Nuo Therapeutics

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THESIS ALERT

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$1.07
−$0.00 (−0.00%)Today 1M −17.69%

Updated Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$1.07
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$1.09–$1.09
Regular-session low and high so far today.
300
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 10, 4:00 PM ET.
Nov 23 projected
Projected for 2026-11-23 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
$0.77–$2.36
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own AURX if CMS coverage and Smith+Nephew distribution turn a niche autologous PRP wound-care device into a scalable product, the equity can work, but the current price leaves little room for slow uptake or more dilution.

AURX price history

Latest price$1.07Today−$0.00 (-0.00%)
AURX -16.79%S&P 500 -1.37%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

5 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Economically viable CMS reimbursement remains the gating mechanism that lets providers treat Aurix as a practical chronic-wound therapy rather than an unfunded clinical curiosity.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    MD&A states CMS only established economically viable reimbursement for Aurix upon the April 2021 NCD for autologous blood-based products. If reimbursement stays intact, Nuo can keep converting physician awareness into procedure revenue; if reimbursement is narrowed or administratively blocked, adoption can stall even if the product is clinically useful.

    Watch: CMS rescinds, narrows, or materially cuts reimbursement for autologous PRP products used in chronic wound care.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    MD&A states CMS only established economically viable reimbursement for Aurix upon the April 2021 NCD for autologous blood-based products.

    Open source ↗
  • Smith+Nephew’s U.S. private-label distribution relationship can solve Nuo’s limited commercial reach without eliminating Nuo’s ability to sell its own Aurix-branded product.HoldingMateriality: High

    MD&A states Nuo entered a March 31, 2025 Distribution Agreement making Smith+Nephew the sole and exclusive U.S. distributor of a private-label Aurix product while Nuo retains the ability to sell Aurix-branded product. If Smith+Nephew activates its channel, Nuo gains sales leverage it could not build alone; if Smith+Nephew deprioritizes the product, Nuo remains a tiny under-resourced commercial organization.

    Watch: Smith+Nephew fails to place meaningful private-label purchase orders after the October 2025 initial term begins.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    MD&A states Nuo entered a March 31, 2025 Distribution Agreement making Smith+Nephew the sole and exclusive U.S. distributor of a.

    Open source ↗
  • Aurix’s autologous point-of-care PRP approach remains differentiated enough in chronic wounds to support attractive product economics even as Nuo expands through a private-label channel.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium

    Item 1 states Aurix is one of three platelet-derived products cleared by the FDA for chronic wound care use and can be used for most exuding wounds. High gross profit is needed to fund provider education, regulatory compliance, and public-company costs; if differentiation erodes, revenue growth could be bought with poor economics.

    Watch: Competing advanced wound-care biologics or devices publish stronger comparative outcomes that cause clinicians to bypass autologous PRP.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Item 1 states Aurix is one of three platelet-derived products cleared by the FDA for chronic wound care use and.

    Open source ↗
  • Nuo must turn higher Aurix volume into operating leverage because its current fixed operating and commercialization costs still overwhelm gross profit.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Annual GAAP operating loss improved from $3,320,594 in FY2022 to $2,516,649 in FY2025 while revenue and gross profit expanded. If scale converts gross profit into narrower losses and eventual profit, the business model is viable; if each dollar of revenue requires disproportionate support spending, shareholders fund growth without value creation.

    Watch: Provider education costs rise because physicians require extensive clinical support before adopting Aurix.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Annual GAAP operating loss improved from $3,320,594 in FY2022 to $2,516,649 in FY2025 while revenue and gross profit expanded.

    Open source ↗
  • Nuo can only capture the Aurix opportunity for common shareholders if partner revenue and lender support bridge the company to scale without a distressed or highly dilutive financing.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    Cash increased from $283,714 at FY2024 year-end to $548,946 at FY2025 year-end, but remained small relative to losses. A good product launch can still be a poor equity outcome if negative cash flow and weak capitalization force dilution or creditor control before commercialization proves out.

