Albertsons Companies
ACINYSEUSD
- Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
- Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
- Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
- $13.19 Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
- $12.88–$13.18 Regular-session low and high so far today.
- 6.9M Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
- Not yet confirmed The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
- $10.86–$18.83 52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.
Understand the Business
Why the Stock Moved
Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.
The core investment thesis
Own ACI if Albertsons is a scale grocery retailer whose durable value depends on stable, non-discretionary grocery demand plus the company's ability to monetize digital customer relationships (loyalty, curbside/home delivery and a retail-media network) and translate productivity.
ACI price history
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Investment thesis
What must happen next
If Albertsons can monetize its loyalty/digital customer relationships (Drive Up Go, home delivery, loyalty data) and scale a retail-media network, that higher-margin revenue will be the leading driver of operating-income recovery.HoldingMateriality: High
revenue increased year-over-year (revenue = 83,172,500,000 FY2025 vs 80,390,900,000 FY2024) showing continued customer spend. Holding: operating income and margins recover, enabling EPS and FCF growth and a re-rating; Breaking: continued low-margin digital growth keeps profits flat despite revenue.
Watch: large digital/retail-media share being captured by competitors or platforms (e.g., Amazon, Instacart) that makes Albertsons' retail-media inventory low-value.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
revenue increased year-over-year (revenue = 83,172,500,000 FY2025 vs 80,390,900,000 FY2024) showing continued customer spend.
Open source ↗Core grocery demand and Albertsons' store footprint will keep operating cash flow positive and reasonably stable, even if margins stay compressed, giving the company time to execute productivity initiatives.StrengtheningMateriality: High
operating_cash_flow has been steady in recent years (2,853,900,000 FY2022. Holding: stable operating cash flow funds investment and debt service without immediate dilution; Breaking: cash flow collapses forcing asset sales, deep cuts to capex, or expensive financing.
Watch: sustained loss of market share to discounters or large multi-channel competitors who out-invest Albertsons in lower prices or faster delivery.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
operating_cash_flow has been steady in recent years (2,853,900,000 FY2022.
Open source ↗Without material productivity gains or successful pricing/retail-media monetization, competitive price investment and inflation-driven cost increases will keep operating income and margins under pressure.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
operating_income has declined materially while revenue rose (operating_income = 727,600,000 FY2025 vs 1,546,100,000 FY2024 vs 2,068,900,000 FY2023), showing margin compression. Holding: productivity gains reverse margin trend; Breaking: continued cost pressure drives operating margins lower, compressing EPS and valuation.
Watch: competitors (e.g., national supercenters, club/dollar stores, Amazon/Instacart) intensify price investment or expand delivery economies of scale, forcing further price cuts.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
operating_income has declined materially while revenue rose (operating_income = 727,600,000 FY2025 vs 1,546,100,000 FY2024 vs 2,068,900,000 FY2023), showing margin compression.
Open source ↗Albertsons' liquidity position is tight (low cash balances) so the company needs to convert operating cash flow into free cash flow or access capital markets; failure to do so will force either asset sales, reduced investment in digital/remodels, or dilution.StrengtheningMateriality: Medium
cash on the balance sheet is low and not growing (cash = 198,600,000 FY2025 vs 293,600,000 FY2024 vs 455,800,000 FY2023). Holding: improving cash balances or consistent FCF supports investment in digital and debt reduction; Breaking: low liquidity forces cutbacks that erode competitive position and future margins.
Watch: inability to refinance or raise capital at acceptable cost, or a large near-term debt maturity that forces rushed financing.
Supporting sources
Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.
cash on the balance sheet is low and not growing (cash = 198,600,000 FY2025 vs 293,600,000 FY2024 vs 455,800,000 FY2023).
Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence
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Original research
If Albertsons can monetize its loyalty/digital customer relationships (Drive Up Go, home delivery, loyalty data) and scale a retail-media network, that higher-margin revenue will be the leading driver of operating-income recovery. Holding: operating income and margins recover, enabling EPS and FCF growth and a re-rating; Breaking: continued low-margin digital growth keeps profits flat despite revenue.
Core grocery demand and Albertsons' store footprint will keep operating cash flow positive and reasonably stable, even if margins stay compressed, giving the company time to execute productivity initiatives. Holding: stable operating cash flow funds investment and debt service without immediate dilution; Breaking: cash flow collapses forcing asset sales, deep cuts to capex, or expensive financing.
