Boston Omaha

BOCNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

Email me when the BOC thesis changes

Evidence-based analysis, not personalized investment advice. Every alert email carries an unsubscribe link.

Follow on X
$13.74
+$0.09 (+0.66%)Today 1M +5.90%
After hours$13.740.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$13.65
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$13.51–$13.87
Regular-session low and high so far today.
108.5K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Nov 12 projected
Projected for 2026-11-12 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$10.52–$15.22
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own BOC if its scarce billboard assets, rural broadband footprint and 50-state surety platform finally scale into durable operating profit rather than remaining a discounted holding-company collection.

BOC price history

Latest price$13.74Today+$0.09 (+0.66%)
BOC +7.14%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

Loading recent earnings…

Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Regulatory barriers to new billboard construction and low maintenance needs for static boards give Link Media a defensible local advertising asset base that should keep producing high gross dollars if acquisition discipline holds.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Item 1 says Boston Omaha is attracted to outdoor advertising because of high regulatory barriers to building new billboards in some states, low maintenance capital expenditures for static billboards and low cost per impression for customers. If this holds, billboards can fund other growth; if it breaks, Boston Omaha loses its clearest hard-asset cash engine.

    Watch: Lamar, OUTFRONT or Clear Channel bid aggressively for the same smaller billboard assets, eliminating the ability to acquire at attractive prices.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 says Boston Omaha is attracted to outdoor advertising because of high regulatory barriers to building new billboards in.

    Open source ↗
  • BOB’s rural-market acquisitions and Fiber Fast Homes builder partnerships can create recurring broadband growth only if completed fiber passings convert to customers before subsidized or wireless competitors overbuild the same markets.HoldingMateriality: High

    Item 1 says Boston Omaha Broadband operates acquired platforms including AireBeam, Utah Broadband and InfoWest, and hopes to expand in Arizona, Florida, Nevada, Utah and other locales. Broadband is the largest visible growth lever, but poor take rates would turn network expansion into capital drag.

    Watch: State BEAD-funded projects award capital to competing fiber providers in BOB’s Arizona, Utah, Nevada or Florida markets.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 says Boston Omaha Broadband operates acquired platforms including AireBeam, Utah Broadband and InfoWest, and hopes to expand in.

    Open source ↗
  • The holding-company model only becomes investable if the fixed local asset base and insurance portal scale faster than corporate costs, turning the current collection of assets into recurring GAAP operating profit.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating loss narrowed from $8.5 million in FY2024 to $3.9 million in FY2025. This is the bridge from asset value to shareholder value; without operating leverage, the discount to book can persist indefinitely.

    Watch: Broadband network operating costs and customer-acquisition costs rise faster than penetration in Arizona, Utah, Nevada or Florida.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating loss narrowed from $8.5 million in FY2024 to $3.9 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • UCS’s 50-state license base and BOSS Bonds’ computerized portal can be a scalable niche only if speed for independent agents does not come with adverse selection or reserve volatility.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Item 1 says UCS is licensed to operate in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. If underwriting is controlled, surety can add capital-light earnings; if not, it can create losses that overwhelm the portal’s growth appeal.

    Watch: Surety claims or reserve development at UCS rise because high-volume, low-limit policies were underpriced.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 says UCS is licensed to operate in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

    Open source ↗
  • Management’s acquisition-led strategy creates value only if it can keep buying and building niche assets below their long-term worth rather than merely increasing complexity and tying up capital.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Item 1 states that one principal objective is to acquire additional billboard assets when prices are attractive relative to other opportunities. Because Boston Omaha is valued partly as an asset compounder, poor capital allocation would make the book-value discount rational.

    Watch: Minority investments or acquired operating businesses are written down or sold below carrying value.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 states that one principal objective is to acquire additional billboard assets when prices are attractive relative to other.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Regulatory barriers to new billboard construction and low maintenance needs for static boards give Link Media a defensible local advertising asset base that should keep producing high gross dollars if acquisition discipline holds. If this holds, billboards can fund other growth; if it breaks, Boston Omaha loses its clearest hard-asset cash engine.

