Acadian Asset Management

AAMINYSEUSD

THESIS ALERT

Email me when the AAMI thesis changes

Evidence-based analysis, not personalized investment advice. Every alert email carries an unsubscribe link.

Follow on X
$97.22
−$0.35 (−0.36%)Today 1M +4.12%
After hours$97.220.00%

Updated Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET · Regular session · May be delayed

Source valuation snapshot. Not a live recalculation.
Latest filed annual earnings; price snapshot date unavailable. Not forward P/E.
Diluted earnings per share from the latest filed annual.
$97.57
Prior regular-session close from the quote source.
$96.03–$100.65
Regular-session low and high so far today.
327.3K
Regular-session shares traded · Nov 11, 4:00 PM ET.
Not yet confirmed
The company has not confirmed its next report date. Reported quarters are available in the chart’s Earnings view.
$41.47–$100.65
52-week trading low and high returned by the quote source.

Understand the Business

Why the Stock Moved

Period-matched expectations history is not yet available. Current metrics are not a substitute for a historical explanation.

The core investment thesis

Own AAMI if Acadian’s systematic-investing franchise keeps winning and retaining institutional assets at fee levels high enough to restore operating leverage and cash conversion, not merely if market beta lifts revenue.

AAMI price history

Latest price$97.22Today−$0.35 (-0.36%)
AAMI +3.77%S&P 500 -2.42%Since first plotted close
4 hours

Loading recent earnings…

Investment thesis

What must happen next

4 MATERIAL PROPOSITIONS
  • Institutional demand for Acadian’s systematic investment process remains strong enough to retain and win fee-paying mandates despite passive and factor-product competition.StrengtheningMateriality: High

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $417.2 million in FY2022 to $563.7 million in FY2025. If this holds, AAMI has a durable revenue base; if it breaks, management fees and earnings power can deteriorate quickly as client assets leave.

    Watch: Major institutional consultants remove or downgrade Acadian strategies after weak relative performance versus benchmarks.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual revenue increased from $417.2 million in FY2022 to $563.7 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • Acadian’s systematic platform can create operating leverage only if research, compensation, data, and technology costs scale more slowly than fee revenue.HoldingMateriality: High

    GAAP annual operating income remained profitable at $132.1 million in FY2025. Revenue growth is worth much less to owners if the platform must spend away the incremental fees to maintain performance and distribution.

    Watch: Rising data, cloud, trading, and quantitative-research costs become necessary just to keep the investment process competitive.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating income remained profitable at $132.1 million in FY2025.

    Open source ↗
  • The asset-management model should convert accounting earnings into cash unless working-capital timing, compensation accruals, seed capital, or holding-company structure absorb the economics.WeakeningMateriality: Medium

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive at $116.8 million in FY2022, $68.3 million in FY2023, and $55.8 million in FY2024. Cash conversion determines whether reported earnings can fund dividends, buybacks, debt reduction, or reinvestment without balance-sheet strain.

    Watch: Client receivables, compensation payments, or incentive-fee timing repeatedly consume cash despite reported profits.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    GAAP annual operating cash flow was positive at $116.8 million in FY2022, $68.3 million in FY2023, and $55.8 million in.

    Open source ↗
  • AAMI retains strategic flexibility only if cash and recurring Acadian distributions are sufficient to manage holding-company liabilities through market and performance cycles.HoldingMateriality: Medium

    Cash was $124.4 million at FY2025, up from $98.5 million at FY2024. A constrained balance sheet can turn a normal active-management downturn into forced cost cuts, reduced capital returns, or unfavorable financing.

    Watch: A broad equity-market drawdown reduces assets under management and fee revenue while liabilities remain fixed.

    Supporting sources

    Source notes are factual paraphrases; read the original disclosures below.

    Cash was $124.4 million at FY2025, up from $98.5 million at FY2024.

    Open source ↗
Full investment case & evidence

Loading the original research archive…

Original research

Institutional demand for Acadian’s systematic investment process remains strong enough to retain and win fee-paying mandates despite passive and factor-product competition. If this holds, AAMI has a durable revenue base; if it breaks, management fees and earnings power can deteriorate quickly as client assets leave.

Acadian’s systematic platform can create operating leverage only if research, compensation, data, and technology costs scale more slowly than fee revenue. Revenue growth is worth much less to owners if the platform must spend away the incremental fees to maintain performance and distribution.

