Webull

BULLNASDAQUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$5.06
+$0.19 (+3.90%)Today 1M −19.81%
After hours$5.25+3.73%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$4.87
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$4.99–$5.14
Regular-session low and high so far today.
8.7M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$4.50–$10.37
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own BULL if it sustains high retail trading volumes and customer cash/float monetization (driving revenue and large operating cash flow) while converting platform-level scale into durable profit per share rather than dilution.

BULL price history

Latest price$5.06Today+$0.19 (+3.90%)
BULL -16.89%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Webull's revenue growth is caused by monetization of retail trading activity and customer balances (order flow, margin and deposit interest, premium services) rather than one-off accounting items; if those monetization channels remain intact, revenue will keep scaling with active users.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    revenue rose to 570,996,806 USD in FY2025 from 390,229,672 USD in FY2024 (fundamentals: revenue). If true, revenue growth can compound with limited incremental cost, supporting margin expansion and valuation multiple expansion; if false, revenue will be vulnerable to regulation/competition and growth will stop.

    Watch: Regulatory ban or severe restriction on payment-for-order-flow (PFOF) that removes a major retail brokerage revenue channel.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    revenue rose to 570,996,806 USD in FY2025 from 390,229,672 USD in FY2024 (fundamentals: revenue).

    Open source ↗
  • The company's unusually large operating cash flow is primarily driven by customer cash/float and the firm's ability to earn spreads or interest on those balances; maintaining access to and yield on those balances funds growth and reduces need for external.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    operating_cash_flow jumped to 566,424,456 USD in FY2025 from 185,215,389 USD in FY2024 (fundamentals: operating_cash_flow). If sustained, high operating cash flow funds reinvestment and reduces dilution; if the cash is transient or regulators limit its use, the company will need external financing or cut growth.

    Watch: Regulatory restrictions on how customer cash balances can be used or on interest allocation (e.g., bans or limits on rehypothecation, or new rules on client cash swept to affiliates).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    operating_cash_flow jumped to 566,424,456 USD in FY2025 from 185,215,389 USD in FY2024 (fundamentals: operating_cash_flow).

    Open source ↗
  • Webull's platform has sufficient operating leverage that, once monetization mix shifts toward higher-margin services and fixed costs are absorbed, net income can remain positive and grow without proportional increases in spending.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    net_income was positive at 24,770,704 USD in FY2025, after a loss of 22,693,648 USD in FY2024, indicating a swing toward profitability (fundamentals: net_income). Sustained operating leverage would convert top-line growth into durable net income and cash generation, justifying a premium multiple; if operating leverage fails, margins and net income will be volatile.

    Watch: Rising compliance, legal, or technology costs that scale with regulatory scrutiny rather than revenue.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    net_income was positive at 24,770,704 USD in FY2025, after a loss of 22,693,648 USD in FY2024, indicating a swing toward.

    Open source ↗
  • The balance-sheet shift from negative equity to positive equity in 2025 reflects a recapitalization (capital raise, IPO or reclassification) that materially improves solvency and provides optionality to invest or shore up liquidity.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    stockholders' equity moved to 1,016,292,713 USD at 2025-12-31 from -2,256,248,639 USD at 2024-12-31 (fundamentals: equity). A stronger equity base reduces financing risk, allowing the company to pursue growth or endure shocks without dilutive emergency raises; if the improvement is illusory or temporary, solvency risk returns.

    Watch: If the equity change is due to a one-time accounting item, reclassification, or nonrecurring transaction that does not reflect durable capital (e.g., temporary VIE remeasurements).

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    stockholders' equity moved to 1,016,292,713 USD at 2025-12-31 from -2,256,248,639 USD at 2024-12-31 (fundamentals: equity).

    Open source ↗
  • Despite positive net income, GAAP diluted EPS remains negative because of material share-count dilution or noncontrolling interests; unless outstanding share growth slows or buybacks occur, per-share earnings and investor returns will lag headline profitability.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    eps_diluted is -1.23 USD/shares in FY2025 while net_income is positive 24,770,704 USD (fundamentals: eps_diluted. Per-share metrics, not aggregate profits, drive shareholder returns; ongoing dilution can negate the economics of revenue and cash-flow growth.

    Watch: Large share issuance programs tied to acquisitions, equity compensation, or financing that further increase share count.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    eps_diluted is -1.23 USD/shares in FY2025 while net_income is positive 24,770,704 USD (fundamentals: eps_diluted.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

Webull's revenue growth is caused by monetization of retail trading activity and customer balances (order flow, margin and deposit interest, premium services) rather than one-off accounting items; if those monetization channels remain intact, revenue will keep scaling with active users. If true, revenue growth can compound with limited incremental cost, supporting margin expansion and valuation multiple expansion; if false, revenue will be vulnerable to regulation/competition and growth will stop.

