América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.

AMXNYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

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$25.80
+$0.04 (+0.16%)Today 1M +20.83%
After hours$26.25+1.74%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$25.76
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$25.67–$26.14
Regular-session low and high so far today.
1.2M
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$19.71–$28.46
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own AMX if America Móvil’s scale across Latin American telecom markets generates predictable operating cash flow and market power, but the stock’s upside depends on whether regulatory, currency and one-time accounting hits to earnings prove temporary rather.

AMX price history

Latest price$25.80Today+$0.04 (+0.16%)
AMX +19.50%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

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Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • AMX’s scale converts into resilient operating cash flow because network fixed costs and broad subscriber bases create operating leverage; therefore operating_cash_flow should remain a steady, core cash engine even if net income swings.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Operating cash flow is relatively stable across cycles: 2021 12543000000.0, 2022 11605000000.0, 2023 14686000000.0, 2024 11808000000.0 (operating_cash_flow). If OCF stays resilient, AMX can fund capex and dividends and preserve shareholder value despite earnings volatility; if OCF falls persistently, the company’s ability to sustain returns and payouts is jeopardized.

    Watch: Regulatory-imposed price reductions or structural remedies in dominant markets (e.g., forced wholesale pricing) that reduce ARPU and thus operating margins.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Operating cash flow is relatively stable across cycles: 2021 12543000000.0, 2022 11605000000.0, 2023 14686000000.0, 2024 11808000000.0 (operating_cash_flow).

    Open source ↗
  • Reported net income is dominated by FX, taxes and non-operating items, so net_income is a noisy indicator of underlying business health and can swing independent of operations.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    Net income fell from 4782000000.0 in 2023 to 1362000000.0 in 2024 while operating_cash_flow remained ~11.8B (net_income, operating_cash_flow). Investors relying on GAAP/IFRS net income may misread business momentum; stable operations can coexist with depressed net income — conversely, a sustained fall in operating metrics would signal deeper trouble.

    Watch: If operating_income begins to decline materially (not just net income volatility), that would indicate structural operational weakness rather than noise.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Net income fell from 4782000000.0 in 2023 to 1362000000.0 in 2024 while operating_cash_flow remained ~11.8B (net_income, operating_cash_flow).

    Open source ↗
  • Revenue is sensitive to ARPU, regulatory action and FX in core Latin American markets; thus revenue must stabilize or recover for margins and cash returns to improve.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Reported revenue fell from 48303000000.0 in 2023 to 42886000000.0 in 2024, showing top-line sensitivity (revenue). Sustained revenue declines compress operating leverage and force either higher investment or lower returns; conversely, revenue recovery leverages fixed costs and restores margins.

    Watch: Permanent ARPU erosion from OTT substitution or aggressive unlimited-data pricing, or macro recessions in major markets reducing usage.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Reported revenue fell from 48303000000.0 in 2023 to 42886000000.0 in 2024, showing top-line sensitivity (revenue).

    Open source ↗
  • High absolute liabilities relative to equity and limited cash on hand mean AMX’s ability to pursue M&A, large spectrum purchases or maintain generous payouts depends on continuing operating_cash_flow and manageable refinancing terms.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Liabilities are large in absolute terms: 67186000000.0 (2024 liabilities) with cash 1808000000.0 and equity 21323000000.0 (liabilities, cash, equity). If liabilities rise or refinancing costs spike, management will face a trade-off between capex, dividends and deleveraging; sustained high leverage would compress returns to shareholders.

    Watch: Large upcoming debt maturities at higher rates or expensive spectrum auctions that force incremental borrowing.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Liabilities are large in absolute terms: 67186000000.0 (2024 liabilities) with cash 1808000000.0 and equity 21323000000.0 (liabilities, cash, equity).

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

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Original research

AMX’s scale converts into resilient operating cash flow because network fixed costs and broad subscriber bases create operating leverage; therefore operating_cash_flow should remain a steady, core cash engine even if net income swings. If OCF stays resilient, AMX can fund capex and dividends and preserve shareholder value despite earnings volatility; if OCF falls persistently, the company’s ability to sustain returns and payouts is jeopardized.

Reported net income is dominated by FX, taxes and non-operating items, so net_income is a noisy indicator of underlying business health and can swing independent of operations. Investors relying on GAAP/IFRS net income may misread business momentum; stable operations can coexist with depressed net income — conversely, a sustained fall in operating metrics would signal deeper trouble.

Revenue is sensitive to ARPU, regulatory action and FX in core Latin American markets; thus revenue must stabilize or recover for margins and cash returns to improve. Sustained revenue declines compress operating leverage and force either higher investment or lower returns; conversely, revenue recovery leverages fixed costs and restores margins.

High absolute liabilities relative to equity and limited cash on hand mean AMX’s ability to pursue M&A, large spectrum purchases or maintain generous payouts depends on continuing operating_cash_flow and manageable refinancing terms. If liabilities rise or refinancing costs spike, management will face a trade-off between capex, dividends and deleveraging; sustained high leverage would compress returns to shareholders.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

America Móvil’s scale across Latin American telecom markets generates predictable operating cash flow and market power, but the stock’s upside depends on whether regulatory, currency and one-time accounting hits to earnings prove temporary rather.

Evidence assessed Oct 15, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for America Movil Sab De Cv

Where the evidence on America Movil Sab De Cv stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Oct 15, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • AMX’s scale converts into resilient operating cash flow because network fixed costs and broad subscriber bases create operating leverage; therefore operating_cash_flow should remain a steady, core cash engine even if net income swings.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Reported net income is dominated by FX, taxes and non-operating items, so net_income is a noisy indicator of underlying business health and can swing independent of operations.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Revenue is sensitive to ARPU, regulatory action and FX in core Latin American markets; thus revenue must stabilize or recover for margins and cash returns to improve.

    sec.gov ↗

  • High absolute liabilities relative to equity and limited cash on hand mean AMX’s ability to pursue M&A, large spectrum purchases or maintain generous payouts depends on continuing operating_cash_flow and manageable refinancing terms.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what would count against it

  • Regulatory-imposed price reductions or structural remedies in dominant markets (e.g., forced wholesale pricing) that reduce ARPU and thus operating margins.

    sec.gov ↗

  • If operating_income begins to decline materially (not just net income volatility), that would indicate structural operational weakness rather than noise.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Permanent ARPU erosion from OTT substitution or aggressive unlimited-data pricing, or macro recessions in major markets reducing usage.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · America Movil Sab De Cv

Loading the break-condition record for America Movil Sab De Cv.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    America Movil Sab De Cv filed an SEC report on 2026-10-02: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    America Movil Sab De Cv filed an SEC report on 2026-07-23: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Foreign issuer material report (6-K).

    America Movil Sab De Cv filed an SEC report on 2026-07-21: Foreign issuer material report (6-K). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Regulatory-imposed price reductions or structural remedies in dominant markets (e.g., forced wholesale pricing) that reduce ARPU and thus operating margins.
  • If operating_income begins to decline materially (not just net income volatility), that would indicate structural operational weakness rather than noise.
  • Permanent ARPU erosion from OTT substitution or aggressive unlimited-data pricing, or macro recessions in major markets reducing usage.
  • Large upcoming debt maturities at higher rates or expensive spectrum auctions that force incremental borrowing.

AMX news

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Financial statements

AMX income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

AMX: quick answers

Have members of Congress traded AMX?
5 trades in AMX have been disclosed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President or senior officials, none in reports made public in the last 90 days. Every disclosed AMX trade
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