AGNT
AGNTNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $2.90 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $2.76–$3.01 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 2.2M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 23 projected Projected for 2027-02-23 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $2.76–$12.23 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own AGNT if AGNT is a bet that the former eXp agent network can keep attracting productive real estate agents while restoring brokerage economics and operating leverage.
AGNT price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
AGNT’s agent-centric model continues to turn its large agent network into transaction volume because agents value the platform, affiliation and economics enough to stay productive within it.StrengtheningMateriality: High
GAAP annual revenue increased to $4.772 billion in FY2025 from $4.568 billion in FY2024. If this holds, AGNT can grow without needing a branch-heavy footprint; if it breaks, revenue growth and scale advantages disappear before margins can recover.
Watch: Compass, Anywhere, Keller Williams, RE/MAX or large local brokerages recruit away AGNT’s most productive teams with better splits, local support or technology.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual revenue increased to $4.772 billion in FY2025 from $4.568 billion in FY2024.
Open source ↗AGNT can preserve enough brokerage economics from each transaction only if recruiting and retention do not require giving too much value back to agents through splits, caps or revenue-share incentives.WeakeningMateriality: High
GAAP annual gross profit was $333.6 million in FY2025 on $4.772 billion of revenue, showing the business still retains a meaningful spread from brokerage activity. Revenue is mostly pass-through commission volume; owners only benefit if AGNT keeps enough gross profit per dollar of revenue.
Watch: Rival brokerages force AGNT to offer higher splits, lower caps or richer revenue-share terms to retain productive agents.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual gross profit was $333.6 million in FY2025 on $4.772 billion of revenue, showing the business still retains a.
Open source ↗The cloud-oriented brokerage model must show operating leverage: technology, support and compliance costs should not rise as fast as agent-driven transaction volume.WeakeningMateriality: Medium
AGNT generated positive GAAP operating income of $0.5 million in FY2023 and $16.4 million in FY2022, showing the model has previously been capable of operating profitability. This is the bridge from an attractive agent network to per-share value; without operating leverage, AGNT can be large and still unprofitable.
Watch: State brokerage supervision, compliance, litigation or agent-support requirements scale with agent count and erase the fixed-cost advantage.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
AGNT generated positive GAAP operating income of $0.5 million in FY2023 and $16.4 million in FY2022, showing the model has.
Open source ↗AGNT’s brokerage model can remain cash-generative through working-capital timing and low capital intensity even when GAAP earnings are weak.HoldingMateriality: Medium
GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive at $118.6 million in FY2025 despite a GAAP net loss of $22.7 million. Sustained operating cash flow gives AGNT time to repair margins without dilutive financing; if it fails, losses become a balance-sheet problem.
Watch: Agents demand faster commission payouts or more cash-heavy incentives, reducing AGNT’s working-capital benefit.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive at $118.6 million in FY2025 despite a GAAP net loss of $22.7 million.
Open source ↗AGNT has enough liquidity to fund platform investment and absorb cyclical brokerage weakness, provided management does not convert temporary losses into permanent cash burn through acquisitions, settlements or aggressive buybacks.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
Cash and cash equivalents were $124.2 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $113.6 million at FY2024 year-end. Liquidity determines whether the company can wait for agent productivity and margins to recover without issuing dilutive capital.
Watch: Sustained GAAP operating losses become cash losses rather than non-cash or working-capital-timing losses.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
Cash and cash equivalents were $124.2 million at FY2025 year-end, up from $113.6 million at FY2024 year-end.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
AGNT’s agent-centric model continues to turn its large agent network into transaction volume because agents value the platform, affiliation and economics enough to stay productive within it. If this holds, AGNT can grow without needing a branch-heavy footprint; if it breaks, revenue growth and scale advantages disappear before margins can recover.
AGNT can preserve enough brokerage economics from each transaction only if recruiting and retention do not require giving too much value back to agents through splits, caps or revenue-share incentives. Revenue is mostly pass-through commission volume; owners only benefit if AGNT keeps enough gross profit per dollar of revenue.
The cloud-oriented brokerage model must show operating leverage: technology, support and compliance costs should not rise as fast as agent-driven transaction volume. This is the bridge from an attractive agent network to per-share value; without operating leverage, AGNT can be large and still unprofitable.
AGNT’s brokerage model can remain cash-generative through working-capital timing and low capital intensity even when GAAP earnings are weak. Sustained operating cash flow gives AGNT time to repair margins without dilutive financing; if it fails, losses become a balance-sheet problem.
AGNT has enough liquidity to fund platform investment and absorb cyclical brokerage weakness, provided management does not convert temporary losses into permanent cash burn through acquisitions, settlements or aggressive buybacks. Liquidity determines whether the company can wait for agent productivity and margins to recover without issuing dilutive capital.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
AGNT is a bet that the former eXp agent network can keep attracting productive real estate agents while restoring brokerage economics and operating leverage.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for AGNT
Where the evidence on AGNT disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 14, 2026). Of its 5 thesis points, 2 strengthening, 1 holding and 2 weakening.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
AGNT’s agent-centric model continues to turn its large agent network into transaction volume because agents value the platform, affiliation and economics enough to stay productive within it.
AGNT’s brokerage model can remain cash-generative through working-capital timing and low capital intensity even when GAAP earnings are weak.
AGNT has enough liquidity to fund platform investment and absorb cyclical brokerage weakness, provided management does not convert temporary losses into permanent cash burn through acquisitions, settlements or aggressive buybacks.
Bear case: what the evidence questions
AGNT can preserve enough brokerage economics from each transaction only if recruiting and retention do not require giving too much value back to agents through splits, caps or revenue-share incentives.
The cloud-oriented brokerage model must show operating leverage: technology, support and compliance costs should not rise as fast as agent-driven transaction volume.
Thesis-Break Engine
What has broken in AGNT’s thesis
Each break OptimistFi flagged on AGNT, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for AGNT.
- CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
AGNT filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-08: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedOther material event.
AGNT filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-15: Other material event. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedEntered a material definitive agreement.
AGNT filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-08: Entered a material definitive agreement. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- Compass, Anywhere, Keller Williams, RE/MAX or large local brokerages recruit away AGNT’s most productive teams with better splits, local support or technology.
- Rival brokerages force AGNT to offer higher splits, lower caps or richer revenue-share terms to retain productive agents.
- State brokerage supervision, compliance, litigation or agent-support requirements scale with agent count and erase the fixed-cost advantage.
- Agents demand faster commission payouts or more cash-heavy incentives, reducing AGNT’s working-capital benefit.
- Sustained GAAP operating losses become cash losses rather than non-cash or working-capital-timing losses.
AGNT news
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Financial statements
AGNT income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
AGNT: quick answers
- When does AGNT (AGNT) report earnings next?
- AGNT's next results are projected for February 23, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on November 5, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is AGNT's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 15.4M AGNT shares were sold short, 9.34% of its shares outstanding, down 2.8% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 12 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. AGNT short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded AGNT?
- Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 2 trades in AGNT by 1 filer: 1 purchase and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed AGNT trade