The company's unusually large operating cash flow is primarily driven by customer cash/float and the firm's ability to earn spreads or interest on those balances; maintaining access to and yield on those balances funds growth and reduces need for external. If sustained, high operating cash flow funds reinvestment and reduces dilution; if the cash is transient or regulators limit its use, the company will need external financing or cut growth.

Webull's platform has sufficient operating leverage that, once monetization mix shifts toward higher-margin services and fixed costs are absorbed, net income can remain positive and grow without proportional increases in spending. Sustained operating leverage would convert top-line growth into durable net income and cash generation, justifying a premium multiple; if operating leverage fails, margins and net income will be volatile.

The balance-sheet shift from negative equity to positive equity in 2025 reflects a recapitalization (capital raise, IPO or reclassification) that materially improves solvency and provides optionality to invest or shore up liquidity. A stronger equity base reduces financing risk, allowing the company to pursue growth or endure shocks without dilutive emergency raises; if the improvement is illusory or temporary, solvency risk returns.

Despite positive net income, GAAP diluted EPS remains negative because of material share-count dilution or noncontrolling interests; unless outstanding share growth slows or buybacks occur, per-share earnings and investor returns will lag headline profitability. Per-share metrics, not aggregate profits, drive shareholder returns; ongoing dilution can negate the economics of revenue and cash-flow growth.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

it sustains high retail trading volumes and customer cash/float monetization (driving revenue and large operating cash flow) while converting platform-level scale into durable profit per share rather than dilution.

Evidence assessed Oct 26, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Webull

Where the evidence on Webull stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 26, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 4 strengthening and 1 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Webull's revenue growth is caused by monetization of retail trading activity and customer balances (order flow, margin and deposit interest, premium services) rather than one-off accounting items; if those monetization channels remain intact, revenue will keep scaling with active users.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The company's unusually large operating cash flow is primarily driven by customer cash/float and the firm's ability to earn spreads or interest on those balances; maintaining access to and yield on those balances funds growth and reduces need for external.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Webull's platform has sufficient operating leverage that, once monetization mix shifts toward higher-margin services and fixed costs are absorbed, net income can remain positive and grow without proportional increases in spending.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The balance-sheet shift from negative equity to positive equity in 2025 reflects a recapitalization (capital raise, IPO or reclassification) that materially improves solvency and provides optionality to invest or shore up liquidity.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Despite positive net income, GAAP diluted EPS remains negative because of material share-count dilution or noncontrolling interests; unless outstanding share growth slows or buybacks occur, per-share earnings and investor returns will lag headline profitability.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Regulatory ban or severe restriction on payment-for-order-flow (PFOF) that removes a major retail brokerage revenue channel.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Regulatory restrictions on how customer cash balances can be used or on interest allocation (e.g., bans or limits on rehypothecation, or new rules on client cash swept to affiliates).

    sec.gov ↗

  • Rising compliance, legal, or technology costs that scale with regulatory scrutiny rather than revenue.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Webull

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

Loading the break-condition record for Webull.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER.

    Webull filed an SEC report on 2026-10-09: REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    CURRENT REPORT.

    Webull filed an SEC report on 2026-10-01: CURRENT REPORT. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER.

    Webull filed an SEC report on 2026-09-11: REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Regulatory ban or severe restriction on payment-for-order-flow (PFOF) that removes a major retail brokerage revenue channel.
  • Regulatory restrictions on how customer cash balances can be used or on interest allocation (e.g., bans or limits on rehypothecation, or new rules on client cash swept to affiliates).
  • Rising compliance, legal, or technology costs that scale with regulatory scrutiny rather than revenue.
  • If the equity change is due to a one-time accounting item, reclassification, or nonrecurring transaction that does not reflect durable capital (e.g., temporary VIE remeasurements).
  • Large share issuance programs tied to acquisitions, equity compensation, or financing that further increase share count.

BULL news

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Financial statements

BULL income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

BULL: quick answers

What is BULL's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 35.0M BULL shares were sold short, down 5.9% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 3.8 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. BULL short interest history
Which well-known investors own BULL?
1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported BULL shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Tiger Global Management (Chase Coleman), 0.2%. Fund portfolios

BULL in well-known investors’ portfolios

1 of 37 funds reported BULL shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
Chase ColemanTiger Global Management0.18%$43.8MNo changeQ2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

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