BlackRock
BLKNYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $1,226.31 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $1,221.28–$1,236.49 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 182.0K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 12, 2:42 PM ET.
- Jan 13 projected Projected for 2027-01-13 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $917.39–$1,242.12 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own BLK if BlackRock turns unrivaled scale in AUM, a dominant iShares ETF franchise and the Aladdin technology platform into recurring fee revenue and high cash returns by cross-selling higher‑margin private markets and subscription services (accelerated by.
BLK price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
BlackRock's AUM scale and diversified product/distribution mix convert market flows into reliably growing fee revenue and cash; growth in revenue will continue so long as core ETF/index flows and rising private markets allocations persist.StrengtheningMateriality: High
Business disclosure of $14.0 trillion AUM at December 31, 2025 (Item 1 Business) supporting scale and distribution. If true, revenue and operating cash flow will compound and support buybacks/dividends and justify the premium multiple; if false, growth will not translate into shareholder returns and the multiple will compress.
Watch: Sustained fee compression or loss of ETF market share to lower‑cost competitors (e.g., Vanguard) that reduces net flows into iShares.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Business disclosure of $14.0 trillion AUM at December 31, 2025 (Item 1 Business) supporting scale and distribution.
Open source ↗The 2025 acquisitions (HPS, Preqin) will shift BlackRock's product mix toward private credit and private markets and higher‑value data/subscription offerings, increasing fee‑paying AUM and supporting higher long‑term operating income per dollar of AUM if integrations succeed.HoldingMateriality: High
Business and MD&A detail the HPS transaction adding $165 billion of client AUM and $118 billion of fee-paying AUM and the Preqin purchase to combine private markets data with Aladdin (Item 1 Business. Successful integration raises average fees and operating income; failure or slower conversion dilutes returns and pressures margins.
Watch: Integration friction: failure to retain key HPS/Preqin investment teams or clients leading to slower cross‑selling.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Business and MD&A detail the HPS transaction adding $165 billion of client AUM and $118 billion of fee-paying AUM and.
Open source ↗Aladdin and related technology/data services create switching costs and annuity‑like, higher‑margin subscription revenue that increases client stickiness and supports margin resilience.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Business text highlights Aladdin, Aladdin Wealth, eFront and Preqin as strategic technology and data offerings that the company is commercializing (Item 1 Business). If Aladdin subscriptions scale, BlackRock gains non‑AUM‑dependent earnings and better operating cash conversion; if clients build or buy alternatives, recurring margins will be lower and more cyclical.
Watch: Large clients building internal portfolio/risk systems or contracting to competing vendors (reducing renewals/new sales).
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Business text highlights Aladdin, Aladdin Wealth, eFront and Preqin as strategic technology and data offerings that the company is commercializing.
Open source ↗If BlackRock maintains disciplined capital allocation (buybacks/dividends) and avoids net dilution from Subco unit exchanges, EPS will compound faster than revenue growth and support the premium multiple.HoldingMateriality: Medium
EPS history shows variability (33.97 in 2022, 36.51 in 2023, 42.01 in 2024, 35.31 in 2025), indicating buybacks/capital allocation materially affect EPS (eps_diluted). Sustained buybacks amplify per‑share returns; dilution or suspended repurchases would reduce EPS growth and justify a lower valuation.
Watch: Conversion of Subco Units into common stock (exchangeable units) increasing share count and offsetting buybacks.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
EPS history shows variability (33.97 in 2022, 36.51 in 2023, 42.01 in 2024, 35.31 in 2025), indicating buybacks/capital allocation materially.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
BlackRock's AUM scale and diversified product/distribution mix convert market flows into reliably growing fee revenue and cash; growth in revenue will continue so long as core ETF/index flows and rising private markets allocations persist. If true, revenue and operating cash flow will compound and support buybacks/dividends and justify the premium multiple; if false, growth will not translate into shareholder returns and the multiple will compress.
The 2025 acquisitions (HPS, Preqin) will shift BlackRock's product mix toward private credit and private markets and higher‑value data/subscription offerings, increasing fee‑paying AUM and supporting higher long‑term operating income per dollar of AUM if integrations succeed. Successful integration raises average fees and operating income; failure or slower conversion dilutes returns and pressures margins.
Aladdin and related technology/data services create switching costs and annuity‑like, higher‑margin subscription revenue that increases client stickiness and supports margin resilience. If Aladdin subscriptions scale, BlackRock gains non‑AUM‑dependent earnings and better operating cash conversion; if clients build or buy alternatives, recurring margins will be lower and more cyclical.
If BlackRock maintains disciplined capital allocation (buybacks/dividends) and avoids net dilution from Subco unit exchanges, EPS will compound faster than revenue growth and support the premium multiple. Sustained buybacks amplify per‑share returns; dilution or suspended repurchases would reduce EPS growth and justify a lower valuation.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
BlackRock turns unrivaled scale in AUM, a dominant iShares ETF franchise and the Aladdin technology platform into recurring fee revenue and high cash returns by cross-selling higher‑margin private markets and subscription services (accelerated by.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for BlackRock
Where the evidence on BlackRock stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 12, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening and 3 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
BlackRock's AUM scale and diversified product/distribution mix convert market flows into reliably growing fee revenue and cash; growth in revenue will continue so long as core ETF/index flows and rising private markets allocations persist.
The 2025 acquisitions (HPS, Preqin) will shift BlackRock's product mix toward private credit and private markets and higher‑value data/subscription offerings, increasing fee‑paying AUM and supporting higher long‑term operating income per dollar of AUM if integrations succeed.
Aladdin and related technology/data services create switching costs and annuity‑like, higher‑margin subscription revenue that increases client stickiness and supports margin resilience.
If BlackRock maintains disciplined capital allocation (buybacks/dividends) and avoids net dilution from Subco unit exchanges, EPS will compound faster than revenue growth and support the premium multiple.
Bear case: what would count against it
Sustained fee compression or loss of ETF market share to lower‑cost competitors (e.g., Vanguard) that reduces net flows into iShares.
Integration friction: failure to retain key HPS/Preqin investment teams or clients leading to slower cross‑selling.
Large clients building internal portfolio/risk systems or contracting to competing vendors (reducing renewals/new sales).
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · BlackRock
No break has crossed BlackRock’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
BlackRock filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-14: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
BlackRock filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-15: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedOther material event.
BlackRock filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-30: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Sustained fee compression or loss of ETF market share to lower‑cost competitors (e.g., Vanguard) that reduces net flows into iShares.
- Integration friction: failure to retain key HPS/Preqin investment teams or clients leading to slower cross‑selling.
- Large clients building internal portfolio/risk systems or contracting to competing vendors (reducing renewals/new sales).
- Conversion of Subco Units into common stock (exchangeable units) increasing share count and offsetting buybacks.
BLK news
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Financial statements
BLK income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
BLK: quick answers
- When does BlackRock (BLK) report earnings next?
- BlackRock's next results are projected for January 13, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 14, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is BLK's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 2.1M BLK shares were sold short, 1.38% of its shares outstanding, down 0.5% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 2.9 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. BLK short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded BLK?
- Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 3 trades in BLK by 2 filers: 1 purchase and 2 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed BLK trade
- Which well-known investors own BLK?
- 3 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported BLK shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: ValueAct, 9.9%; Markel Group (Tom Gayner), 1.8%; Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios
BLK in well-known investors’ portfolios
3 of 37 funds reported BLK shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ValueAct | 9.9% | $559M | +6.5% | Q2 2026 |
| Tom GaynerMarkel Group | 1.8% | $233M | No change | Q3 2026 |
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.02% | $4.5M | New | Q2 2026 |
