American Electric Power Company
AEPNASDAQUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $127.84 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $127.37–$129.39 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 3.4M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Feb 11 projected Projected for 2027-02-11 from the company’s own results filings (SEC 8-K Item 2.02). The company has not confirmed the date.
- $112.54–$140.58 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own AEP if American Electric Power is a regulated, vertically integrated utility whose value is produced by continued rate‑base expansions (transmission and T&D) that are placed into rates through state and FERC mechanisms, producing predictable cash flow.
AEP price history
Loading recent earnings…
Investment thesis
What must happen next
AEP's increasing rate base (capitalized assets) will continue to drive revenue and operating income growth because state regulators and FERC mechanisms commonly permit recovery of prudent investment through rates, riders or formula mechanisms.StrengtheningMateriality: High
assets increased from 103,078,000,000 (2024) to 114,460,000,000 (2025). If the company keeps getting investments added to rate base and recovered in rates, revenue, operating income and regulated cash flow will grow predictably; if regulators deny recovery or slow approvals, growth and returns stall.
Watch: state utility commissions or legislatures denying CWIP, riders or disallowing portions of major plant additions.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
assets increased from 103,078,000,000 (2024) to 114,460,000,000 (2025).
Open source ↗Participation in PJM and SPP and contractual arrangements (TA/TCA) insulates AEP's transmission business and stabilizes margins because revenues and cost allocations are governed by FERC‑approved tariffs and intercompany agreements.StrengtheningMateriality: High
operating_income rose from 3,556,000,000 (2023) to 5,319,000,000 (2025), indicating improving profitability. Stable, tariffed transmission revenue reduces earnings volatility and supports operating margins even as generation or fuel costs fluctuate.
Watch: FERC reforms to transmission cost allocation or compensation that reduce revenue available to AEP's transmission owners.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
operating_income rose from 3,556,000,000 (2023) to 5,319,000,000 (2025), indicating improving profitability.
Open source ↗AEP's operating cash flow will remain sufficient to fund a large portion of capital spending and dividends only if OCF keeps pace with capex and rate recovery; otherwise the company will need more debt, raising leverage and pressure on credit.HoldingMateriality: Medium
operating_cash_flow rose from 5,012,000,000 (2023) to 6,804,000,000 (2024) and 6,944,000,000 (2025), showing stronger cash generation. Sustained operating_cash_flow that covers capex preserves balance‑sheet flexibility, limits interest costs and supports the dividend; a shortfall forces more borrowing, higher liabilities and risk to margins and dividend sustainability.
Watch: sustained higher capital spending without commensurate rate recovery leading to rising liabilities and narrower interest coverage.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
operating_cash_flow rose from 5,012,000,000 (2023) to 6,804,000,000 (2024) and 6,944,000,000 (2025), showing stronger cash generation.
Open source ↗If state commissions or FERC reduce allowed returns, disallow CWIP/riders, or limit recovery of prudently incurred costs, AEP's ability to convert capex into regulated earnings will be materially impaired.HoldingMateriality: Medium
business_text explains revenue and rates are set on a cost‑of‑service basis and identifies management's active pursuit of riders/CWIP/formula rates. A regulatory clamp on recovery or ROE directly reduces revenue growth and margins because the core business earns via allowed returns on rate base.
Watch: systemic adverse rulings in major states denying riders or reducing allowed ROEs.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
business_text explains revenue and rates are set on a cost‑of‑service basis and identifies management's active pursuit of riders/CWIP/formula rates.
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
Loading the original research archive…
Original research
AEP's increasing rate base (capitalized assets) will continue to drive revenue and operating income growth because state regulators and FERC mechanisms commonly permit recovery of prudent investment through rates, riders or formula mechanisms. If the company keeps getting investments added to rate base and recovered in rates, revenue, operating income and regulated cash flow will grow predictably; if regulators deny recovery or slow approvals, growth and returns stall.
Participation in PJM and SPP and contractual arrangements (TA/TCA) insulates AEP's transmission business and stabilizes margins because revenues and cost allocations are governed by FERC‑approved tariffs and intercompany agreements. Stable, tariffed transmission revenue reduces earnings volatility and supports operating margins even as generation or fuel costs fluctuate.