The asset-management model should convert accounting earnings into cash unless working-capital timing, compensation accruals, seed capital, or holding-company structure absorb the economics. Cash conversion determines whether reported earnings can fund dividends, buybacks, debt reduction, or reinvestment without balance-sheet strain.

AAMI retains strategic flexibility only if cash and recurring Acadian distributions are sufficient to manage holding-company liabilities through market and performance cycles. A constrained balance sheet can turn a normal active-management downturn into forced cost cuts, reduced capital returns, or unfavorable financing.

All standing thesis claims
Original report summary

Acadian’s systematic-investing franchise keeps winning and retaining institutional assets at fee levels high enough to restore operating leverage and cash conversion, not merely if market beta lifts revenue.

Evidence assessed Oct 21, 2026. Expand each conclusion for its evidence and what would change it. Thesis evidence—not a buy or sell recommendation.

Bull case and bear case

Bull case and bear case for Acadian Asset Management

Where the evidence on Acadian Asset Management disagrees: Mixed on the latest evidence (Oct 21, 2026). Of its 4 thesis points, 1 strengthening, 2 holding and 1 weakening.

Bull case: what the evidence supports

  • Institutional demand for Acadian’s systematic investment process remains strong enough to retain and win fee-paying mandates despite passive and factor-product competition.

    sec.gov ↗

  • Acadian’s systematic platform can create operating leverage only if research, compensation, data, and technology costs scale more slowly than fee revenue.

    sec.gov ↗

  • AAMI retains strategic flexibility only if cash and recurring Acadian distributions are sufficient to manage holding-company liabilities through market and performance cycles.

    sec.gov ↗

Bear case: what the evidence questions

  • The asset-management model should convert accounting earnings into cash unless working-capital timing, compensation accruals, seed capital, or holding-company structure absorb the economics.

    sec.gov ↗

Thesis-Break Engine

Thesis-break watch · Acadian Asset Management

Loading the break-condition record for Acadian Asset Management.

How the Thesis-Break Engine works →Historical outcomes are measured against the market after past breaks of the same kind, across all companies. Not a prediction.

MARKET + FINANCIAL SNAPSHOT

The numbers behind the thesis

Sourced from filings and market data

What Changed

  1. Mixed
    Reported results of operations (earnings release).

    Acadian Asset Management filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-07-30: Reported results of operations (earnings release). It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  2. Mixed
    Director or principal officer change.

    Acadian Asset Management filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-06-11: Director or principal officer change. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

  3. Mixed
    Regulation FD disclosure.

    Acadian Asset Management filed an SEC 8-K on 2026-05-19: Regulation FD disclosure. It is a dated development that tests the current thesis.

Risks / falsifiers

What could break the thesis

  • Major institutional consultants remove or downgrade Acadian strategies after weak relative performance versus benchmarks.
  • Rising data, cloud, trading, and quantitative-research costs become necessary just to keep the investment process competitive.
  • Client receivables, compensation payments, or incentive-fee timing repeatedly consume cash despite reported profits.
  • A broad equity-market drawdown reduces assets under management and fee revenue while liabilities remain fixed.

AAMI news

Loading headlines…

Financial statements

AAMI income statement

Annual filed results · USD · Oldest to newest. Margins are calculated from the reported figures.

AAMI: quick answers

Which well-known investors own AAMI?
2 of the 37 well-known funds tracked here reported AAMI shares in their latest 13F filings. By share of the fund's portfolio: Paulson & Co. (John Paulson), 16.2%; Soros Fund Management (George Soros), 0.5%. Fund portfolios

AAMI in well-known investors’ portfolios

2 of 37 funds reported AAMI shares in their latest 13F filing. A 13F shows quarter-end positions and arrives up to 45 days later.

FundOf its portfolioValueChangeQuarter
John PaulsonPaulson & Co.16.2%$418M−24.5%Q2 2026
George SorosSoros Fund Management0.54%$43.6M−5.9%Q2 2026

Every fund’s portfolio

ScoutJUST THIS STORY

LET’S MAKE THIS USEFUL · 1 OF 5

How would you like me to explain this?

Tell me what you want from this read. Start with a quick note, then adjust the details. Your other stories stay as they are.

We’ll remember your view of this story. The published article stays unchanged.

THIS STORY’S READING VIEWStandard · The whole picture

Clear explanations with context. Both sides of the evidence.