Profitable wallet strategy · One trader's method, from the public record

Adding to Nine Losing Bets Deepened One Account’s Loss to $329,000

Hyperliquid, a crypto perps exchange, shows the account up $6.0 million over 30 days. It made $45,000 buying KORU perps at $10.75 and selling them at $12.30.

Key points

  • The account still had $1.7 million of profit on paper in open positions Sunday morning.
  • It covered most of the short the next day for a $2,000 gain.
  • Our replay covers 17 positions opened and closed since July 30.

A Hyperliquid account added to nine losing bets, deepening their combined loss to $329,000. Without those additions, the same positions would have lost $169,000 in our replay.

From Oct. 15 to Nov. 15, the account still showed a $6.0 million profit on perps. The result includes positions carried into the period.

Account 0xcf53…ee11: positions open now

Size of each position open at 6:21 a.m. ET, Nov. 15, with its leverage, from Hyperliquid's record of the account.

Account 0xcf53…ee11: positions open now
ETH short, 7x$12.5 million
NEAR short, 10x$2.0 million
LITE on trade.xyz short, 3x$407,000
SKHYNIX on trade.xyz short, 3x$351,000
HYPE short, 5x$136,000
GOOGL on trade.xyz short, 3x$106,000

On Oct. 30, the account bought back a losing ETH$1,814.20-2.24% perp short, a bet on Ether falling, and realized a $278,000 loss.

One profitable closed trade was a KORU$7.15-6.09% perp long sold five days after it was built on trade.xyz. The account made $45,000 on that position. The analysis covers all 1,230 fills in the period.

Loss on positions with losing additions
$329,000
Before fees in our replay
Loss without the later additions
$169,000
Modeled from the same fills
Perps profit over 30 days
$6.0 million
From Hyperliquid’s account record
Profit still on paper
$1.7 million
Across positions still open

Why it matters

The account still had $1.7 million of profit on paper in open positions Sunday morning.

The heavily short account received $112,000 in funding payments from long traders during the period. SKHYNIX$874.84-0.26%, its busiest perp market, fell 10.8% from Oct. 15 to Nov. 15 as its earlier long lost money and its later short made a smaller gain.

Apply the strategy

The account exited its SKHYNIX perp long and opened a short later that day. It covered most of the short the next day for a $2,000 gain.

The account mostly waited for others to trade against its prices: resting limit orders represented 67% of value. Its trading fees came to $675, small beside the account’s six-figure gains and losses.

Its positions still open totaled $15.6 million against a unified account balance of $18.7 million. That balance backs its spot assets and cross-margin positions together.

Pitfalls

Our replay covers 17 positions opened and closed since July 30. An addition counts when the price was at least 0.5% against the average entry. The thresholds are ours.

The replay is before fees and assumes each later sale closes the same share of the smaller position. It describes the effect of the additions, not why the account made them.

The account set its largest ETH perp short at 7x. At that setting, $1 of margin would control $7 of ETH exposure. Cross margin means the whole account backs the trade, so that setting alone does not establish its effective leverage.

This is one pseudonymous account over one month. The public record shows its trades, but not who controls it or the judgment behind each decision.

What's next

The next test comes by 9 a.m. Eastern Time on Monday, when the record can show whether the open positions have closed.

If they close at these prices, profit on positions closed in the period rises from -$438,000 to about $1.2 million before fees. If they remain open, the gain remains on paper and continues moving with prices.

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