    Watch: Nuo cannot access the September 30, 2026 second funding or must accept worse financing terms.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash increased from $283,714 at FY2024 year-end to $548,946 at FY2025 year-end, but remained small relative to losses.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Economically viable CMS reimbursement remains the gating mechanism that lets providers treat Aurix as a practical chronic-wound therapy rather than an unfunded clinical curiosity. If reimbursement stays intact, Nuo can keep converting physician awareness into procedure revenue; if reimbursement is narrowed or administratively blocked, adoption can stall even if the product is clinically useful.

Smith+Nephew’s U.S. private-label distribution relationship can solve Nuo’s limited commercial reach without eliminating Nuo’s ability to sell its own Aurix-branded product. If Smith+Nephew activates its channel, Nuo gains sales leverage it could not build alone; if Smith+Nephew deprioritizes the product, Nuo remains a tiny under-resourced commercial organization.

Aurix’s autologous point-of-care PRP approach remains differentiated enough in chronic wounds to support attractive product economics even as Nuo expands through a private-label channel. High gross profit is needed to fund provider education, regulatory compliance, and public-company costs; if differentiation erodes, revenue growth could be bought with poor economics.

Nuo must turn higher Aurix volume into operating leverage because its current fixed operating and commercialization costs still overwhelm gross profit. If scale converts gross profit into narrower losses and eventual profit, the business model is viable; if each dollar of revenue requires disproportionate support spending, shareholders fund growth without value creation.

Nuo can only capture the Aurix opportunity for common shareholders if partner revenue and lender support bridge the company to scale without a distressed or highly dilutive financing. A good product launch can still be a poor equity outcome if negative cash flow and weak capitalization force dilution or creditor control before commercialization proves out.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

CMS coverage and Smith+Nephew distribution turn a niche autologous PRP wound-care device into a scalable product, the equity can work, but the current price leaves little room for slow uptake or more dilution.

Evidence assessed Oct 15, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Nuo Therapeutics

Where the evidence on Nuo Therapeutics disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening, 2 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Economically viable CMS reimbursement remains the gating mechanism that lets providers treat Aurix as a practical chronic-wound therapy rather than an unfunded clinical curiosity.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Smith+Nephew’s U.S. private-label distribution relationship can solve Nuo’s limited commercial reach without eliminating Nuo’s ability to sell its own Aurix-branded product.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Aurix’s autologous point-of-care PRP approach remains differentiated enough in chronic wounds to support attractive product economics even as Nuo expands through a private-label channel.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Nuo must turn higher Aurix volume into operating leverage because its current fixed operating and commercialization costs still overwhelm gross profit.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • Nuo can only capture the Aurix opportunity for common shareholders if partner revenue and lender support bridge the company to scale without a distressed or highly dilutive financing.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Nuo Therapeutics

12 mo agonow
Trailing daily price. No thesis break has crossed here, so there is no break base rate to project.

No break has crossed Nuo Therapeutics’s thesis. Its break conditions are checked against every new filing as it lands.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Nuo Therapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-06: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Nuo Therapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-17: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Entered a material definitive agreement.

    Nuo Therapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-03: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • CMS rescinds, narrows, or materially cuts reimbursement for autologous PRP products used in chronic wound care.
  • Smith+Nephew fails to place meaningful private-label purchase orders after the October 2025 initial term begins.
  • Competing advanced wound-care biologics or devices publish stronger comparative outcomes that cause clinicians to bypass autologous PRP.
  • Provider education costs rise because physicians require extensive clinical support before adopting Aurix.
  • Nuo cannot access the September 30, 2026 second funding or must accept worse financing terms.

AURX news

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Financial statements

AURX income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

AURX: quick answers

When does Nuo Therapeutics (AURX) report earnings next?
Nuo Therapeutics's next results are projected for November 23, 2026, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on August 17, 2026. Earnings calendar
What is AURX's short interest?
As of October 30, 2026, 4,326 AURX shares were sold short, up 4872.4% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 1.0 day to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. AURX short interest history
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