Endava

DAVANYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$1.57
−$0.10 (−5.99%)Today 1M −16.92%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$1.67
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$1.57–$1.69
Regular-session low and high so far today.
275.9K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$1.52–$7.36
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own DAVA if its specialist digital-engineering work reclaims premium utilization and margins after a sharp post-2023 reset.

DAVA price history

Latest price$1.57Today−$0.10 (-5.99%)
DAVA -17.80%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Enterprise demand for Endava’s specialist digital-engineering services resumes because clients still need outside expertise for complex modernization programs, rather than treating the work as deferrable staff augmentation.HoldingMateriality: High

    IFRS annual revenue increased to £772.3 million in FY2025 from £740.8 million in FY2024, suggesting demand stabilized after the FY2024 decline. If this holds, revenue growth can again fund talent and operating leverage; if it breaks, Endava becomes a lower-growth services vendor with weaker multiple support.

    Watch: Large enterprise clients move digital-product engineering in-house instead of using external partners like Endava.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS annual revenue increased to £772.3 million in FY2025 from £740.8 million in FY2024, suggesting demand stabilized after the FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Endava’s work remains differentiated enough to support premium pricing and high utilization; otherwise AI-enabled delivery and offshore competition make gross margin structurally lower.WeakeningMateriality: High

    IFRS annual gross profit rose to £193.7 million in FY2025 from £179.7 million in FY2024. Gross margin is the clearest test of whether Endava is selling scarce expertise or commoditized capacity.

    Watch: Generative-AI coding tools let clients or competitors deliver comparable software work with fewer billable engineers, pressuring rates.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS annual gross profit rose to £193.7 million in FY2025 from £179.7 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Endava’s delivery and overhead base can scale with recovering demand, allowing incremental gross profit to fall through to operating income instead of being absorbed by sales, delivery, or integration costs.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    IFRS annual operating income improved to £31.5 million in FY2025 from £20.1 million in FY2024. The equity case needs margin recovery, not just revenue recovery; otherwise earnings power remains far below the historical model.

    Watch: Endava must keep investing in sales, AI capabilities, delivery centers, or integration teams just to defend existing revenue, preventing operating leverage.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS annual operating income improved to £31.5 million in FY2025 from £20.1 million in FY2024.

    Open source ↗
  • Endava’s services model remains asset-light enough to convert profits into cash and self-fund talent investment, acquisitions, and downturn resilience without sustained balance-sheet drawdown.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    IFRS annual operating cash flow was positive at £52.8 million in FY2025. Cash generation determines whether Endava can invest through the cycle or has to cut capacity, dilute shareholders, or take on less attractive financing.

    Watch: Clients extend payment terms or delay project milestones, consuming working capital before reported revenue weakens.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    IFRS annual operating cash flow was positive at £52.8 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Endava has enough financial flexibility to retain key engineering capacity through a demand downturn, which preserves delivery capability when client spending returns.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Cash was £59.3 million at FY2025 year-end, so the company still had a liquidity buffer. If the balance sheet cannot support the cycle, Endava may cut the very talent needed to capture the recovery.

    Watch: A longer client-spending downturn forces layoffs or underinvestment in delivery talent before demand recovers.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash was £59.3 million at FY2025 year-end, so the company still had a liquidity buffer.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Enterprise demand for Endava’s specialist digital-engineering services resumes because clients still need outside expertise for complex modernization programs, rather than treating the work as deferrable staff augmentation. If this holds, revenue growth can again fund talent and operating leverage; if it breaks, Endava becomes a lower-growth services vendor with weaker multiple support.

Endava’s work remains differentiated enough to support premium pricing and high utilization; otherwise AI-enabled delivery and offshore competition make gross margin structurally lower. Gross margin is the clearest test of whether Endava is selling scarce expertise or commoditized capacity.

Endava’s delivery and overhead base can scale with recovering demand, allowing incremental gross profit to fall through to operating income instead of being absorbed by sales, delivery, or integration costs. The equity case needs margin recovery, not just revenue recovery; otherwise earnings power remains far below the historical model.

Endava’s services model remains asset-light enough to convert profits into cash and self-fund talent investment, acquisitions, and downturn resilience without sustained balance-sheet drawdown. Cash generation determines whether Endava can invest through the cycle or has to cut capacity, dilute shareholders, or take on less attractive financing.

Endava has enough financial flexibility to retain key engineering capacity through a demand downturn, which preserves delivery capability when client spending returns. If the balance sheet cannot support the cycle, Endava may cut the very talent needed to capture the recovery.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its specialist digital-engineering work reclaims premium utilization and margins after a sharp post-2023 reset.

Evidence assessed Nov 7, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Endava

Where the evidence on Endava disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Nov 7, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 3 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Enterprise demand for Endava’s specialist digital-engineering services resumes because clients still need outside expertise for complex modernization programs, rather than treating the work as deferrable staff augmentation.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Endava’s delivery and overhead base can scale with recovering demand, allowing incremental gross profit to fall through to operating income instead of being absorbed by sales, delivery, or integration costs.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Endava’s services model remains asset-light enough to convert profits into cash and self-fund talent investment, acquisitions, and downturn resilience without sustained balance-sheet drawdown.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Endava’s work remains differentiated enough to support premium pricing and high utilization; otherwise AI-enabled delivery and offshore competition make gross margin structurally lower.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Endava has enough financial flexibility to retain key engineering capacity through a demand downturn, which preserves delivery capability when client spending returns.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Endava

Loading the break-condition record for Endava.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Endava filed an SEC report on 2026-10-28: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Endava filed an SEC report on 2026-09-21: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    Endava filed an SEC report on 2026-05-21: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large enterprise clients move digital-product engineering in-house instead of using external partners like Endava.
  • Generative-AI coding tools let clients or competitors deliver comparable software work with fewer billable engineers, pressuring rates.
  • Endava must keep investing in sales, AI capabilities, delivery centers, or integration teams just to defend existing revenue, preventing operating leverage.
  • Clients extend payment terms or delay project milestones, consuming working capital before reported revenue weakens.
  • A longer client-spending downturn forces layoffs or underinvestment in delivery talent before demand recovers.

DAVA news

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Financial statements

DAVA income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

DAVA: quick answers

Have members of Congress traded DAVA?
18 trades in DAVA have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed DAVA trade
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