AEP's operating cash flow will remain sufficient to fund a large portion of capital spending and dividends only if OCF keeps pace with capex and rate recovery; otherwise the company will need more debt, raising leverage and pressure on credit. Sustained operating_cash_flow that covers capex preserves balance‑sheet flexibility, limits interest costs and supports the dividend; a shortfall forces more borrowing, higher liabilities and risk to margins and dividend sustainability.
If state commissions or FERC reduce allowed returns, disallow CWIP/riders, or limit recovery of prudently incurred costs, AEP's ability to convert capex into regulated earnings will be materially impaired. A regulatory clamp on recovery or ROE directly reduces revenue growth and margins because the core business earns via allowed returns on rate base.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
American Electric Power is a regulated, vertically integrated utility whose value is produced by continued rate‑base expansions (transmission and T&D) that are placed into rates through state and FERC mechanisms, producing predictable cash flow.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for American Electric Power Co
Where the evidence on American Electric Power Co stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 9, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 2 strengthening and 2 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
AEP's increasing rate base (capitalized assets) will continue to drive revenue and operating income growth because state regulators and FERC mechanisms commonly permit recovery of prudent investment through rates, riders or formula mechanisms.
Participation in PJM and SPP and contractual arrangements (TA/TCA) insulates AEP's transmission business and stabilizes margins because revenues and cost allocations are governed by FERC‑approved tariffs and intercompany agreements.
AEP's operating cash flow will remain sufficient to fund a large portion of capital spending and dividends only if OCF keeps pace with capex and rate recovery; otherwise the company will need more debt, raising leverage and pressure on credit.
If state commissions or FERC reduce allowed returns, disallow CWIP/riders, or limit recovery of prudently incurred costs, AEP's ability to convert capex into regulated earnings will be materially impaired.
Bear case: what would count against it
state utility commissions or legislatures denying CWIP, riders or disallowing portions of major plant additions.
FERC reforms to transmission cost allocation or compensation that reduce revenue available to AEP's transmission owners.
sustained higher capital spending without commensurate rate recovery leading to rising liabilities and narrower interest coverage.
Thesis-Break Engine
What has broken in American Electric Power Co’s thesis
Each break OptimistFi flagged on American Electric Power Co, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for American Electric Power Co.
- CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
American Electric Power Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-28: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
American Electric Power Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-30: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
American Electric Power Co filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-30: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- state utility commissions or legislatures denying CWIP, riders or disallowing portions of major plant additions.
- FERC reforms to transmission cost allocation or compensation that reduce revenue available to AEP's transmission owners.
- sustained higher capital spending without commensurate rate recovery leading to rising liabilities and narrower interest coverage.
- systemic adverse rulings in major states denying riders or reducing allowed ROEs.
AEP news
Loading headlines…
Financial statements
AEP income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
AEP: quick answers
- When does American Electric Power Co (AEP) report earnings next?
- American Electric Power Co's next results are projected for February 11, 2027, from the dates of its own results filings with the SEC. The company has not confirmed the date. It last reported on October 28, 2026. Earnings calendar
- What is AEP's short interest?
- As of October 30, 2026, 27.4M AEP shares were sold short, up 1.0% from the count before. At the stock's average daily volume that is 7.6 days to cover. FINRA publishes the count twice a month. AEP short interest history
- Have members of Congress traded AEP?
- Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 3 trades in AEP by 2 filers: 2 purchases and 1 sale. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed AEP trade
- Which well-known investors own AEP?
- 3 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported AEP shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Soros Fund Management (George Soros), 1.3%; Icahn (Carl C. Icahn) (Carl Icahn), 0.7%; Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.1%. Fund portfolios
AEP in well-known investors’ portfolios
3 of 37 funds reported AEP shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George SorosSoros Fund Management | 1.3% | $105M | New | Q2 2026 |
| Carl IcahnIcahn (Carl C. Icahn) | 0.72% | $59.5M | −63.9% | Q2 2026 |
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.09% | $21.8M | +207.7% | Q2 2026 |
