Big Digital Energy
BGDENASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $3.20 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $3.06–$3.57 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 113.4K Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 5 projected Projected for 2027-02-05 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $1.70–$16.20 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own BGDE if Big Digital Energy is a distressed option on scarce PJM-powered digital-infrastructure capacity becoming profitable colocation and AI/HPC capacity before debt defaults, customer concentration, and dilution consume the equity.
BGDE price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
BGDE’s PJM-connected power footprint remains commercially valuable enough to attract enterprise colocation demand despite the company’s small scale and distress.HoldingMateriality: High
Item 1 says BGDE manages and operates digital infrastructure platforms and data centers with approximately 129 MW of current capacity in the PJM Energy Market. If the power-site footprint is real customer pull, revenue can stabilize; if tenants can find better or safer alternatives, the assets become stranded capacity.
Watch: The current colocation services customer terminates, defaults, or materially renegotiates its contract.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Item 1 says BGDE manages and operates digital infrastructure platforms and data centers with approximately 129 MW of current capacity.
Open source ↗Upfront fees, minimum fees, maintenance fees, and security deposits can partially protect BGDE from Bitcoin-cycle volatility and counterparty risk in colocation contracts.HoldingMateriality: High
Item 1 says minimum fees can generate revenue during challenging digital-infrastructure periods, including high energy prices, high network difficulty, and digital-asset price volatility. If contract protections hold, gross economics can remain resilient even when mining economics weaken; if customers force spot-like pricing, the business becomes much more cyclical.
Watch: The concentrated colocation customer refuses renewal unless minimum fees or deposits are removed.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Item 1 says minimum fees can generate revenue during challenging digital-infrastructure periods, including high energy prices, high network difficulty, and.
Open source ↗BGDE can broaden demand beyond digital-asset mining if its existing facilities and ready access to power meet AI and HPC customers’ compute-hosting requirements.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Item 1 identifies AI and HPC Colocation as one of BGDE’s four main businesses. Successful AI/HPC colocation would improve the quality and durability of demand; failure leaves BGDE tied mainly to more volatile digital-asset infrastructure economics.
Watch: No anchor AI/HPC customer is signed on commercial terms that demonstrate demand beyond digital-asset mining.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Item 1 identifies AI and HPC Colocation as one of BGDE’s four main businesses.
Open source ↗Resolving defaulted notes and funding needs is the gatekeeper to any operating turnaround; otherwise creditors, asset buyers, or new capital providers capture the value before common shareholders.WeakeningMateriality: Medium
MD&A says BGDE has several notes in default that can subject collateral to seizure and affect its ability to raise capital. The same assets could be valuable but still produce poor per-share outcomes if refinancing comes with collateral seizure, fire-sale disposals, bankruptcy, or heavy dilution.
Watch: Lenders seize collateral securing defaulted notes.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
MD&A says BGDE has several notes in default that can subject collateral to seizure and affect its ability to raise.
Open source ↗Management continuity and retention of a small technical workforce are necessary for BGDE to operate sites, negotiate power/customer contracts, and execute the strategic review without disruption.HoldingMateriality: Medium
MD&A says BGDE relies heavily on a small number of key people, including its Interim Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer. If the team stabilizes, the company has a chance to execute a recapitalization and contract turnaround; further departures would raise customer, lender, supplier, and employee risk.
Watch: Additional departures among senior management, finance, site operations, or power-procurement personnel occur during the strategic review.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
MD&A says BGDE relies heavily on a small number of key people, including its Interim Chief Executive Officer and Chief.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
BGDE’s PJM-connected power footprint remains commercially valuable enough to attract enterprise colocation demand despite the company’s small scale and distress. If the power-site footprint is real customer pull, revenue can stabilize; if tenants can find better or safer alternatives, the assets become stranded capacity.
Upfront fees, minimum fees, maintenance fees, and security deposits can partially protect BGDE from Bitcoin-cycle volatility and counterparty risk in colocation contracts. If contract protections hold, gross economics can remain resilient even when mining economics weaken; if customers force spot-like pricing, the business becomes much more cyclical.
BGDE can broaden demand beyond digital-asset mining if its existing facilities and ready access to power meet AI and HPC customers’ compute-hosting requirements. Successful AI/HPC colocation would improve the quality and durability of demand; failure leaves BGDE tied mainly to more volatile digital-asset infrastructure economics.
Resolving defaulted notes and funding needs is the gatekeeper to any operating turnaround; otherwise creditors, asset buyers, or new capital providers capture the value before common shareholders. The same assets could be valuable but still produce poor per-share outcomes if refinancing comes with collateral seizure, fire-sale disposals, bankruptcy, or heavy dilution.
Management continuity and retention of a small technical workforce are necessary for BGDE to operate sites, negotiate power/customer contracts, and execute the strategic review without disruption. If the team stabilizes, the company has a chance to execute a recapitalization and contract turnaround; further departures would raise customer, lender, supplier, and employee risk.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
Big Digital Energy is a distressed option on scarce PJM-powered digital-infrastructure capacity becoming profitable colocation and AI/HPC capacity before debt defaults, customer concentration, and dilution consume the equity.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Big Digital Energy
Where the evidence on Big Digital Energy disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 16, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 4 holding and 1 weakening.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
BGDE’s PJM-connected power footprint remains commercially valuable enough to attract enterprise colocation demand despite the company’s small scale and distress.
Upfront fees, minimum fees, maintenance fees, and security deposits can partially protect BGDE from Bitcoin-cycle volatility and counterparty risk in colocation contracts.
BGDE can broaden demand beyond digital-asset mining if its existing facilities and ready access to power meet AI and HPC customers’ compute-hosting requirements.
Management continuity and retention of a small technical workforce are necessary for BGDE to operate sites, negotiate power/customer contracts, and execute the strategic review without disruption.
Bear case: what the evidence questions
Resolving defaulted notes and funding needs is the gatekeeper to any operating turnaround; otherwise creditors, asset buyers, or new capital providers capture the value before common shareholders.
Thesis-Break Engine
What has broken in Big Digital Energy’s thesis
Each break OptimistFi flagged on Big Digital Energy, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Big Digital Energy.
- Operating-margin compression
Early warning
The break condition read on the trailing twelve months through Big Digital Energy’s latest quarterly report, ahead of the annual figure it is written on.
- Operating-margin compression, trailing 12 months
Across all companies, this kind of early warning has happened 2,641 times before. Those stocks trailed the market by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 36% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
Big Digital Energy filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-24: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedCompleted an acquisition or disposition of assets.
Big Digital Energy filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-20: Completed an acquisition or disposition of assets. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
Big Digital Energy filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-06: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- The current colocation services customer terminates, defaults, or materially renegotiates its contract.
- The concentrated colocation customer refuses renewal unless minimum fees or deposits are removed.
- No anchor AI/HPC customer is signed on commercial terms that demonstrate demand beyond digital-asset mining.
- Lenders seize collateral securing defaulted notes.
- Additional departures among senior management, finance, site operations, or power-procurement personnel occur during the strategic review.
BGDE news
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Financial statements
BGDE income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
BGDE: quick answers
- When does Big Digital Energy (BGDE) report earnings next?
- Big Digital Energy's next results are projected for February 5, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 6, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is BGDE's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 132,495 BGDE shares were sold short, down 6.9% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 1.9 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. BGDE short interest history
