Corpay
CPAYNYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $461.95 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $453.98–$465.06 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 335.1K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 12, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $271.22–$479.53 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own CPAY if Corpay converts the slow, manual B2B payments market into recurring, high-margin revenue by selling a suite of card, AP automation and cross-border FX services that drive wallet share and generate attractive cash returns.
CPAY price history
Loading recent earnings…
Investment thesis
What must happen next
Revenue growth will continue to be driven by cross-selling multiple payment products to the same customers (wallet-share expansion on a multi-product platform), not primarily by one-off pricing or one large new customer.StrengtheningMateriality: High
Revenue grew from $3,757,719,000 (2023) to $3,974,589,000 (2024) to $4,528,403,000 (2025). If growth is true wallet-share expansion it is more durable and profitable; if growth is one-offs, revenue and margins can roll over quickly.
Watch: Large ERP/cloud vendors or fintechs embed AP/payments (e.g., ERP-native AP automation + payments) and take share from third-party platforms.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Revenue grew from $3,757,719,000 (2023) to $3,974,589,000 (2024) to $4,528,403,000 (2025).
Open source ↗Operating cash flow and free cash generation will remain adequate to fund regular M&A and shareholder returns only insofar as working-capital/settlement asset growth (receivables/float) does not materially increase capital needs.HoldingMateriality: High
Operating cash flow has been material historically: $2,101,132,000 (2023), $1,940,565,000 (2024) and $1,499,901,000 (2025). If cash conversion remains strong, Corpay can grow and return capital without leverage; if settlement/float assets tie up cash, FCF will fall and leverage or dilution will rise.
Watch: A large increase in settlement receivables or other assets (assets rose from $17,957,031,000 in 2024 to $26,408,135,000 in 2025) that materially worsens cash conversion.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Operating cash flow has been material historically: $2,101,132,000 (2023), $1,940,565,000 (2024) and $1,499,901,000 (2025).
Open source ↗Corpay's combination of acceptance networks, FX/hedging capability and global footprint provides a defendable moat that preserves pricing power in cross-border and card-based corporate payments.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Operating income increased year-over-year: $1,656,873,000 (2023) → $1,787,157,000 (2024) → $1,994,108,000 (2025). A real moat preserves spreads and enable steady adjusted EBITDA; loss of this advantage would cause margin and revenue pressure.
Watch: Large banks or agile global fintechs scale low-cost cross-border FX for corporates (e.g., Wise/Revolut expansions or banks bundling FX with ERP integrations).
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Operating income increased year-over-year: $1,656,873,000 (2023) → $1,787,157,000 (2024) → $1,994,108,000 (2025).
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
Loading the original research archive…
Original research
Revenue growth will continue to be driven by cross-selling multiple payment products to the same customers (wallet-share expansion on a multi-product platform), not primarily by one-off pricing or one large new customer. If growth is true wallet-share expansion it is more durable and profitable; if growth is one-offs, revenue and margins can roll over quickly.
Operating cash flow and free cash generation will remain adequate to fund regular M&A and shareholder returns only insofar as working-capital/settlement asset growth (receivables/float) does not materially increase capital needs. If cash conversion remains strong, Corpay can grow and return capital without leverage; if settlement/float assets tie up cash, FCF will fall and leverage or dilution will rise.
Corpay's combination of acceptance networks, FX/hedging capability and global footprint provides a defendable moat that preserves pricing power in cross-border and card-based corporate payments. A real moat preserves spreads and enable steady adjusted EBITDA; loss of this advantage would cause margin and revenue pressure.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
Corpay converts the slow, manual B2B payments market into recurring, high-margin revenue by selling a suite of card, AP automation and cross-border FX services that drive wallet share and generate attractive cash returns.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Corpay
Where the evidence on Corpay stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 3 thesis points, 1 strengthening and 2 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Revenue growth will continue to be driven by cross-selling multiple payment products to the same customers (wallet-share expansion on a multi-product platform), not primarily by one-off pricing or one large new customer.
Operating cash flow and free cash generation will remain adequate to fund regular M&A and shareholder returns only insofar as working-capital/settlement asset growth (receivables/float) does not materially increase capital needs.
Corpay's combination of acceptance networks, FX/hedging capability and global footprint provides a defendable moat that preserves pricing power in cross-border and card-based corporate payments.
Bear case: what would count against it
Large ERP/cloud vendors or fintechs embed AP/payments (e.g., ERP-native AP automation + payments) and take share from third-party platforms.
A large increase in settlement receivables or other assets (assets rose from $17,957,031,000 in 2024 to $26,408,135,000 in 2025) that materially worsens cash conversion.
Large banks or agile global fintechs scale low-cost cross-border FX for corporates (e.g., Wise/Revolut expansions or banks bundling FX with ERP integrations).
Company research
Research on Corpay
- Reporting · Corpay, Inc. (NYSE: CPAY) Resolves FTC Case for $100 Million
The payment was already charged in the second quarter. Friday's agreement removes uncertainty but keeps the 2023 court order in place.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Corpay
No break has crossed Corpay’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Corpay filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-11-04: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Corpay filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Corpay filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-24: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Large ERP/cloud vendors or fintechs embed AP/payments (e.g., ERP-native AP automation + payments) and take share from third-party platforms.
- A large increase in settlement receivables or other assets (assets rose from $17,957,031,000 in 2024 to $26,408,135,000 in 2025) that materially worsens cash conversion.
- Large banks or agile global fintechs scale low-cost cross-border FX for corporates (e.g., Wise/Revolut expansions or banks bundling FX with ERP integrations).
CPAY news
Loading headlines…
Financial statements
CPAY income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
CPAY: quick answers
- What is CPAY's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 3.6M CPAY shares were sold short, 5.59% of its shares outstanding, up 2.1% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 8.8 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. CPAY short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded CPAY?
- Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 3 trades in CPAY by 1 filer: 0 purchases and 3 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed CPAY trade
- Which well-known investors own CPAY?
- 2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported CPAY shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Tiger Global Management (Chase Coleman), 3.0%; Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios
CPAY in well-known investors’ portfolios
2 of 37 funds reported CPAY shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase ColemanTiger Global Management | 3.0% | $716M | +22.7% | Q2 2026 |
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.01% | $2.6M | New | Q2 2026 |
