Clean Energy Fuels

CLNENASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$1.88
+$0.05 (+2.73%)Today 1M +24.49%
After hours$1.84−2.13%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$1.83
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$1.82–$1.91
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.6M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Feb 23 projected
Projected for 2027-02-23 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$1.33–$2.84
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own CLNE if renewable natural gas becomes a durable heavy-duty fleet fuel and its existing CNG/LNG infrastructure finally earns operating leverage.

CLNE price history

Latest price$1.88Today+$0.05 (+2.73%)
CLNE +31.01%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

Loading recent earnings…

Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Heavy-duty fleet decarbonization continues to leave room for RNG/CNG/LNG fueling where range, payload, and refueling time make full electrification difficult.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue was $424.8 million in FY2025, $415.9 million in FY2024, and $425.2 million in FY2023, showing a persistent demand base despite losses. If this holds, CLNE’s network remains strategically relevant; if it breaks, revenue support disappears before margins can scale.

    Watch: Large fleet customers shift procurement decisively to battery-electric trucks, hydrogen fuel-cell trucks, or renewable diesel instead of natural-gas vehicles.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue was $424.8 million in FY2025, $415.9 million in FY2024, and $425.2 million in FY2023, showing a persistent.

    Open source ↗
  • RNG procurement and distribution can create cash value even before GAAP profitability because environmental credits and working-capital timing help convert fuel activity into operating cash flow.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive at $85.5 million in FY2025. Positive operating cash flow extends runway and reduces financing risk while CLNE waits for scale.

    Watch: EPA RFS, California LCFS, or other clean-fuel programs are weakened, delayed, or repriced in a way that reduces credit monetization.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive at $85.5 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • The asset-heavy fueling network must gain throughput fast enough for fixed station and corporate costs to spread over more profitable gallons; current evidence does not yet show durable operating leverage.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating loss narrowed to $36.4 million in FY2024 from $76.4 million in FY2023, showing operating leverage is possible in better conditions. This is the bridge from a strategically useful network to shareholder value; without it, growth can still destroy capital.

    Watch: Station utilization remains low because fleets delay natural-gas truck purchases or route density does not develop around CLNE locations.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating loss narrowed to $36.4 million in FY2024 from $76.4 million in FY2023, showing operating leverage is possible.

    Open source ↗
  • CLNE has enough liquidity to keep participating in the RNG fleet transition without immediate distress, provided cash generation continues and capital spending does not accelerate faster than adoption.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Cash and cash equivalents were $155.6 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $89.5 million at FY2024 year-end. Runway determines whether existing shareholders can wait for the adoption curve or face dilution/debt pressure first.

    Watch: Large station-build commitments, customer subsidies, or RNG supply investments consume cash before fleet volumes arrive.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash and cash equivalents were $155.6 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $89.5 million at FY2024 year-end.

    Open source ↗
  • Management must avoid overbuilding or overpaying for RNG assets because the business is not yet earning its cost through GAAP profits, making capital discipline central to per-share value.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Stockholders’ equity declined to $559.4 million at FY2025 year-end from $713.3 million at FY2024 year-end. If capital is deployed ahead of real demand, shareholders absorb losses and book-value erosion before the market opportunity proves out.

    Watch: RNG production or supply projects underperform volume, credit, or cost assumptions and require impairments.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Stockholders’ equity declined to $559.4 million at FY2025 year-end from $713.3 million at FY2024 year-end.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Heavy-duty fleet decarbonization continues to leave room for RNG/CNG/LNG fueling where range, payload, and refueling time make full electrification difficult. If this holds, CLNE’s network remains strategically relevant; if it breaks, revenue support disappears before margins can scale.

RNG procurement and distribution can create cash value even before GAAP profitability because environmental credits and working-capital timing help convert fuel activity into operating cash flow. Positive operating cash flow extends runway and reduces financing risk while CLNE waits for scale.

The asset-heavy fueling network must gain throughput fast enough for fixed station and corporate costs to spread over more profitable gallons; current evidence does not yet show durable operating leverage. This is the bridge from a strategically useful network to shareholder value; without it, growth can still destroy capital.

CLNE has enough liquidity to keep participating in the RNG fleet transition without immediate distress, provided cash generation continues and capital spending does not accelerate faster than adoption. Runway determines whether existing shareholders can wait for the adoption curve or face dilution/debt pressure first.

Management must avoid overbuilding or overpaying for RNG assets because the business is not yet earning its cost through GAAP profits, making capital discipline central to per-share value. If capital is deployed ahead of real demand, shareholders absorb losses and book-value erosion before the market opportunity proves out.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

renewable natural gas becomes a durable heavy-duty fleet fuel and its existing CNG/LNG infrastructure finally earns operating leverage.

Evidence assessed Oct 15, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Clean Energy Fuels

Where the evidence on Clean Energy Fuels disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening, 1 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Heavy-duty fleet decarbonization continues to leave room for RNG/CNG/LNG fueling where range, payload, and refueling time make full electrification difficult.

    sec.gov ↗

  • RNG procurement and distribution can create cash value even before GAAP profitability because environmental credits and working-capital timing help convert fuel activity into operating cash flow.

    sec.gov ↗

  • CLNE has enough liquidity to keep participating in the RNG fleet transition without immediate distress, provided cash generation continues and capital spending does not accelerate faster than adoption.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • The asset-heavy fueling network must gain throughput fast enough for fixed station and corporate costs to spread over more profitable gallons; current evidence does not yet show durable operating leverage.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management must avoid overbuilding or overpaying for RNG assets because the business is not yet earning its cost through GAAP profits, making capital discipline central to per-share value.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

What has broken in Clean Energy Fuels’s thesis

Each break OptimistFi flagged on Clean Energy Fuels, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Clean Energy Fuels.

peers+15%-20%-2%12 mo agonow+6 mo
Daily price, then where similar breaks led across the market: the typical -2% path vs comparable companies over six months, inside the middle-half range (+15% to -20%). A base rate, not a forecast.
  • CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing

    Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against comparable companies after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Clean Energy Fuels filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-06: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Clean Energy Fuels filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-06: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Clean Energy Fuels filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-23: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Large fleet customers shift procurement decisively to battery-electric trucks, hydrogen fuel-cell trucks, or renewable diesel instead of natural-gas vehicles.
  • EPA RFS, California LCFS, or other clean-fuel programs are weakened, delayed, or repriced in a way that reduces credit monetization.
  • Station utilization remains low because fleets delay natural-gas truck purchases or route density does not develop around CLNE locations.
  • Large station-build commitments, customer subsidies, or RNG supply investments consume cash before fleet volumes arrive.
  • RNG production or supply projects underperform volume, credit, or cost assumptions and require impairments.

CLNE news

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Financial statements

CLNE income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

CLNE: quick answers

When does Clean Energy Fuels (CLNE) report earnings next?
Clean Energy Fuels's next results are projected for February 23, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is CLNE's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 5.7M CLNE shares were sold short, 2.58% of its shares outstanding, down 2.1% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.0 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. CLNE short interest history
Have members of Congress traded CLNE?
10 trades in CLNE have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed CLNE trade
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