Without material productivity gains or successful pricing/retail-media monetization, competitive price investment and inflation-driven cost increases will keep operating income and margins under pressure. Holding: productivity gains reverse margin trend; Breaking: continued cost pressure drives operating margins lower, compressing EPS and valuation.
Albertsons' liquidity position is tight (low cash balances) so the company needs to convert operating cash flow into free cash flow or access capital markets; failure to do so will force either asset sales, reduced investment in digital/remodels, or dilution. Holding: improving cash balances or consistent FCF supports investment in digital and debt reduction; Breaking: low liquidity forces cutbacks that erode competitive position and future margins.
All standing thesis claims
Original report summary
Albertsons is a scale grocery retailer whose durable value depends on stable, non-discretionary grocery demand plus the company's ability to monetize digital customer relationships (loyalty, curbside/home delivery and a retail-media network) and translate productivity.
Bull case and bear case
Bull case and bear case for Albertsons Companies
Where the evidence on Albertsons Companies stands: Holding on the latest evidence (Nov 3, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 3 strengthening and 1 holding.
Bull case: what the evidence supports
If Albertsons can monetize its loyalty/digital customer relationships (Drive Up Go, home delivery, loyalty data) and scale a retail-media network, that higher-margin revenue will be the leading driver of operating-income recovery.
Core grocery demand and Albertsons' store footprint will keep operating cash flow positive and reasonably stable, even if margins stay compressed, giving the company time to execute productivity initiatives.
Without material productivity gains or successful pricing/retail-media monetization, competitive price investment and inflation-driven cost increases will keep operating income and margins under pressure.
Albertsons' liquidity position is tight (low cash balances) so the company needs to convert operating cash flow into free cash flow or access capital markets; failure to do so will force either asset sales, reduced investment in digital/remodels, or dilution.
Bear case: what would count against it
large digital/retail-media share being captured by competitors or platforms (e.g., Amazon, Instacart) that makes Albertsons' retail-media inventory low-value.
sustained loss of market share to discounters or large multi-channel competitors who out-invest Albertsons in lower prices or faster delivery.
competitors (e.g., national supercenters, club/dollar stores, Amazon/Instacart) intensify price investment or expand delivery economies of scale, forcing further price cuts.
Thesis-Break Engine
What has broken in Albertsons Companies’s thesis
Each break OptimistFi flagged on Albertsons Companies, dated — with what has historically followed the same kind of break across the market, not a forecast for Albertsons Companies.
- CEO / officer changecondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 16,849 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 2% over the next six months, and 38% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
- Price target fell below the stockcondition set before this filing
Across all companies, this kind of break has happened 1,809 times before. Those stocks trailed comparable companies by a median of 1% over the next six months, and 33% of them trailed it by 10 points or more.
Several kinds of break have stacked on Albertsons Companies at once. A cluster is a stronger read than any one signal alone.
MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT
The numbers behind the thesis
What Changed
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Albertsons Companies filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-15: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedReported results of operations (earnings release).
Albertsons Companies filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-10-13: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
- MixedDirector or principal officer change.
Albertsons Companies filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-09-30: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.
Risks / falsifiers
What could break the thesis
- large digital/retail-media share being captured by competitors or platforms (e.g., Amazon, Instacart) that makes Albertsons' retail-media inventory low-value.
- sustained loss of market share to discounters or large multi-channel competitors who out-invest Albertsons in lower prices or faster delivery.
- competitors (e.g., national supercenters, club/dollar stores, Amazon/Instacart) intensify price investment or expand delivery economies of scale, forcing further price cuts.
- inability to refinance or raise capital at acceptable cost, or a large near-term debt maturity that forces rushed financing.
ACI news
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Financial statements
ACI income statement
Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.
ACI: quick answers
- Have members of Congress traded ACI?
- Reports made public in the last 90 days disclose 8 trades in ACI by 2 filers: 2 purchases and 6 sales. They are filed under the STOCK Act by members of Congress, the President and senior officials. Every disclosed ACI trade
- Which well-known investors own ACI?
- 1 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported ACI shares in their latest 13F filing. By share of the fund's portfolio: Bridgewater Associates (Ray Dalio), 0.0%. Fund portfolios
ACI in well-known investors’ portfolios
1 of 37 funds reported ACI shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.
| Fund | Of its portfolio | Value | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray DalioBridgewater Associates | 0.01% | $3.3M | +111.1% | Q2 2026 |