.299 billion at FY2022 year-end to $1.016 billion at FY2025 year-end. A stronger balance sheet gives owners more optionality; a debt-funded roll-up with weak cash conversion would make the equity riskier and lower quality.

    Watch: A large debt-funded acquisition materially increases liabilities before cash conversion improves.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP liabilities declined from $1.299 billion at FY2022 year-end to $1.016 billion at FY2025 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Dorman’s broad non-OE replacement and upgrade catalog should keep converting repair-market need into sales because customers value availability across many vehicle types more than relying solely on OE or fragmented alternatives. If this holds, Dorman can keep compounding from aftermarket repair demand; if it breaks, revenue growth becomes much more dependent on price or acquisitions.

Dorman’s ability to supply harder-to-source replacement and upgrade parts should preserve pricing and mix power, provided competitors do not turn its categories into price-transparent commodities. This is the difference between valuable growth and low-return distribution growth; gross margin is the first financial proof of the moat.

Dorman’s sales, sourcing, engineering, and distribution platform should have operating leverage, but only if expanding the catalog does not require proportionate increases in overhead, quality costs, or channel-support spending. Operating leverage determines whether Dorman compounds earnings per share or merely grows revenue with little incremental owner value.

Dorman must maintain enough inventory breadth to protect channel availability without letting working capital consume the economics of the catalog model. If cash conversion weakens structurally, reported earnings overstate the value created and the company has less capacity for buybacks, debt reduction, or acquisitions.

Dorman’s balance-sheet flexibility should support continued product expansion and selective acquisitions, but only if management does not re-lever faster than the business converts earnings into cash. A stronger balance sheet gives owners more optionality; a debt-funded roll-up with weak cash conversion would make the equity riskier and lower quality.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its non-OE replacement and upgrade parts remain hard enough to source that retailers and distributors keep paying for availability, it can grow earnings faster than the vehicle aftermarket, but the case depends on margins.

Evidence assessed Oct 26, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Dorman Products

Where the evidence on Dorman Products disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 26, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 strengthening, 1 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Dorman’s broad non-OE replacement and upgrade catalog should keep converting repair-market need into sales because customers value availability across many vehicle types more than relying solely on OE or fragmented alternatives.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Dorman’s ability to supply harder-to-source replacement and upgrade parts should preserve pricing and mix power, provided competitors do not turn its categories into price-transparent commodities.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Dorman’s sales, sourcing, engineering, and distribution platform should have operating leverage, but only if expanding the catalog does not require proportionate increases in overhead, quality costs, or channel-support spending.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Dorman’s balance-sheet flexibility should support continued product expansion and selective acquisitions, but only if management does not re-lever faster than the business converts earnings into cash.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Dorman must maintain enough inventory breadth to protect channel availability without letting working capital consume the economics of the catalog model.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Dorman Products

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Dorman Products’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Dorman Products filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-03: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Dorman Products filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-17: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Other material event.

    Dorman Products filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-03: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Major auto-parts retailers or warehouse distributors shift shelf space to their own direct-sourced private-label parts.
  • Amazon, RockAuto, or other online sellers make Dorman categories more price-transparent and compress resale margins.
  • Quality issues, recalls, or warranty claims require higher engineering and customer-support expense.
  • Retailers and distributors require broader in-stock commitments or longer payment terms to keep Dorman on the shelf.
  • A large debt-funded acquisition materially increases liabilities before cash conversion improves.

DORM news

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Financial statements

DORM income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

DORM: quick answers

When does Dorman Products (DORM) report earnings next?
Dorman Products's next results are projected for January 18, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 26, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is DORM's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 1.5M DORM shares were sold short, 5.20% of its shares outstanding, down 7.4% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 5.3 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. DORM short interest history
Have members of Congress traded DORM?
Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 1 trade in DORM by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed DORM trade
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