BOB’s rural-market acquisitions and Fiber Fast Homes builder partnerships can create recurring broadband growth only if completed fiber passings convert to customers before subsidized or wireless competitors overbuild the same markets. Broadband is the largest visible growth lever, but poor take rates would turn network expansion into capital drag.

The holding-company model only becomes investable if the fixed local asset base and insurance portal scale faster than corporate costs, turning the current collection of assets into recurring GAAP operating profit. This is the bridge from asset value to shareholder value; without operating leverage, the discount to book can persist indefinitely.

UCS’s 50-state license base and BOSS Bonds’ computerized portal can be a scalable niche only if speed for independent agents does not come with adverse selection or reserve volatility. If underwriting is controlled, surety can add capital-light earnings; if not, it can create losses that overwhelm the portal’s growth appeal.

Management’s acquisition-led strategy creates value only if it can keep buying and building niche assets below their long-term worth rather than merely increasing complexity and tying up capital. Because Boston Omaha is valued partly as an asset compounder, poor capital allocation would make the book-value discount rational.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

its scarce billboard assets, rural broadband footprint and 50-state surety platform finally scale into durable operating profit rather than remaining a discounted holding-company collection.

Evidence assessed Oct 15, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for BOSTON OMAHA

Where the evidence on BOSTON OMAHA disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 2 holding and 2 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Regulatory barriers to new billboard construction and low maintenance needs for static boards give Link Media a defensible local advertising asset base that should keep producing high gross dollars if acquisition discipline holds.

    sec.gov ↗

  • BOB’s rural-market acquisitions and Fiber Fast Homes builder partnerships can create recurring broadband growth only if completed fiber passings convert to customers before subsidized or wireless competitors overbuild the same markets.

    sec.gov ↗

  • The holding-company model only becomes investable if the fixed local asset base and insurance portal scale faster than corporate costs, turning the current collection of assets into recurring GAAP operating profit.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • UCS’s 50-state license base and BOSS Bonds’ computerized portal can be a scalable niche only if speed for independent agents does not come with adverse selection or reserve volatility.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Management’s acquisition-led strategy creates value only if it can keep buying and building niche assets below their long-term worth rather than merely increasing complexity and tying up capital.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · BOSTON OMAHA

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed BOSTON OMAHA’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    BOSTON OMAHA filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-11: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    BOSTON OMAHA filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-21: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    BOSTON OMAHA filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-13: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Lamar, OUTFRONT or Clear Channel bid aggressively for the same smaller billboard assets, eliminating the ability to acquire at attractive prices.
  • State BEAD-funded projects award capital to competing fiber providers in BOB’s Arizona, Utah, Nevada or Florida markets.
  • Broadband network operating costs and customer-acquisition costs rise faster than penetration in Arizona, Utah, Nevada or Florida.
  • Surety claims or reserve development at UCS rise because high-volume, low-limit policies were underpriced.
  • Minority investments or acquired operating businesses are written down or sold below carrying value.

BOC news

Loading headlines…

Financial statements

BOC income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

BOC: quick answers

When does BOSTON OMAHA (BOC) report earnings next?
BOSTON OMAHA's next results are projected for November 12, 2026, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on August 13, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is BOC's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 1.9M BOC shares were sold short, 6.42% of its shares outstanding, up 0.2% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 15 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. BOC short interest history
ScoutJUST THIS STORY

LET’S MAKE THIS USEFUL · 1 OF 5

How would you like me to explain this?

Tell me what you want from this read. Start with a quick note, then adjust the details. Your other stories stay as they are.

We’ll remember your view of this story. The published article stays unchanged.

THIS STORY’S READING VIEWStandard · The whole picture

Clear explanations with context. Both sides of the evidence.