Arcutis Biotherapeutics
ARQTNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $27.39 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $27.20–$28.65 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 2.5M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 24 projected Projected for 2027-02-24 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $19.30–$34.80 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own ARQT if Arcutis is a high-upside but execution-sensitive bet that ZORYVE becomes a durable, multi-indication dermatology franchise rather than a short-lived launch curve.
ARQT price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
Dermatologists and pediatric prescribers continue choosing ZORYVE because its once-daily, steroid-free profile and broad labels address chronic-use limitations of older topical therapies.StrengtheningMateriality: High
Annual GAAP revenue rose from $196.5 million in FY2024 to $376.1 million in FY2025. If this holds, ZORYVE can remain a fast-growing franchise; if it breaks, Arcutis is a single-platform company with a much smaller revenue ceiling.
Watch: Large PBMs impose step edits or exclusions that force patients through generic topical steroids before ZORYVE.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Annual GAAP revenue rose from $196.5 million in FY2024 to $376.1 million in FY2025.
Open source ↗Arcutis can add indications, ages, and formulations to the same roflumilast platform without rebuilding its cost base, so incremental ZORYVE revenue should increasingly fall through to operating income.HoldingMateriality: High
Annual GAAP operating loss improved from $128.4 million in FY2024 to $12.2 million in FY2025 while multiple ZORYVE launches and approvals continued. This determines whether Arcutis becomes a profitable specialty pharma company or remains a promotion-heavy biotech.
Watch: The January 2026 termination of the Kowa agreement leaves primary care and pediatric promotion undercovered or forces Arcutis to rebuild that reach internally.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Annual GAAP operating loss improved from $128.4 million in FY2024 to $12.2 million in FY2025 while multiple ZORYVE launches and.
Open source ↗ZORYVE's differentiation versus older topical options supports enough net pricing power to keep gross margins high even as access broadens.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Derived annual gross profit was $339.4 million on $376.1 million of FY2025 revenue, implying about a 90% gross margin. High gross margin is what allows revenue growth to translate into cash rather than being consumed by rebates and manufacturing costs.
Watch: PBMs or insurers demand materially higher rebates to maintain access as utilization grows.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Derived annual gross profit was $339.4 million on $376.1 million of FY2025 revenue, implying about a 90% gross margin.
Open source ↗Commercial scale is close enough to cash breakeven that Arcutis can fund ongoing launches and pipeline work without severe financing pressure, provided ZORYVE momentum persists.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Annual GAAP operating cash flow improved from negative $247.1 million in FY2023 to negative $112.2 million in FY2024 and negative $5.6 million in FY2025. If true, future upside accrues to current shareholders; if false, dilution or debt could absorb much of the business progress.
Watch: After Kowa's termination, Arcutis has to materially increase its own sales force or patient support spending to maintain pediatric and primary-care reach.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Annual GAAP operating cash flow improved from negative $247.1 million in FY2023 to negative $112.2 million in FY2024 and negative.
Open source ↗Canada launches and Huadong/Sato licenses can extend ZORYVE's economics outside the United States without Arcutis bearing the full cost of direct commercialization.HoldingMateriality: Medium
Item 1 describes the first commercial launch outside the United States after Health Canada approval of ZORYVE cream 0.3% in June 2023. International contribution can add upside and diversify the franchise, but only if partners secure approvals, access, and commercial focus.
Watch: Huadong or Sato deprioritizes topical roflumilast relative to larger internal dermatology products.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Item 1 describes the first commercial launch outside the United States after Health Canada approval of ZORYVE cream 0.3% in.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
Dermatologists and pediatric prescribers continue choosing ZORYVE because its once-daily, steroid-free profile and broad labels address chronic-use limitations of older topical therapies. If this holds, ZORYVE can remain a fast-growing franchise; if it breaks, Arcutis is a single-platform company with a much smaller revenue ceiling.
Arcutis can add indications, ages, and formulations to the same roflumilast platform without rebuilding its cost base, so incremental ZORYVE revenue should increasingly fall through to operating income. This determines whether Arcutis becomes a profitable specialty pharma company or remains a promotion-heavy biotech.
ZORYVE's differentiation versus older topical options supports enough net pricing power to keep gross margins high even as access broadens. High gross margin is what allows revenue growth to translate into cash rather than being consumed by rebates and manufacturing costs.
Commercial scale is close enough to cash breakeven that Arcutis can fund ongoing launches and pipeline work without severe financing pressure, provided ZORYVE momentum persists. If true, future upside accrues to current shareholders; if false, dilution or debt could absorb much of the business progress.
Canada launches and Huadong/Sato licenses can extend ZORYVE's economics outside the United States without Arcutis bearing the full cost of direct commercialization. International contribution can add upside and diversify the franchise, but only if partners secure approvals, access, and commercial focus.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
Arcutis is a high-upside but execution-sensitive bet that ZORYVE becomes a durable, multi-indication dermatology franchise rather than a short-lived launch curve.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Arcutis Biotherapeutics
Where the evidence on Arcutis Biotherapeutics stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 3 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
Dermatologists and pediatric prescribers continue choosing ZORYVE because its once-daily, steroid-free profile and broad labels address chronic-use limitations of older topical therapies.
Arcutis can add indications, ages, and formulations to the same roflumilast platform without rebuilding its cost base, so incremental ZORYVE revenue should increasingly fall through to operating income.
ZORYVE's differentiation versus older topical options supports enough net pricing power to keep gross margins high even as access broadens.
Commercial scale is close enough to cash breakeven that Arcutis can fund ongoing launches and pipeline work without severe financing pressure, provided ZORYVE momentum persists.
Canada launches and Huadong/Sato licenses can extend ZORYVE's economics outside the United States without Arcutis bearing the full cost of direct commercialization.
Bear case: what would count against it
Large PBMs impose step edits or exclusions that force patients through generic topical steroids before ZORYVE.
The January 2026 termination of the Kowa agreement leaves primary care and pediatric promotion undercovered or forces Arcutis to rebuild that reach internally.
PBMs or insurers demand materially higher rebates to maintain access as utilization grows.
Thesis-Break Engine
Thesis-break watch · Arcutis Biotherapeutics
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MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Arcutis Biotherapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-08-05: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Arcutis Biotherapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-16: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedOther material event.
Arcutis Biotherapeutics filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-09: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Large PBMs impose step edits or exclusions that force patients through generic topical steroids before ZORYVE.
- The January 2026 termination of the Kowa agreement leaves primary care and pediatric promotion undercovered or forces Arcutis to rebuild that reach internally.
- PBMs or insurers demand materially higher rebates to maintain access as utilization grows.
- After Kowa's termination, Arcutis has to materially increase its own sales force or patient support spending to maintain pediatric and primary-care reach.
- Huadong or Sato deprioritizes topical roflumilast relative to larger internal dermatology products.
ARQT news
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Financial statements
ARQT income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
ARQT: quick answers
- When does Arcutis Biotherapeutics (ARQT) report earnings next?
- Arcutis Biotherapeutics's next results are projected for February 24, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 4, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is ARQT's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 18.2M ARQT shares were sold short, 14.4% of its shares outstanding, down 11.4% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 7.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. ARQT short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded ARQT?
- 6 trades in ARQT have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed ARQT trade
